Re: The Coronavirus Debacle
Seasonal Flu has a "Basic Reproduction Number" of 1.3. This number is the average number of people that an infected person can infect.
Measles, one of the most contagious viruses is 12-18. Zika was 3-6.6.
COVID-19 is 2-2.5 right now.
Basic math makes after 10 rounds of "infection" (1 person gets 1 sick, that person gets 2 sick to total as 4 ppl sick in 3 rounds). Seasonal flu sits at like 50-60ppl infected. COVID-19 is 2,000+.
When you're infectious with COVID-19, you typically start to show symptoms 5 days after catching it, sometimes up to 10-14 days after catching. Also known as the incubation period. And scientists think you're contagious during this period. The seasonal flu incubation period, 1-2 days. You get sick, you feel sick, you take precautions to prevent the spread. This is what we're used to. We are used to being contagious when we feel sick. Unlike COVID-19 when you are spreading it potentially, when you feel fine.
Now during this "incubation period" with the flu, you spend 1 day potentially spreading it to the population, however, since our bodies have potentially seen the flu before some people could have an immunity to the flu virus. Either through a flu shot, or they've had this strain of flu before. This is big, because if I'm sick and the seasonal flu virus from myself gets on 4 people in a day, 3 of the 4 people could have an immunity to this flu virus, and the 4th could not catch it. Then the same goes with that person. This is why doctors urge people to get the flu vaccine, not necessarily to block yourself from it, but to prevent the spread of the flu virus. Now pretty much no one has a COVID-19 immunity, it spreads, and nothing stops it, and it is twice as contagious as the seasonal flu.
Next, 2% of people with seasonal flu need to be hospitalized, COVID-19...it's 20-30%. COVID-19 fatality rate...1-3%. The seasonal flu...0.1%. COVID-19 is 10-30x higher across ALL age groups. That numbers jumps with the older you are (potentially).
So you have a virus, that has a Basic Reproduction Number twice the flu, 10x longer time period between when you catch it and when you start to show symptoms, no one has an immunity to it, it puts people in the hospital 10-15x more than the flu, 10-30x deadlier than the flu, and there's no cure or vaccine for it. And the seasonal flu has a vaccine.
The only cure we have right now, is social. Socially, we gotta take ourselves out of the equation. The above is supposed to show how contagious this COVID-19 is, and the fact we don't know who has it right now. I talked about how one of the reasons why doctors urge the world to get flu shots not to block yourself from getting the flu, but to take yourself out of the equation of spreading it. Social Distancing is the current COVID-19 vaccine. We all have to remove ourselves from the equation to make it effective.
Comparing COVID-19 to the flu makes sense. Both have the same symptoms, both are viruses, we've had previous coronaviruses in the past (MERS, SARS). Naturally we want to call it something we know to shield us from reality of the seriousness. But we gotta stop thinking it's the flu still. We need to continue/start social distancing. Don't ruin this for other people because you needed to go see your friends, have that party, go out to shop for non-essentials. Continue to social distance PLEASE
12 Team, H2H, Keep 6 (in Bold)
G, A, Pts, PPP, FW, SOG, Hits, Blocks
W, Saves, S%, GAA, Game Started
2C, 2LW, 2RW, 4D, 1Util, 2G, 5BN, 2IR, 1IR+, 1NA
C: Horvat, Trocheck
LW: J. Robertson, Byfield (C), Guenther
RW: Pavelski (C), Giroux (C), Svechnikov (LW)
D: Fox, Makar, Bouchard, Morrissey, Gudas
Util: Meier (LW, RW)
G: Oettinger, Georgiev, Samsonov, Woll