Adam Larsson or Brendan Smith???

[Vic]

Who will be the best all around player in 2 years and what should be the point projection?

[Brady19]

If you count PIMs, then definitely go with Smith. I think both will be right around 40 points in 2 years.

[Vic]

But if we dont count the PIMs but the hits and blocked shot?

[Rrabbit]

But if we dont count the PIMs but the hits and blocked shot?

I'd still take B. Smith, but it's closer without PIM.

[Esquire]

As much as I like Larsson and own him in a few leagues, I'd go Smith.

[Dobber]

I have a feeling that things will go like this over next six years (and by Year 1 I don't mean Larsson's rookie year, I mean NEXT year starts as Year 1):

Larsson
Year
1 -35
2 - 35
3 -45
4 - 50
5 - 50
6 - 50

Smith
Year
1 - 25
2 - 30
3 - 35
4 - 35
5 - 40
6 - 50

Larsson may be your best bet if you look at next four years.

[sergioel]

Hard to argue with Dobber, but it is truly all relative to oppurtunity given. We know Larsson will get his. The reality remains, however, that if Detroit gives Smith top PP minutes, he could easily net 45-55 this coming season alone simply based on Detroit's offensive presence. If you have even the slightest inkling that Smith could get that shot you'd be better served to go with him.

[SPOILER]

Hard to argue with Dobber, but it is truly all relative to oppurtunity given. We know Larsson will get his. The reality remains, however, that if Detroit gives Smith top PP minutes, he could easily net 45-55 this coming season alone simply based on Detroit's offensive presence. If you have even the slightest inkling that Smith could get that shot you'd be better served to go with him.

I just don't see Smith "easily" scoring 45 -55 points. He is a great prospect with obvious excellent upside but when was the last time a rookie defencan scored 50 points.

[DuklaNation]

I take Smith easily here. Larsson is no guarantee for 40 pts either.

[sergioel]

I just don't see Smith "easily" scoring 45 -55 points. He is a great prospect with obvious excellent upside but when was the last time a rookie defencan scored 50 points.

Rookie defenseman rarely have this type of oppurtunity. My statistical prediction is completely based on the scenario that Smith is afforded a large chunk of time on the top unit PP. If that happens, he could quite easily hit that 45-55 point mark simply because of who will surround him. Stats achieved are more often relative to oppurtunity afforded, especially when these players are first entering the league. Obviously there is an adjustment curve going from the minors to the NHL, and often the rookies aren't afforded those prime minutes in the ideal scoring situations. Especially the rookie defenseman. However, this is one of those few times that a rookie may end up in that ideal situation.

[fungchen3]

I think B.Smith will put up significant numbers a bit sooner but Larsson will end up scoring as much over the long-run IMO. I think Larsson is constantly underrated offensively because he is bigger, more complete and not especially flashy, but either was/is L.Murphy, Blake, Pronger, Weber, Chara, etc.