Re: AM34 running away with the Hart
70 goals and over 130 points are both incredible.
70 goals has been done 14 times by 8 players. Only Hull, Lemieux and Gretzky have multiples. Most recent was Alexander Mogilny and Teemu Selanne both in 1993.
130+ points has been done 50 times, by a bunch of guys.
140+ has been done 25 times, by 10 players. The last one (other than McDavid's 153 last year) was Lemieux (161) and Jagr(149) in 1996.
So I would suggest 70 goals is equal to 140 points.
I think AM wins the Hart if he hits 70 goals over a 130 point player and probably even over a 140 point player (especially if that player happens to be McDavid due to fatigue).
65 goals vs. 130 would be a tougher decision and looks at all the extra factors of team standings etc.
I think AM is the current front runner because his Goal total is a massive outlier to all others (+12 on Sam Reinhart 30% higher)and Kuch/Mac/McDavid are in proximity to each other and will all be under McDavid's 153 total from last year.
Yes I'm including McDavid for now, he's only 9 points back of Kucherov's leading 94P and the Oilers have 4 games in hand on Tampa and Colorado.
From a team perspective: Colorado is the strongest and is likely a playoff team without Mac. The other 3 teams are 3rd-WC and rely heavily on their superstar for offence, another edge to AM/Kuch/McD.
On a semi related note, this year will likely have a player with the claim to "Strongest Not a Hart Finalist" in a very long time, possibly ever.
12 team H-2-H 1 year league, daily roster changes, 3 goalie start minimum/week
2xC, 2xRW, 2xLW, 4xD, 3xUtil, 2xG, 5 Bench
G, A, P, PIM, PPP, SHP, GWG, SOG, Hits, W, SV%, GAA, SVs
C: C. Keller, C. Mittelstadt, B. Nelson, R. Strome,
LW: K. Connor, B. Tkachuk, J. Gaudreau, J. Marchessault, E. Rodrigues, A. Lafreniere
RW: K. Fiala, J. Bratt, T. Jeannot V. Arvidsson
D: R. Josi, J. Trouba, E. Gustafsson,
G: L. Thompson, F. Gustavsson, V. Vanecek
NO IR