Re: Trying to Learn the Ropes, Need Advice Please!
The last few weeks have been pretty bad for me too. I've been breaking even for what seems like a month now, which has been frustrating.
Last night I put Lehtonen in every single lineup. Went to bed when it was 4-0 and woke up only to face palm myself. That one swing could have put me up around $20 and instead I lost $3. Oh well =/
I find that I can't rely on SH%, 5v5 SH%, IPP, or possession stats to make judgement calls right now. Player trends are just not normalizing at the moment. This is why DFS is akin to gambling imo. You just never know what's going to happen in spite of heavy research/knowledge.
I'm gonna keep playing the small bets and the lower risk 50/50s. I make small, incremental changes in my strategy and I keep to it for at least 30-60 lineups. I see what works and what doesn't and change things up from there.
12 team keeper
Points only: G-1, A-1, W-2, SO-3; weekly rosters: 7F, 5D, 2G; keep 20 of 25
F: Tavares, McDavid, RNH, Stepan, Okposo, Brassard, Stone, Scheifele, Zibanejad, Ehlers, Larkin, Lindholm, Namestnikov
D: OEL, Hamilton, Mo. Rielly, Parayko, Gostisbehere, Trouba, Theodore
G: Price, Dubnyk, Lehner, Hellebuyck, Greiss
2014-15 Champ