odds and probability are different in the way they are expressed - probability would say a coin flip is a 1/2 chance of coming up heads whereas odds would say 1:1 ratio heads vs tails. So the probability of red in any given spin is 48.6/100 and the odds of red are 48.6 : 51.4. It's not a very significant distinction in the sense we were using it in this conversation.
Again though, i agree it is moot. You should not look be looking at hockey players' performances as if they are coin flips or roulette spins because it's obviously a lot more complicated than that.
10-team H2H points keeper league, keep 4
G: 2, A: 2, SOG: 0.15, Hit: 0.15, Block: 0.15, W: 3.5, Sv: 0.025, SO: 6
7 F, 3 D, 1 G
2022-2023 Roster:
F: Connor McDavid, Steven Stamkos, Artemi Panarin, Jack Hughes, Mark Stone, Josh Norris, Tyler Bertuzzi, PL Dubois, Sam Bennett, Tom Wilson (IR)
D: Kris Letang, Drew Doughty, Brent Burns, Shayne Gostisbehere
G: Ilya Sorokin, Thatcher Demko
12 team keeper
Points only: G-1, A-1, W-2, SO-3; weekly rosters: 7F, 5D, 2G; keep 20 of 25
F: Tavares, McDavid, RNH, Stepan, Okposo, Brassard, Stone, Scheifele, Zibanejad, Ehlers, Larkin, Lindholm, Namestnikov
D: OEL, Hamilton, Mo. Rielly, Parayko, Gostisbehere, Trouba, Theodore
G: Price, Dubnyk, Lehner, Hellebuyck, Greiss
2014-15 Champ
Do any of Stone's comparables have the same takeaway stats as him? I see that as a major strength of his game.
I don't know about 70. I can see 65
he did 64 last season, 65 seems like it wouldn't even be very hard for him to pull off at this rate
10-team H2H points keeper league, keep 4
G: 2, A: 2, SOG: 0.15, Hit: 0.15, Block: 0.15, W: 3.5, Sv: 0.025, SO: 6
7 F, 3 D, 1 G
2022-2023 Roster:
F: Connor McDavid, Steven Stamkos, Artemi Panarin, Jack Hughes, Mark Stone, Josh Norris, Tyler Bertuzzi, PL Dubois, Sam Bennett, Tom Wilson (IR)
D: Kris Letang, Drew Doughty, Brent Burns, Shayne Gostisbehere
G: Ilya Sorokin, Thatcher Demko
The way Ottawa is scoring so far he'll win the Art Ross
14 team H2H fantasy points league
G=3 A=2 PPP=1.5 PIM/Hits/BS=0.25
W=4 SO=6 GA=-1.25 SV=0.15
Some announcer said he’s playing like Peter Forsberg. Hard nose and finesse combined. The play linked prior here was pretty.
12 Team, H2H, Keep 6 (in Bold)
G, A, Pts, PPP, FW, SOG, Hits, Blocks
W, Saves, S%, GAA, Game Started
2C, 2LW, 2RW, 4D, 1Util, 2G, 5BN, 2IR, 1IR+, 1NA
C: Horvat, Trocheck
LW: J. Robertson, Byfield (C), Guenther
RW: Pavelski (C), Giroux (C), Svechnikov (LW)
D: Fox, Makar, Bouchard, Morrissey, Gudas
Util: Meier (LW, RW)
G: Oettinger, Georgiev, Samsonov, Woll
That announcer couldn't have watched Peter Forsberg play in his prime because Stone doesn't play anything like Forsberg. Forsberg was a force, skating, hitting, dogged determination AND mad skills. I really like Stone's game, but he's nowhere near as fast or tough as Forsberg was.
"For I am a sinner in the hands of an angry God. Bloody Mary, full of vodka, blessed are you among cocktails. Pray for me now and at the hour of my death, which I hope is soon. Amen." - Sterling Archer
"Don't spray that urine on my sons window. If you want a dollar for doing nothing, walk to Canada." - Malory Archer
“Anyone who thinks the pen is mightier than the sword has not been stabbed with both.” - Lemony Snicket
You guys are all clinically insane. How many players even reach 70 in a season!? He's a 60-65 pt forward who slightly overachieved and probably had what will be one of his better years during an insane streak where the Senators went on a tear. I don't think he will be a flash in the pan, like Hammond will be imo, but he'll be a solid forward who will be in the 60 pt range. Everyone thinks every damn player will score 70+ pts. Get real.
