Re: What happens if...
The more that I think about it, the more I become convinced that I was wrong thinking the Yotes would take Dylan Strome. Strome has his detractors, and you can't possibly say that there isn't some "statistically significant" risk associated with both Strome and Marner. People question Strome's overall game and play without the puck, while the size critics have come to roost over Marner. Investing highly in a guy who didn't even weigh 160 at the combine could make some nervous.
So, we're left with Noah Hanifin. He's rated by most scouting services as the overall #3 ranked player in this draft, and his level of risk is WAAAAAAY below either Strome or Marner. I don't care what you say about Hanifin's upside, he's a sure thing. And guaranteed to be a high-quality NHL defenseman. Having a guy like that to go with OEL, and developing guys like Murphy / Stone / Gormley isn't a bad idea at this point. It's probably the safest play for the franchise, and quite honestly Hanifin does have a lot of upside. He could turn into a guy that scores 45+ annually while playing an efficient, shut-down type game on the defensive end.
Weighing the BPA factor and the level of risk associated with the players after Eichel + McDavid, I think the Yotes select Hanifin #3. That leaves hometown kid Strome for the Leafs, and the Canes will swoop in and gladly take Marner. After that I think the Devs pick up Barzal, and the Flyers are actually the team that snags Provorov to anchor their blueline. After that I see the big Finn going to Columbus (natural drafting fit), the Sharks probably going Werenski, and the Avs closing out the top10 with good 'ol Lawson Crouse.
It's certainly possible that Provorov goes higher, but I don't see any Dmen outside Hanifin going inside the top5.
MounD - Double Threat FHL (18-19 champs)
10-Team Yahoo daily H2H Dynasty
3C, 3LW, 3RW, 6D, 2G, 7Bn (IR)
G, A, +/-, PPP, SHP, SOG, FW, HIT, BLK // W, Sv, GAA, Sv%, SHO
C: Bergeron, Barkov, Aho, Point, Kadri
LW: Marchand, Landeskog, Hertl, Marchessault
RW: Stamkos, Tarasenko, Laine, Palmieri
D: Carlson, Letang, Dumba, Weber, Pietrangelo, Ristolainen, Byfuglien*
G: Bobrovsky, Holtby, Lehner, Greiss-Varlamov
Farm: Turcotte, Cozens, Denisenko, Newhook // Sandin, Jokiharju, Dobson, K'Andre // Shesterkin