Direction changing trade - thoughts wanted

[statsfan22]

Got a limited-time offer trade.

Keeper league, Forwards only, just points.

Team A( me): Giving up James Neal, Jamie Benn, and my First overall ( I most likely will finish last. Giving me 50% chance at 1st overall in the 3 man lottery for top 3)

Team B: Kovalchuck



The reason I would want this trade -> I have 2 other first rounders (not as high), my second, and my third. We have a 20 man roster limit which I am already over by 1. So this helps me condense.
However, I peg Neal as a future PPG player, with Benn and Skinner potting at least 70 pts (call me crazy)
But, my team is kind of lacking top end talent other than Kaner. Here's my roster:


Ryan Smyth
Artem Anisimov
Sergei Kostitsyn
Nikolai Kulemin
Rich Peverley
Tyler Myers
Tyler Seguin
Alexander Steen
Max Pacioretty
Michael Cammalleri
Patrick Kane
Phil Kessel
James Neal
Brian Gionta
Ryane Clowe
Niclas Bergfors
Jamie Benn
James van Riemsdyk
Duncan Keith

So it's clear I need a little bit of offensive power.
Thanks for the help guys.

[ocossette]

What is a first pick worth in your league? But it's sure that you're getting the best player.

[statsfan22]

Because last place isn't guaranteed first overall (50% chance) it isn't worth THAT much, but a lottery pick is valuable in our league.

Last year was the first time a bottom three pick was dealt. IT ended up being the 2nd overall pick and this was the trade : Cammalleri, 1st rounder 2010 for Kopitar, E. Kane, Filpulla

So it holds a bit of value, but every year it changes. Our poolies generally prefer to have assets like Kopi or Semin (was traded for 4 first rounders) than actual picks.