[2016] Dobber NFL Wins Pool

[PenguinHunter]

I am predicting I win this pool all together!

I think you spoke too soon..........

- - - Updated - - -

well bridgewater is out with a knee injury - if its an acl, gone for the season. I am out of the running.

Ouch!

[joe jones]

I think you spoke too soon..........

yes i definitely blame Axe for this!!!! haha

[Zorro]

Titans are going to suck worse then the 49ers, I went over there schedule and I don't likey!!

[Eskimo Brother]

Titans are going to suck worse then the 49ers, I went over there schedule and I don't likey!!

I'm hoping you're right! It won't be tough to be better than the 49ers though.

[Axeman33]

I am not liking my Minny pick much anymore.

[Zorro]

I'm hoping you're right! It won't be tough to be better than the 49ers though.

I think the 49ers could surprise some actually.. Not sure how, I just sense a few surprises up their sleeves with Chip Kelly at the helm..

[PenguinHunter]

My league incorporated this wins pool for $2 buy in so I did a quick calculation based on the two different groups and included an average for between the two:

Tier I	Tier II	Average	Av pick
Arizona	Green Bay	Green Bay	2
Carolina	New England	Arizona	2
Green Bay	Arizona	New England	3
New England	Seattle	Carolina	3.5
Pittsburgh	Carolina	Seattle	5
Seattle	Pittsburgh	Pittsburgh	5.5
Kansas City	Cincinnati	Indianapolis	8.5
Dallas	Indianapolis	Cincinnati	9
Indianapolis	Oakland	Kansas City	9.5
Minnesota	Minnesota	Minnesota	10
Cincinnati	Houston	Oakland	10.5
Oakland	Kansas City	Dallas	11
Denver	Denver	Houston	12.5
Houston	Dallas	Denver	13
Baltimore	Baltimore	Baltimore	15
Detroit	NY Giants	NY Giants	17.5
NY Jets	Jacksonville	Jacksonville	17.5
Jacksonville	Buffalo	Detroit	18.5
NY Giants	Washington	Buffalo	20
Tampa Bay	Atlanta	Washington	20
Washington	Detroit	NY Jets	20
Buffalo	Tampa Bay	Tampa Bay	21
Chicago	NY Jets	Atlanta	23
New Orleans	Chicago	Chicago	23.5
Miami	San Diego	New Orleans	25.5
Atlanta	Tennessee	San Diego	26
San Diego	New Orleans	Miami	27
Philadelphia	Los Angeles	Tennessee	28.5
Los Angeles	Miami	Los Angeles	28.5
San Francisco	Philadelphia	Philadelphia	29
Tennessee	San Francisco	San Francisco	30.5
Cleveland	Cleveland	Cleveland	32

[Goldendelicious]

Bang on with 2-census point avergae haha

[Eskimo Brother]

Nothing can ever go wrong with only two census points!
I enjoy the fact that Denver was picked 13th in both groups, but was the 14th highest picked team on average. Man math can be weird.

[PenguinHunter]

Nothing can ever go wrong with only two census points!
I enjoy the fact that Denver was picked 13th in both groups, but was the 14th highest picked team on average. Man math can be weird.

Math is wonderful!! I am excited to see what the new guy in Zona does as a GM! aha

[2014olympicgold]

Maybe a better way was to put an exponential value to each pick, so higher picked teams get more value. So I took where a team was ranked and squared it, then added Tier I and Tier II together. So Arizona picked 1^st (1x1=1), and picked 3^rd (3x3=9) had a score of 10.

1	Arizona	10
2	Green Bay	10
3	New England	20
4	Carolina	29
5	Seattle	52
6	Pittsburgh	61
7	Indianapolis	145
8	Cincinnati	170
9	Kansas City	193
10	Minnesota	200
11	Oakland	225
12	Dallas	260
13	Houston	317
14	Denver	338
15	Baltimore	450
16	Jacksonville	613
17	NY Giants	617
18	Detroit	697
19	Washington	802
20	Buffalo	808
21	NY Jets	818
22	Tampa Bay	884
23	Atlanta	1076
24	Chicago	1105
25	New Orleans	1305
26	San Diego	1354
27	Miami	1466
28	Los Angeles	1625
29	Tennessee	1637
30	Philadelphia	1684
31	San Francisco	1861
32	Cleveland	2048

[Pengwin7]

If the Tier I and Tier II picks have any accuracy to them... then I'm going to dominate Tier I.
My picks:
6. SEA, went 4 in Tier II
11. CIN, went 7 in Tier II
22. BUF, went 18 in Tier II
27. SD, went 25 in Tier II
That's +2 +4 +4 +2 = +12 in value difference. BOOM.

[PenguinHunter]

Maybe a better way was to put an exponential value to each pick, so higher picked teams get more value. So I took where a team was ranked and squared it, then added Tier I and Tier II together. So Arizona picked 1^st (1x1=1), and picked 3^rd (3x3=9) had a score of 10.

1	Arizona	10
2	Green Bay	10
3	New England	20
4	Carolina	29
5	Seattle	52
6	Pittsburgh	61
7	Indianapolis	145
8	Cincinnati	170
9	Kansas City	193
10	Minnesota	200
11	Oakland	225
12	Dallas	260
13	Houston	317
14	Denver	338
15	Baltimore	450
16	Jacksonville	613
17	NY Giants	617
18	Detroit	697
19	Washington	802
20	Buffalo	808
21	NY Jets	818
22	Tampa Bay	884
23	Atlanta	1076
24	Chicago	1105
25	New Orleans	1305
26	San Diego	1354
27	Miami	1466
28	Los Angeles	1625
29	Tennessee	1637
30	Philadelphia	1684
31	San Francisco	1861
32	Cleveland	2048

So the exact same list, the only difference is the averages that are tied are in a different order... good calculation!

- - - Updated - - -

If the Tier I and Tier II picks have any accuracy to them... then I'm going to dominate Tier I.
My picks:
6. SEA, went 4 in Tier II
11. CIN, went 7 in Tier II
22. BUF, went 18 in Tier II
27. SD, went 25 in Tier II
That's +2 +4 +4 +2 = +12 in value difference. BOOM.

Either that... or you have a bunch of fans in Tier II that took whoever you took when it was there pick.

I am going to go with this one haha

[2014olympicgold]

So the exact same list, the only difference is the averages that are tied are in a different order... good calculation!

- - - Updated - - -



Either that... or you have a bunch of fans in Tier II that took whoever you took when it was there pick.

I am going to go with this one haha

Maybe squaring it was a bit too high of a value, but it sorted out the ties? I think i'm just grasping straws lol

[newfcollins]

Maybe an easier way to do it would be to find some betting lines on wins for the season and figure out who has the most potential wins based on that. That way, it doesn't matter where a certain team was drafted, just that you have predictions on potential wins.

I had planned to do something like that, but work got extremely busy the last two days.