Duchene vs. van Riemsdyk vs. Hodgson

[andrewklassen]

What does everyone see from these 3 over the next 2 years?

I have a rough percentage guess of chance they'll be in the NHL next year at...

Duchene - 90% [Sakic retiring should all but guarantee him a spot]
Hodgson - 75% [seems NHL ready and VAN could use another C]
van Riemsdyk - 55% [always an issue of a F logjam in PHI]

Would any of you change these percentages?

What about point totals for the next 2 years? I know Duchene has the highest upside of these 3, but who will produce the most the quickest?

[hockeyaholic]

My guess on the percentages:

Duchene: 80% he plays at least a few games, 65% he plays the majority of the season
Hodgson: 95% he plays the majority of the season
van Riemsdyk: 25% he plays the majority of the season

Points totals for next season:
Duchene: 42
Hodgson: 48
van Riemsdyk: 36 in 56 AHL games

Points totals in 3 years:
Duchene: 72
Hodgson: 59
van Riemsdyk: 48

[lanky522]

yeah, i'd definitely favor duchene and hodgson before jvr if you're thinking 1 to 2 years.

JVR if he does make the team this year will have limited production for at least a few years, while i think that hodgson and duchene will be putting up reasonable rookie numbers this year and even better numbers in year 2.

figure 40-55 for both this year, and perhaps as much as 60 for hodgson next year and 70 for duchene in year two. JVR will be lucky to hit 45 points in either of the next two seasons.