Marchand needs to be in the top 10. Top 3 PPG since beginning of last season. It's criminal to leave him out. So does Malkin despite injury history. I would take Matthews and Tarasenko out.
I'm in the early stages of working on a list for next season and have roughly done the top 10 so far. Going to be lots of players that we can buy low on for next season. Here is my top 10 (as of right now). What is yours? What are your thoughts going forward with these players?
1. Connor McDavid (EDM)
2. Nikita Kucherov (TBL)
3. Nathan MacKinnon (COL)
4. Sidney Crosby (PIT)
5. Auston Matthews (TOR)
6. Johnny Gaudreau (CGY)
7. Mark Scheifele (WPG)
8. Taylor Hall (NJD)
9. Jack Eichel (BUF)
10. Vladimir Tarasenko (STL)
So many players to look through though. For example, Evgeni Malkin ... does he belong in the top 10 considering his injury history? Will he have another terrific year as he is having?
Marchand needs to be in the top 10. Top 3 PPG since beginning of last season. It's criminal to leave him out. So does Malkin despite injury history. I would take Matthews and Tarasenko out.
I can't promise I'll try but I'll try to try.
I'd be nearly as worried about Scheifele missing games as I am Malkin. Gotta think you can push him out for Marchand. I think the locks are McD, Kuch, Crosby, and then the rest of your list definitely all look good to go 70+ points for sure. The tough part to predict is whether the guys who would sit just outside your top 10 (Seguin, Stamkos, Tavares, etc.) go bananas next season and overtake the other, less proven guys on your list. MacKinnon, Matthews, Scheifele, Eichel, or Hall could just as easily slip outside the top 10 if they run into some injuries (Scheifele, Eichel, Matthews), or the players they're lined up with see some regression (MacKinnon, Hall).
Definitely a great preliminary list though, solid mix of proven guys and speculative breakouts. I like it.
9 Team Dynasty Salary Cap (AAV)
G 1.5, A 1, PPP 1, SHP 1, +/- 0.5, MmP 0.25/Min, HIT 0.1, GWG 3, BLK 0.25 Gordie Howe Hattricks 10 (Skaters)
W, L, GA, SHO, SV (Goal)
Start 12 F 6 D 2 G
11 Player Bench (Max 2 Bench G)
15 Player Farm Team
F: Kucherov, Teravainen, Galchenyuk, Johansen, W Nylander, W Karlsson, Gourde, Vrana, Athanasiou, Vatrano, Buchnevich, Haula, Stastny, Puljujarvi, Eberle, Little, Kovalchuk, Kravtsov, Terry, Bertuzzi, Bratt, Kunin, Hintz, Heinen, Kahun, Sikura, Chytil, Iafallo
D: E Karlsson, Montour, Gardiner, Girard, Faulk, Martinez, Fox, Cernak, Weegar, Pionk, Pilut, Bayreuther
G: Gibson, Bishop, Raanta, Allen, Talbot, Blackwood, Delia, Husso
Looking at it a little more I am inclined to put Marchand in over Tarasenko. 2 years ago I would never even thought of doing so. Really hope that 'Jumpin' Jack Eichel can put together a full season ... same with Matthews.
My List
1. Connor McDavid (EDM)
2. Nathan MacKinnon (COL)
3. Nikita Kucherov (TBL)
4. Sidney Crosby (PIT)
5. Johnny Gaudreau (CGY)
6. Mark Scheifele (WPG)
7. Brad Marchand (BOS)
8. John Tavares (NYI)
9. Jack Eichel (BUF)
10. Patrick Kane (CHI)
Here is an idea what the top 50 may look like. The numbers at the side are what the play in that numbered position has for the year. So in a way it's an 'expected' total for that player. Still lots of tweaking to do of course but that is the REAL early version of 'the list' ... lol.
Connor McDavid (EDM) 103 Nikita Kucherov (TBL) 97 Nathan MacKinnon (COL) 96 Sidney Crosby (PIT) 95 Auston Matthews (TOR) 94 Brad Marchand (BOS) 90 Taylor Hall (NJD) 89 Patrick Kane (CHI) 87 Evgeni Malkin (PIT) 87 Claude Giroux (PHI) 86 Jack Eichel (BUF) 84 Johnny Gaudreau (CGY) 83 John Tavares (NYI) 82 Tyler Seguin (DAL) 82 Blake Wheeler (WPG) 82 Mark Scheifele (WPG) 82 Jamie Benn (DAL) 81 Steven Stamkos (TBL) 79 Phil Kessel (PIT) 78 Alex Ovechkin (WSH) 78 Jakub Voracek (PHI) 77 Evgeny Kuznetsov (WSH) 76 David Pastrnak (BOS) 75 Mathew Barzal (NYI) 75 Vladimir Tarasenko (STL) 75 Anze Kopitar (LAK) 74 Patrik Laine (WPG) 74 Mikko Rantanen (COL) 71 Leon Draisaitl (EDM) 71 Ryan Getzlaf (ANA) 71 Artemi Panarin (CBJ) 69 Filip Forsberg (NSH) 69 Aleksander Barkov (FLA) 68 Nicklas Backstrom (WSH) 68 Sean Monahan (CGY) 68 Mitchell Marner (TOR) 67 Clayton Keller (ARI) 66 Sebastian Aho (CAR) 66 Nikolaj Ehlers (WPG) 65 Jonathan Huberdeau (FLA) 65 William Karlsson (VGK) 64 Sean Couturier (PHI) 64 Vincent Trocheck (FLA) 64 Brayden Point (TBL) 64 Johathan Marchessault (VGK) 63 Brayden Schenn (STL) 63 Eric Staal (MIN) 63 Mikael Granlund (MIN) 62 Alexander Radulov (DAL) 62 Josh Bailey (NYI) 62
McDavid
Mackinnon
Kucherov
Crosby
Gaudreau
Scheifele
Eichel
Malkin
Seguin
Tavares
Zorro says "vote for Dobber"
Angus is my best friend at dobberhockey..