10 Team keeper league
(9F, 4D, 2G, 4 bench, 2 IR)
H2H
Goals-1, Assists-1, PPP-0.5, SHG=1, Hits-0.05, BS-0.05, Shots-0.05, Wins-2, Shutouts-2, Saves 0.01, Defenseman Pts-0.5
Keep 6 (potentially 7 with a vote pending)
2012/2013: 4th in reg season, 2nd in playoffs
2013/2014: 1st (t) reg season, 4th in playoffs
2014/2015: 1st reg season, 4th in playoffs
2015/2016 7th reg season (third highest PF)
Crosby, Malkin, Laine, Getzlaf, Radulov, Arvidsson, Rantanen, Bailey, W. Karlsson, Ducehene,Haula,
Klingberg, Suter, Trouba, Ekblad, Provorov
Holtby, Talbot, Varlamov
That's really just because a lot of players have that upside until proven otherwise; which would be when they are over the hill during the course of their career.
The list of players that could hit 70pts is large, while the list of players that do is small; so we speculate on the likelihood of those that could. If you don't think Stone could hit 70 one day, then you haven't been following/watching him.
12 team keeper
Points only: G-1, A-1, W-2, SO-3; weekly rosters: 7F, 5D, 2G; keep 20 of 25
F: Tavares, McDavid, RNH, Stepan, Okposo, Brassard, Stone, Scheifele, Zibanejad, Ehlers, Larkin, Lindholm, Namestnikov
D: OEL, Hamilton, Mo. Rielly, Parayko, Gostisbehere, Trouba, Theodore
G: Price, Dubnyk, Lehner, Hellebuyck, Greiss
2014-15 Champ
If you say a player is a 65 point player, is it really a stretch to say he could score 70? Its 5 extra points.
20 Team Dynasty (points per) - G (25, 50 for defense) A (25) PIM (3) PPP (15) SHP (25) OTG (15) GWG (25) HTr (50) SOW (75) HIT (1) BLK (2) W (50) SHO (100) OTL (10) GA (-15) SV (2) Use actual NHL salary
Start 12 F, 6 D, 1G weekly
F: Kucherov, Marchand, Barkov, Gaudreau, Laine, Aho, Dubois, Dadonov, Huberdeau, Trocheck, Bertuzzi, Beauvillier, Khaira, Grigorenko
D: Ekman-Larsson, Yandle, Edler, Pulock, Borowiecki, Weegar, Mike Reilly
G: Andersen, Hart
Farm: Boldy, Beckman, Wise, Mascherin, Kovalenko, Manukyan, Walker, Morozov, Shafigullin, Palmu, Tychonic, Zhuravlyov, Kesselring, Zamula, Lankinen, Sogaard, Ingram, Rybar
70+ is a little different than just 70 imo. I think he's a 60 pt player.
10 Team keeper league
(9F, 4D, 2G, 4 bench, 2 IR)
H2H
Goals-1, Assists-1, PPP-0.5, SHG=1, Hits-0.05, BS-0.05, Shots-0.05, Wins-2, Shutouts-2, Saves 0.01, Defenseman Pts-0.5
Keep 6 (potentially 7 with a vote pending)
2012/2013: 4th in reg season, 2nd in playoffs
2013/2014: 1st (t) reg season, 4th in playoffs
2014/2015: 1st reg season, 4th in playoffs
2015/2016 7th reg season (third highest PF)
Crosby, Malkin, Laine, Getzlaf, Radulov, Arvidsson, Rantanen, Bailey, W. Karlsson, Ducehene,Haula,
Klingberg, Suter, Trouba, Ekblad, Provorov
Holtby, Talbot, Varlamov
you say he overachieved last year, but then you say he's a 60-65 point player. So how exactly did he overachieve?
Anyway there's no way last year will be his best. The best is yet to come.