Should I start Rinne?
Hello there Dobberites,
I've got a hella-tight playoff matchup that's gonna come down to the end. I've got 10 minutes to decide:
Should I start Rinne or not
My current stats: 5W, 2.67 GAA, .915 Sv%, 0 SO
My opponents stats: 4W, 2.70GAA, .909 Sv%, 1 SO
I won't go into detail about scoring, but right now it's very close, we both have 4 and 5 players left and it's tied up 3-3 scoring wise.
We both have one start left each, his start comes later which is a considerable advantage at this point:
I have - Rinne @ Chicago
He has - Elliott @ Phoenix
If Rinne allows X amount of goals, my final GAA will result in Y (If he plays a full 60 minutes)
0 goals = 2.35
1 goal = 2.47
2 goals = 2.59
3 goals = 2.71
4 goals = 2.82
5 goals = 2.94
If Elliott allows X goals, his final GAA number will result in Y
0 goals = 2.39
1 goal = 2.51
2 goals = 2.62
3 goals = 2.73
4 goals = 2.85
5 goals = 2.96
Unless Rinne bombs, he'll be starting Elliot 100% to get a chance at wins. So I'm sacrificing my small lead (in GAA, and Sv%) to outright take wins, slightly improve my GAA / SV% and also have a shot at tying SOs.
So what do you think? I have a 10 minutes to make this decision. I'll crunch some more numbers now on the effects on his and my SV.% as well as his GAA depending on the goalies potential outcomes.
Last edited by Hoppy; March 25, 2012 at 7:20 PM.
Reason: updated number crunching
Year IIII - 12 teams - 6 keepers
G, A, PTS, +/-, PPP, SHP, GWG /// W, SV%, GAA, SO
LW: Duchene, Pacioretty, Bailey
C: Kopitar, Skinner, Berglund
RW: P. Kane, Grabner, Tarasenko
D: Karlsson, Kronwall, Chara, Carle, McDonagh
UTL: ______
G: Price, Rinne
IR: Burrows
BN: Elliott, Johansson Gerbe, Clowe, Clarksson, Trouba,