D'oh! missed the draft.. do you ever get any decent goalies in an auto select? i think not
12 Team H2H Keep 6
Scoring Cats - Players: G, A, P, +/-, PPG, SHG, GWG
Goalies: W, GAA, SV%, SHO
Start 2C, 2LW, 2RW, 4D, 1G (locked in for the week)
C: Malkin, Kuznetsov, Larkin, Couture
LW: Hall, DeBrincat, Fiala
RW: Kucherov, J.T. Miller
D: Theodore, Gustafsson, Pulock
G: Hellebuyck, Shesterkin
As comparison, here is:
P7 "Reach Factor" Standings:
+15.2 2 fasth 2 furious
+10.6 Yellow Dogs
+5.2 Barn Fights
+4.1 Da Budz
...
+0.9 Streit Outta Compton
+0.1 Pylons
-0.1 Team Ramrod
...
-3.4 Ott Man Out
-14.5 rainydrinkwater
-16.1 Mystery Alaska (autodraft)
-18.9 Marko K's Rad Team (autodraft)
-19.2 Midguard Maulers
-34.8 In It To Winnik
Wow, I went first with Ovi and seemingly managed to muck it all up as per these predictions. Here's hoping it isn't that bad! lol
14 Team H2H Cap
G A DPTS FOW SOG STP H+B | W SV SV% GAA
C: Scheifele, Stamkos (rw), Tavares
LW: Gaudreau, Giroux (c/rw), Labanc(rw)
RW: Atkinson, Thompson (c), Keller (lw), Glendening (c)
D: Klingberg, Gostisbehere, Dumba, Krug (50%), Trouba, McNabb, Gudas
G: Holtby, Fleury, Markstrom
FARM NOTABLES:
F: Bokk, A Thomas, Kaprizov, Dorofeyev, Mikheyev
D: Dalhin, Beaudin, Dunn, Kylington, Harley
G: Hart, Demko
Your team is fine.
I actually liked a lot of your draft.
But a guy like Nichushkin... it's not like the sharks were circling in the water to get him.
A round 9 pick for him!
Well - perhaps he could become this year's Tarasenko... but he's easily a player that would've been there in round 16.
He went 18th round in both the Experts league & Norris division.
Two or three overdrafted player (like Yakupov) will really hurt your "Reach Factor" rank... but it doesn't mean you have a bad team.
Each team is bound to have 2-3 players go down with injuries anyways - so a mis-drafted player is about the same as being the first team to have a significant injury.
It kind of lowers your odds of winning, but it doesn't mean you can't.
Hah, I literally thought that to myself before hitting draft. "He could easily be this year's Tarasenko, and I can't be alone in thinking that. Just grab him before you wait one round too late and he's gone."
Not a perfect draft, but time will tell how badly I did I guess!
14 Team H2H Cap
G A DPTS FOW SOG STP H+B | W SV SV% GAA
C: Scheifele, Stamkos (rw), Tavares
LW: Gaudreau, Giroux (c/rw), Labanc(rw)
RW: Atkinson, Thompson (c), Keller (lw), Glendening (c)
D: Klingberg, Gostisbehere, Dumba, Krug (50%), Trouba, McNabb, Gudas
G: Holtby, Fleury, Markstrom
FARM NOTABLES:
F: Bokk, A Thomas, Kaprizov, Dorofeyev, Mikheyev
D: Dalhin, Beaudin, Dunn, Kylington, Harley
G: Hart, Demko
2 fasth 2 furious checking in. How are those projections calculated? and same question for the "reach factor"?
Hopefully my squad lives up to the projections hahah
12 team, keep 9 league, 4C,4LW,4RW,6D,2G,25 man rosters
Cats: G,A,+/-, PIM, PPP,SHP,SOG//W,GAA,SV,SV%,SHO
C: Getzlaf, Stepan, Krejci, Rakell, H Sedin,
LW: Pacioretty, Van Riemsdyk, Neal, Lee, Burakovsky
RW: Perry, Jagr, Boedker, Zibanejad,
D: Weber, Hedman, Ekman-Larsson, Faulk, Phaneuf, Fowler
G: Lundqvist, Price, Darling, Howard, Scrivens, Enroth, Greiss
temek does his own projections for every NHL player each off-season.
historically, I can vouch that he does a pretty good job.
If you go to the Experts League thread, you can see the algorithm I just created today for "Reach Factor".
It basically gives a value to each player you drafted, relative to where that player might be drafted in other leagues (ADP).
