Keeper: Duchene or Hornqvist?

[niceguydrp]

With O'Reilly leaving Colorado you would have to think that this opens up the #1C spot for Duchene to have another big year. He has ppg potential and with his new resposibility and probable added powerplay time, is he worth more than Hornqvist on a deep pittspurgh forward unit?

H2H Points System: G (3), A (2), +/- (1/-1), PPP (0.5), Hits (0.1), Blocks (0.2)

[Laendarian]

I think he is, but more for keeper name value than actual points (I think Hornqvist out-paces him next season). If this is a trade I want Hornqvist, if this is establishing your last keeper take Duchene and redraft Hornqvist as I think he slides further.

[Axeman33]

I didnt realize that O'Reilly had overtaken the 1C role from Duchene last year. I just thought they both had down years. I don't see how O'Reilly leaving changes anything for Duchene.

That being said, with this setup I prefer Hornqvist.

[Pengwin7]

COL's top six last year was most commonly:

Landeskog-O'Reilly-MacKinnon
Tanguay-Duchene-Iginla

Roy is a big fan of his veteran players on his PP1.
Most commonly it was Tanguay-ROR-Iggy.
ALEX TANGUAY RYAN OREILLY JAROME IGINLA N/A 10.5%
JAROME IGINLA NATHAN MACKINNON RYAN OREILLY N/A 8.5%
GABRIEL LANDESKOG NATHAN MACKINNON RYAN OREILLY N/A 8%
JAMIE MCGINN MATT DUCHENE JAROME IGINLA N/A 7.5%

ROR is gone.
Soderberg is in.

Yes, there's a nice bump for Duchene because Roy wasn't giving him young linemates or PP1 time.
So perhaps there's more hope for him.

I'm gonna go with Hornqvist though.
I just think Roy expects a lot of two-way game out of his centers - and it will prohibit Duchene a bit from offensive stats.

If Hornqvist is paired with Crosby... it's gonna be dynamic.
An 82gp Hornqvist, IF with Crosby for 60+ of those games... he's a darkhorse for 80+pts himself.

[Dennis4022]

In a league that gives a bonus for goals Hornqvist is the better choice. He should have like 10 goals more than Duchene, a better +/- and more hits.

[YzermansLegacy]

Wow a rare day when I see things a little differently than the heavyweights - but for me I'm taking Duchene. And yes, I think it's extremely close with this setup.

Personally I see Horny as a slight bit of an injury risk and view Duchene as being primed to start flirting with PPG. While I do love Horny's situation, especially being the garbage front-man on that filthy PP, I just believe Duchene will be the better fantasy producer, as early as this season (but cautiously the same now and better in 2-3 years).

Even in PIT there's only so many points to go around - and you have to assume that Sid, Geno, Kes and Letang (when healthy) will be the big dogs. I don't think Horny's points will "suffer" per se, but I also don't think they'll spike too much either. Whereas I think you see Dutchie's production thrust him back into that "1C" spotlight.

[Bass56]

I would prefer Duchene in a keeper but Hornqvist in a 1 year.

Since this thread is in the one year section yet it implies a keeper perspective, maybe a Mod could move it to the keeper section so that the OP may get more specific views/answers?

[donpaulo]

Hornqvist is probably the better `known` stat line which would probably suit most fantasy GM`s just fine, while Duchene seems to be mostly about possible upside. Do we see the possible breakout of 13-14 with a few more goals ? Or do we see him settling in the 55+ zone.

Depending on where you are drafting I would probably go for the upside of Duchene but its clearly a gamble on my part because I think he tests 70 points again

[CHunter]

In this league, I would prefer Hornqvist

[niceguydrp]

I would prefer Duchene in a keeper but Hornqvist in a 1 year.

Since this thread is in the one year section yet it implies a keeper perspective, maybe a Mod could move it to the keeper section so that the OP may get more specific views/answers?

Thanks for the response.

However, I believe this thread should have remained in the non-keeper section because even though I am choosing a keeper for next season, I am only interested in the single season value of each player. We are not allowed to keep the same keepers for more than one season, so long-term value is not taken into consideration.

Does anybody think Hornqvist will be moved off the top powerplay unit with Kessel's arrival (both RW). Or will Horny always have a spot in front of the net on PP1 and somebody like Kunitz gets bumped?

[Jouko-Pouko]

Thanks for the response.

However, I believe this thread should have remained in the non-keeper section because even though I am choosing a keeper for next season, I am only interested in the single season value of each player. We are not allowed to keep the same keepers for more than one season, so long-term value is not taken into consideration.

Does anybody think Hornqvist will be moved off the top powerplay unit with Kessel's arrival (both RW). Or will Horny always have a spot in front of the net on PP1 and somebody like Kunitz gets bumped?

For next season only, go with Hornqvist. Sure, Duchene could get more points but I doubt he gets more fantasy points in your league. Hornqvist's spot on the PP1 is safe in my opinion.

[kevinsrangers]

I like Duchenne more, although it's very close.

[GoNucks]

Give me Duchene. Horny will be in tough to get points with the addition of Kessel.

[Bass56]

However, I believe this thread should have remained in the non-keeper section because even though I am choosing a keeper for next season, I am only interested in the single season value of each player. We are not allowed to keep the same keepers for more than one season, so long-term value is not taken into consideration.

Oh ok my bad; guess it does make sense.

In light of this, I still like Hornqvist in your format for next year.