First really big home stand of the season starts tonight. Tonight will be interesting and they need to get out of the blocks strong. The thing is, this team's knack for playing riskier and a bit shaky on home ice. Sure they have the 5-1 record, but those have been....let's say never a dull moment. They do seem to try and put on a show for the home fans and it gets them in trouble, then toss in the all too natural need for redemption for the loss in Toronto and maybe they push a little harder instead just letting the game evolve naturally. Hopefully they will play more like they do on the road. If they do they should get the W and start off on the right foot. Worryingly the Stars do tend to be extra shaky in the first game back after a long road trip.
Then comes the first real test, Winnipeg and Minny. Two teams that coming into the season were ones that we figured to be in the thick of the wildcard race with. Good measuring stick to see if this hot start is real or just the product of knocking the snot out of "weaker" Eastern Conference opponents. Kind of funny, they'll have wrapped up the season series against the Pens, Panthers, and Leafs before they play their second game in the division.
Roussel is back in tonight per Mike Heika, also Niemi in goal. That brings me back to the Lehtonen thread I commented on yesterday. There is a way to get at least a decent idea of where Ruff is going in goal each night. He seems to place a good deal of weight on trends. Anecdotal evidence: Lehts has that great record on the road, and yet Niemi starts in Philly and Toronto. Trends say Niemi was the safer bet based on his record versus those opponents, so it seems, that, more than a current run of good play will make up Ruff's mind. Lehts has been very good the last two starts, but struggles at home so on comes Niemi. If you own one or both of the tandem and want to get a jump on who to start, look at trends and not just current level of play alone.
Lastly here's a good read from Razor looking back at the first 15 games vs. goals set before the season started....
http://stars.nhl.com/club/news.htm?i...L%7CDAL%7Chome