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#1
09-07-2012, 02:00 PM
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Which team to pick this weekend
Guys,
I need some help. I know nothing, nada, zilch about football. I don't even watch the Superbowl and I'd be unable to name more than 7 or 8 NFL teams. But in light of the impending NHL lockout, the guys in my annual hockey pool have decided to do a very basic NFL pool this year. All I have to do is pick a winning team every week (I can only pick a given team once over the season.) But like I said I know nothing about football, so I'd love to get some help from my fellow Dobberites and find out who would be your pick this week. Thanks
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12-Team Keeper. Points Only. Top 13 skaters (2D min.) + 1 goalie count. 2 UFAs (24 yr. +). Keep 24. 3 round yearly draft. G=1, A=1, W=2, OTL= 1, SO=2. Points carry over. F= Getzlaf, Toews, Spezza, Tavares, Seguin, Nash, Weiss, O. Jokinen, Wheeler, Callahan, Wilson, Little, Kulemin, Michalek, Frattin, Strome, S. Koivu. D= Karlsson, Yandle, Goligoski, Fowler, Elliott, Whitney, Kulikov. G= Lundqvist, Pavelec. 
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#2
09-07-2012, 02:05 PM
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This
Quote:
I've heard people try to save teams they love, but for me - go with the biggest mismatch you can find, every week. Week 1, Oddsmakers say it's Houston over Miami - I'd take Houston
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#3
09-07-2012, 02:12 PM
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Picking New Orleans to beat Washington is a pretty safe bet too.
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Derek Reese - Future Hall of Famer Studs N Duds - Sunday's 12 Team NHL Salary Cap Dynasty H2H, Salary Cap 82mil, Player actual salaries G,A,PTS,GWG,PIM,SOG,STP,HT,BL,+/-,W,GAA,SV,SO Starters: 12 Forwards, 6 Defense, 2 Goalies F - Stamkos, Perry, E.Staal, Voracek, J.Staal, Simmonds, Ott, Downie, J.Jokinen, Eller, Nielson, Prust D - Martin, Faulk, Brodie, Ellerby, M.Weber, Stone G - Bobrovsky, Halak Bench - Brunner, Brodie, Strachan, Khudobin, Lindback, Neuvirth, Ramo Prospects - Calvert, Forsberg, Etem, Namestinikov, Kreider, Cundari
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#5
09-14-2012, 12:29 PM
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Guys,
I picked Houston last week and that worked out just fine. I now need to make my next pick. Going with DYv's logic (which I sucessfully applied last week), the Patriots are the safest bet. But I'm not sure I want to use them so early in the season. How safe are the Bengals, or maybe San Francisco? Rep as always.
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12-Team Keeper. Points Only. Top 13 skaters (2D min.) + 1 goalie count. 2 UFAs (24 yr. +). Keep 24. 3 round yearly draft. G=1, A=1, W=2, OTL= 1, SO=2. Points carry over. F= Getzlaf, Toews, Spezza, Tavares, Seguin, Nash, Weiss, O. Jokinen, Wheeler, Callahan, Wilson, Little, Kulemin, Michalek, Frattin, Strome, S. Koivu. D= Karlsson, Yandle, Goligoski, Fowler, Elliott, Whitney, Kulikov. G= Lundqvist, Pavelec.
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#6
09-15-2012, 11:37 AM
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Pick the team that is playing Miami...every week.
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14 Team Dynasty League 5 C's, 8 W's, 5 D's, 2G's - 3 Prospects. Scoring F: Goals(3) Assists(2) D: Goals(4) Assist(3) G: W(3) Saves(0.15) Goal Against(-0.75) Shutout(2) C: Datsyuk, Grabovski, Backstrom, Bergeron, Bozak W: Kovalchuk, Ovechkin, P Kane, Hall, Sharp, Kessel, Nash, Silfverberg D: Enstrom, Letang, Kronwall, Faulk, Chara G: Miller, Price IR: Prospects: Galchenyuk, Nyquist, Shore
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#7
09-15-2012, 11:47 AM
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To be a little bit more serious, I would havea look at the Steelers playing at home vs the Jets. Revis is out and this is not the Bills defence. Could get ugly....
