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Thread: $8.5m decision

  1. #1
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    Default $8.5m decision

    Hello.

    In an all category cap league (actual NHL cap) who holds more value? $8.5m Dubios or $8.5m Sergachev?
    10 Teams
    Keeper max 18 of 23 + 5 minors
    NHL Cap Hit
    G, A, SOG, HITS, BLKS, STP, FOW, Takeaways
    W, GAA, SV%, SO

    C
    Eichel, Beniers, Trocheck, Fantilli, Staal, Glendening, Mittlestadt, Bjugstad


    W
    B. Tkachuk, Pastrnak,
    Perfetti, Giroux, Byfield, Reinhart, Svechnikov, Quinn


    D
    Lauzon, Schenn, Englund, Hakanpaa, Korchinski


    G
    Sorokin, Ersson



    Minors
    Wallstedt, Wolf, Jiricek

  2. #2
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    Default Re: $8.5m decision

    None of us will (confidently) know.
    I've done the math on this before... it's hard/brutal.

    1. You have to make an Excel spreadsheet with all players owned, all data.
    2. You have to total all the counting players stats and total them. Then you give them a "share" of that category. Maybe Dubois' 500 FOW / 50,000 FOW for everybody = 1% = 0.01. Sergachev obviously gets a 0 in FOW.
    3. You have to total up the player's "share" score in every category.
    4. Even after doing that, you have to compare apples-to-apples, which means you have to understand what F or D are available on the waiver wire, how much their cap hit.

    For example, let's say you do 1-3 and you get the following:
    33.2 Dubois
    29.4 Sergachev

    OK... you say - Dubois gives better total multi-cat score... I go with him.

    Well - now you do apples-to-apples... you really have to choose a F+D for $10m.

    So you go to the wire and see what's available:

    7.3 WaiverWireF at $1.5m
    1.4 WaiverWireD at $1.5m


    Dubois (33.2) + WWD (1.4) = 34.6
    Serg (29.4) + WWF (7.3) = 36.7

    So in the final apples-to-apples comparison... Sergachev is the better choice because solid-performing patch-waiver-wire-Forwards at $1.5m (your cap relief maybe) are just way more plentiful and easier to pluck - ALWAYS.
    That's a critical part of cap leagues...
    What can you pluck off the waiver wire.



    My GUESS (just a guess):
    Sergachev is one of the rare 8-10 defensemen that can play PP1, and do BIG totals in HIT/BLK.
    These are gorgeous players to own in multi-cat... and BLK are especially rare and hard to find.
    (That said - so are FOW)

    My guess is Serg's multi-cat-ness at a position where multi-cat-value is HARD to get (D)... makes him the better pick.
    (If PLD was going to rake more FOW on LA... I maybe pick him... but Kopitar & Danault are still taking the Lion's share of FOW.)

  3. #3
    LuigiC173's Avatar
    LuigiC173 is offline
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    Default Re: $8.5m decision

    PLD is the Kyrie Irving of hockey, he will get disgruntled and it'll translate to his play/production. As stated, Sergachev is a gem at his position and really only just coming into his own with last season being the first one where he held the reins more than Victor.

  4. #4
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    Default Re: $8.5m decision

    Thanks for the replies! Went with Sergachev.

  5. #5
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    Default Re: $8.5m decision

    Good choice as I prefer the 1/2 dman over the 3C.

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