Oilers aren't making the playoffs, right?

[batola4797]

5-11-1 record: 11 pts in 17 games
95pts (on average) needed to make the playoffs
Oilers need to earn 84pts in the remaining 65 games
So in the remaining 65 games, the absolute minimum they need to play is: 35-16-14
Can they do it?
tutuappkodi

[hockeyrobot]

[FONT="]5-11-1 record: 11 pts in 17 games[/FONT]
[FONT="]95pts (on average) needed to make the playoffs[/FONT]
[FONT="]Oilers need to earn 84pts in the remaining 65 games[/FONT]
[FONT="]So in the remaining 65 games, the absolute minimum they need to play is: 35-16-14[/FONT]
Can they do it?

Nope. They're broken.

[2014olympicgold]

American Thanksgiving is a very known road marker for a reason.

Hockey Reference has their playoff probability at 7.8% and I think right now that's accurate. The more surprising thing is San Jose has a projected 66.6pts, and Edmonton has 79.9pts. Only 7-ish win difference.

A glimmer of hope for Edmonton is the West might only need about 92pts to get into the playoffs. So a 10 game stretch where they go 8-1-1, it could flip the script, which would put them at 13-12-2 (28pts). Each team kinda gets 1 bad stretch a year. This is Edmonton's, so the room for error is 0.

Then, if it fixes a roster issue, do the Oilers even entertain moving their first round pick?

[Daydream Nation]

I hope not!

[Feenom]

It will be tough. <understatement

[Axeman33]

The West is such a gong show, its not out of the question that they could snag a wildcard spot but they need to go on a serious run. I remember a few years ago when St Louis managed to come from dead last in the West around this time, if not later into the season, to make the playoffs and win the Cup.

Are the out of it? No, but they need to start playing better and that starts on top. Both McDavid and Draisaitl are playing so far below their norm its scary. If they can't get it going soon, it's not looking good.

On a side note, if people are thinking it's Ken Holland making the decisions on that team these days, they're sadly mistaken. This is the Jeff Jackson show for now. Holland is probably nothing more than an advisor at this point.

[pmorrow]

A team with McDavid and Draisaitl can do it. Problem is both haven't looked good. McDavid seems to be starting to look more normal after his injury but he still has a ways to go and I'm not sure about Drai. A lot of things are working against them. They are stuck in the mud in the standings right now. It's possible, but the will need some teams ahead of them to stub their toes.

[chuckcouples]

I would still be willing to bet on them making the playoffs. They lead the league in shots for per game and are among the leaders in expected goal percentage. Those are two signs of a winning hockey team. They need to play at about a 106 point pace for the rest of the season to get in and that's definitely something they can do.

[PenguinHunter]

I would not write them off yet.

I can't remember where exactly they were when they brought in Woodcroft.

They brought him in midseason correct? And worked themselves into a playoff spot.

[Canucks_fan18]

They got two tough games to end this road trip, if they win one and lose one. This will just make it that much harder to get in. The thing with the St.Louis comparison is similar to the Oilers this year their goaltending was terrible but they had competent D and Binnington went otherworldly. I think the Oilers are trying to find their version of Binnington and so far nothing internally has taken.

[2014olympicgold]

The Oilers fired Tippet on Feb 10, 2022. They were 23-18-3 (49pts) and 5th in the division. They were like 7pts out of a playoff spot, something like that.

They were like 14-5-0 at American Thanksgiving in 2021-22 season, good for 2nd in the West.

[rataylor22]

106 Point Pace is doable for the team on paper in the pre-season. The problem is every game they lose that pace becomes bigger, and also every game they lose it is harder to believe they can actually play at that pace.

I don't really know how they do it unless the goaltending turns around, and I don't really know how the goaltending turns around.

[kovalchuk17]

For the sake of my fantasy team (Mcjesus, RNH, Nurse, EKane), I hope they at least make it interesting lol

[LuigiC173]

they need to trade Draisaitl to acquire depth, particularly an upgrade in goal.

[Axeman33]

they need to trade Draisaitl to acquire depth, particularly an upgrade in goal.

Then who they acquire to replace him?