Re: AM34 running away with the Hart
Originally Posted by
2014olympicgold
Matthews today has 12 more goals than the 2nd place guy. At this pace, by the end of the season Reinhart will have 57goals. Matthews is on pace for 76goals. He's on pace for almost 20 more goals than 2nd place.
The difference between the highest goal scorer and 2nd highest over the years:
2022-23: 3
2021-22: 5
2020-21: 8 (COVID shortened year)
2019-20: 0 (COVID shortened year)
2018-19: 1
2017-18: 5
2016-17: 4
2015-16: 4
2014-15: 10
2013-14: 8
avg: 4.8
In 2013-14, Ovi had 51G, and 19G away would be the 15th most goals that year. The 15th goal score in 2023-24 season (prorated) would be 35goals away from Matthews. Reinhart's goal scoring, in comparison to everyone but Matthews, is in line with a normal goal scoring race. This is like the COVID year with McDavid and points, but with Matthews and goals.
This is illuminating and a great analysis. Winning the point race by 20 points is huge, winning the Goal race by 20 is unheardof!
From a percentage perspective 70G to 2nd place 50G is 40% above 2nd place.
McDavid's 153P last season was 20% above 2nd place Draisitl and 35% above Pastranak.
12 team H-2-H 1 year league, daily roster changes, 3 goalie start minimum/week
2xC, 2xRW, 2xLW, 4xD, 3xUtil, 2xG, 5 Bench
G, A, P, PIM, PPP, SHP, GWG, SOG, Hits, W, SV%, GAA, SVs
C: C. Keller, C. Mittelstadt, B. Nelson, R. Strome,
LW: K. Connor, B. Tkachuk, J. Gaudreau, J. Marchessault, E. Rodrigues, A. Lafreniere
RW: K. Fiala, J. Bratt, T. Jeannot V. Arvidsson
D: R. Josi, J. Trouba, E. Gustafsson,
G: L. Thompson, F. Gustavsson, V. Vanecek
NO IR