Re: Filip Forsberg - Where do we go from here?
I have always liked Forsberg, and want to see what he can do in another environment. Having said that, I very much struggle seeing him as a keeper option in a keep 3 league, especially for a team that is in contention.
While I have always thought Forsberg was capable of more than what he produced in the past few years, there are a lot of red flags in his results from this season (beyond the incentive of a contract year). His TOI, PPTOI, SOG/GP, and OZ Start % have remained relatively consistent over the past 4 seasons. Which tells us that his deployment hasn't really changed or improved. And it doesn't appear that he's creating any additional opportunities than in previous years. The additional points seem to come from an increased S% (18.6% vs 12.9% career average) and increased 5 on 5 S% (11.7% vs an average closer to 8.5%). So unless his shooting ability (and that of his linemates) has improved dramatically over the past year, it's unlikely that these results are sustainable. The normalization of his shooting percentage alone brings him from 42 goals down to about 29 (obviously still good, but not great, and more inline with his historical results).
Long story short, I like Forsberg, and think he can be a useful fantasy player. But this is an example of "buyer beware", especially in a keep 3 league. I think it would be a mistake to drop Svechnikov for him, and I am also curious what other keeper options you might have available. And if you can, this would probably be a great time to shop Forsberg to another GM (and waiting to see where he lands in free agency could spike his value even further, if he goes to the right team).
12 Teams, 23 Players (max 3 goalies), H2H, Keep 15 (max 2 goalies)
2C, 2RW, 2LW, 2F, 1U, 4D, 2G, 8 Bench, 2 IR+
G, A, +/-, PIM, PPP, HIT, BLK, W, SV, SV%, SHO
Keepers:
C - Matthews, Eichel, Hughes (LW), Pettersson
LW - Kaprizov, Svechnikov (RW), Guentzel, Fiala, Keller (RW)
RW - Marner, Meier (LW), Laine(C/LW), Jarvis (C)
D - Dahlin, Sergachev, Theodore, Klingberg, Werenski, Peeke, Cernak
G - Shesterkin, Sorokin, Merzlikins
IR - Pacioretty, Ristolainen
2023 Draft Picks: 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8
**2021/22 League Champion**