No love for Giroux to make the top 10 next year?
8,9,10 could be argued with the likes of Eichel, Hall, Tarasenko, Malkin, Giroux, Voracek, Scheifele, Kessel, Ov, Stamkos, Tavares....
But Marchand is #5 on that list. He has been automatic.
14 Team, Keep14 Farm5, 82GP Cap/Position
Skaters: Points only, Goalies 2ptWin/3ptSO
Start: 4C,4LW,4RW,6D,2G
C- Crosby, Zibanejad, Couturier, Zacha, Frost
LW- Marchand, Huberdeau, McTavish, Rackell, Kuzmenko
RW- Konecny, Necas, Caufield, Jarvis, Lafreniere
D- Hughes, Carlson, Werenski, Chychrun, Andersson, Dobson, Weegar
G- Andersen, Merzlikins, Daccord, Jones
Farm- Johnston, Foerster, Tarasov, Hutson, Reinbacher
Picks-1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,11
Still working on it. Will work on goals and assists proj down the road. For now just doing points.
120 Connor McDavid EDM 105 Nathan MacKinnon COL 100 Nikita Kucherov TBL 95 Sidney Crosby PIT 94 Brad Marchand BOS 93 Evgeni Malkin PIT 92 Taylor Hall NJD 92 Claude Giroux PHI 91 Patrick Kane CHI 89 Auston Matthews TOR 87 Blake Wheeler WPG 86 Johnny Gaudreau CGY 85 John Tavares NYI 85 Mark Scheifele WPG 85 David Pastrnak BOS 84 Mathew Barzal NYI 84 Steven Stamkos TBL 84 Evgeny Kuznetsov WSH 83 Phil Kessel PIT 82 Artemi Panarin CBJ 80 Alex Ovechkin WSH 79 Tyler Seguin DAL 78 Jamie Benn DAL 78 Jack Eichel BUF 78 Anze Kopitar LAK 76 Jakub Voracek PHI 76 Mikko Rantanen COL 76 Leon Draisaitl EDM 75 Aleksander Barkov FLA 75 Vladimir Tarasenko STL 72 Patrik Laine WPG 71 Nicklas Backstrom WSH 71 Filip Forsberg NSH 70 Ryan Getzlaf ANA 70 Mitchell Marner TOR 70 Clayton Keller ARI 69 Brock Boeser VAN
GP/G/A/PTS
1. McDavid (80/36/70/106)
2. Nikita Kucherov (82/40/57/97)
3. Sidney Crosby (81/34/62/96)
*4. Mark Scheifele (79/35/28/93)
5. Nathan MacKinnon (77/36/52/92)
*6. Patrick Kane (82/34/55/89)
*7. David Pastrnak (82/39/48/87)
*8. Auston Matthews (80/41/45/86)
*9. Aleksander Barkov (79/34/51/85)
*10. Brad Marchand (80/37/48/85)
*Not in Top-10 this year.
Guys that drop out of the Top 10 ...
Malkin (plays only 66 games; scores 80-84)
Giroux (78-82)
Hall (78-82)
Kopitar (74-76)
Kessel (75-80)
Wheeler (75-80)
Eichel & McDavid are both entering year 4 - Dobber's stated break out marker. I personally, would bump expectations on McDavid to 120pts and would have Eichel in the top 10 in scoring, top 5 in pt/gm.
Matthews was on a pt/gm pace this season even with all the injuries & playing the end of the year - still favouring his shoulder (he is now) I'd put him in the top 10... pretty much where Stuntman has him and move down Kane to 78pts range. I also expect a jump from Marner and Nylander both into the top 50 in scoring - over the 70pt mark and can see Marner pushing for top 20pts.
I also think we're closing in on a season where a dman or two plays with a pt/gm avg. and seeing EK go over 82 pts as soon as next season wouldn't surprise me.
Follow me on twitter: @doylelb4
I have been crunching the numbers this morning and this is what I have for the top 10 for the time being. The rest of the list is top secret until further notice.
It will probably change because there are still quite a few I haven't done complete projections on. Ovechkin for example. This is the fun part
Rank Player Name TEAM GP G A PTS PIM HITS BLK S S% 1 Connor McDavid EDM 82 40 80 120 30 30 35 270 14.8 2 Nathan MacKinnon COL 78 38 69 107 45 50 40 290 13.1 3 Nikita Kucherov TBL 77 39 55 94 35 30 20 270 14.4 4 Sidney Crosby PIT 80 34 55 89 50 80 30 250 13.6 5 Brad Marchand BOS 80 38 50 88 90 60 35 225 16.9 6 Johnny Gaudreau CGY 80 28 58 86 20 20 20 220 12.7 7 Patrick Kane CHI 82 35 51 86 30 25 20 290 12.1 8 Taylor Hall NJD 75 36 49 85 40 80 40 280 12.9 9 Auston Matthews TOR 80 49 36 85 15 20 65 290 16.9 10 Evgeny Kuznetsov WSH 82 26 58 84 50 55 25 195 13.3
Mitch Marner will be top 10 in scoring.
12 team Yahoo H2H Keeper League (keep 6)
G, A, P, +/-, PPP, SHP, GWG, SOG
W, L, GAA, SV%, SO
2C - Stamkos
2LW - Benn
2RW - Laine, Marner
4D - Josi
1Util -
2G - Rask