(B - A) / C
A = ADP of player drafted in 5* leagues of similar categories (other Dobber leagues)
B = where player was drafted in specific league
C = Round (*this just sort of normalizes each player's value)
Here's a snapshot of the one I did in the Smythe, showing your (2fasth) team.
See attached .pdf
(Of note: Because there are only 4-5 leagues of data, it doesn't take much to SKEW "Value" of any player. For example, in the Norris, one team reached for Petr Mrazek at pick #87. This gives him a much higher ADP compared to other leagues where me might be picked around spot 200. So if you got him at 204... it'll be a nice "Reach Factor" relative to his ADP of 156.3... but the 156.3 itself is probably way too high, simply from that one guy that took Mrazek at #87.)
To get a high PLUS value on a player, it usually means that everybody in your league is passing on a player... who wouldn't be passed over in another league.
So there's good value in happening to pounce on a player looked over.
To get a high MINUS value on a player, it usually means ONE GM is drafting that player much sooner than he would go in another league.
I think the big MINUS... especially in rounds 3-20... probably a bad sign. (In the first couple rounds, the value can be skewed simply by the low round denominator or 1 or 2... but it may not be that bad.)
The worst MINUS occurs in the EXPERTS league, where somebody took McDavid (ADP of 31.0) at a round #2 spot of 14th overall.
That would be a Reach-Factor Value of -8.5 (31-14)/2... actually, would've been an even worse reach factor of -17... had it occured in 1st round. (The "Round" denominator isn't perfect... could be tweaked to be better.)
wow a +15.2 is pretty good. I like that I'm #2 in temek's prediction. I don't like that I'm middle of the pack with your Reach factor. Atleast I'm not negative!
Not surprise to see Yellow Dogs being up in the Reach factor, he was picking before me at every turn and almost always took the player I wanted.
twitter: @hugotwigg
12 team, keep 9 league, 4C,4LW,4RW,6D,2G,25 man rosters
Cats: G,A,+/-, PIM, PPP,SHP,SOG//W,GAA,SV,SV%,SHO
C: Getzlaf, Stepan, Krejci, Rakell, H Sedin,
LW: Pacioretty, Van Riemsdyk, Neal, Lee, Burakovsky
RW: Perry, Jagr, Boedker, Zibanejad,
D: Weber, Hedman, Ekman-Larsson, Faulk, Phaneuf, Fowler
G: Lundqvist, Price, Darling, Howard, Scrivens, Enroth, Greiss
Yup I have my work cut out for me here. Was on auto from something like rounds 5-20. Yahoo! draft room opening only 15 minutes before the draft buzzed me out too.
Always willing to talk trade (Barn Fights)
Happy with the draft (happier with temek's projections), felt I reached a bit for both McD & Eichel but mostly went safe after that (minus a reach for 2 hitters in Martin & Clutterbuck).
P7, unless I'm reading it wrong you put Melker Karlsson as an ADP of 6.0 so my Reach would be much lower.
12-man salary cap roto keeper league, 25 roster spots & 8 farm (12 F, 6D, 2G active - max 82GP/spot) - 83M cap, real AAV - G/A/P/PPP/SOGs/Hits/PIM W/GAA/SO
F: Giroux, Little, Steen, Downie, Perron, Hudler, Bouma, Rinaldo, BSchenn, MKarlsson, Nelson, Spooner, Pastrnak, Bjorkstrand, Panarin
D: Markov, Sekera, Klingberg, Boychuk, Brodie, Karlsson, Reilly
G: Miller, Howard, Mrazek
Farm: Petan, Hellebuyck, Goldobin, Werenski, Beauvillier, DeBrusk, Rychel, Kyle Connor
Updated "Reach Factor" based on all four Dobber league drafts:
[Most Negative Value means a lot of players taken well before their ADP.]
+14.4 2 fasth 2 furious
+9.9 Yellow Dogs
...
+1.2 Team Ramrod
+0.8 Da Budz
-1.5 Barn Fights
-2.9 Streit Outta Compton
-3.7 Pylons
-6.1 rainydrinkwater
-7.2 Ott Man Out
...
-13.4 Mystery Alaska
-18.6 Marko K's Rad Team
-26.4 Midguard Maulers
-26.6 In It To Winnik
Interpretation in conjunction with Temek's Projected Standings:
High in Temek Standings & High in Reach Value - suggests team value-drafted players wrongfully passed over by other GMs
High in Temek Standings & Low in Reach Value - suggests team is reaching for the RIGHT players
Low in Temek Standings & High in Reach Value - suggests team took bad players rightfully passed over by other GMs (ex. JVR)
Low in Temek Standings & Low in Reach Value - suggests team is reaching for the WRONG players