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14 Team Dynasty League 5 C's, 8 W's, 5 D's, 2G's - 3 Prospects. Scoring F: Goals(3) Assists(2) D: Goals(4) Assist(3) G: W(3) Saves(0.15) Goal Against(-0.75) Shutout(2) C: Datsyuk, Grabovski, Backstrom, Bergeron, Bozak W: Kovalchuk, Ovechkin, P Kane, Hall, Sharp, Kessel, Nash, Silfverberg D: Enstrom, Letang, Kronwall, Faulk, Chara G: Miller, Price IR: Prospects: Galchenyuk, Nyquist, Shore
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#8
09-15-2012, 01:41 PM
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Week 2 Picks:
Patriots- favored by two touchdowns for a reason. They are 10-0 in home openers at Gillete. They would be my number one choice. Giants- my buddy has a theory that the Giants just can't win when they are favored by a TD or more. Scary thing is, more often than not this is true. But I don't listen to my friend and how could the Giants go 0-2 at home to start the season? My Second choice. Steelers- No Revis could mean big trouble for the Jets D. Ryan Clark will play this week which means a tougher time for Sanchez. Bengals- I hate picking a team in a divisional matchup (let alone same state) but the Browns are without their best player (Haden). 4th choice (with hesitation). Chargers- Titans looked horrible last week and the Chargers D looked alright. If you like to gamble then my 5th choice is the game for you. I won't be though. In a survivor pool, the key is to survive. I know people like to "save" teams but if your selection loses this week, what good did saving the Pats do for you. Anyone still reading this?
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#9
09-15-2012, 08:05 PM
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me!
 I didnt bother writing it, but I of course agree on Patriots being the biggest favorites. I just feel like the Steelers is such a safe bet as well that he can "save" the Patriots for later.
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14 Team Dynasty League 5 C's, 8 W's, 5 D's, 2G's - 3 Prospects. Scoring F: Goals(3) Assists(2) D: Goals(4) Assist(3) G: W(3) Saves(0.15) Goal Against(-0.75) Shutout(2) C: Datsyuk, Grabovski, Backstrom, Bergeron, Bozak W: Kovalchuk, Ovechkin, P Kane, Hall, Sharp, Kessel, Nash, Silfverberg D: Enstrom, Letang, Kronwall, Faulk, Chara G: Miller, Price IR: Prospects: Galchenyuk, Nyquist, Shore
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#10
09-15-2012, 10:35 PM
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I'm in 2 leagues.
I'm taking SD in one and CIN in the other. I've played Survivor for 3 years. I've used the strategy before where you take the biggest favorite you have remaining no matter what. Didn't work out. I feel to win these things you need to differentiate a bit. If you just take the biggest favorite each week, assuming you do win, you'll probably split the prize pool with a bunch of people at the end. For this reason I'm not inclined to take NE this week. If they lose, I'd say at least 50% of my pool will be eliminated. Even if they win, and my team wins, I will have NE in a future week where 50% of the pool does not have them. I'm not taking NYG because a) they screwed me last year in week 5 vs. SEA and I don't trust them. TheWhale's theory about NYG losing when favored by at least a TD sounds right. I don't feel comfortable taking PIT vs NYJ either. No real reason just don't feel comfortable. SD was the team I liked taking when I looked at the schedule before I saw the lines. I feel the lines help justify my gut feeling. CIN I'm not sure if I will keep that pick. Something doesn't feel right about it. I may go with NE on that one to play it safe. My other alternate option would be HOU. I don't buy into the always take home teams, never take divisional games theory. I think it's an old wives tale. I recommend you go to www.survivorgrid.com to help out your future picks. EDIT: Mod should retitle this thread - Survivor Picks
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