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Thread: Long-term projections for these 2014 draft picks

  1. #1
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    Default Long-term projections for these 2014 draft picks

    Say 3-4 years down the road, what projections do you have for the following prospects long-term:

    Leon Draisaitl
    William Nylander
    Nikolaj Ehlers
    Kasperi Kapanen
    Kevin Fiala

    Thanks!
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    (F): MacKinnon, Pasta, Marner, Rantanen, Malkin, Barkov, M.Tkachuk, W.Nylander, Pettersson, Gaudreau, Laine, Keller, Miller, B.Tkachuk, Stutzle, DeBrincat, L.Raymond, K.Johnson, Cozens, Quinn, Guenther, Kulich, Cooley
    (D): Makar, Dahlin, Q.Hughes, Ekblad, Rielly, Werenski, Letang, Jones, Chychrun,
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  2. #2
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    Default Re: Long-term projections for these 2014 draft picks

    That's a tough one.

    3-4 years is really just short of their prime years (23-28 IMO).

    That being said, in 3-4 years I can see:

    - Draisaitl notching 60-70 points as the #2 C in EDM
    - Nylander in around 60 points in his 2nd or 3rd year in Toronto
    - Ehlers entering his 2nd or 3rd year and notching 20 goals & 45-55 points
    - Kapenen could very well be enjoying the back 9 of Sidney's prime and be producing 65+ points by then
    - Fiala is the only one I don't know much about...

    Long-term:

    - Draisaitl might have a handful of 80+ point seasons in him if all the stars align
    - Ditto for Nylander and Ehlers
    - Kapanen could very well hit 75+ as long as he's being centred by Sid or Malkin
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    Default Re: Long-term projections for these 2014 draft picks

    Thanks, Vintage!
    8-GM / WK-H2H
    Forwards: G=2, A=1, PP/SH= +1, GWG= +2, Shootout G=1, HT= +1
    D-Men/Captain: G=3/A=2
    Goalies: W=3, OTL=1, SO= +2, SV= .10


    Start = 13F, 6D, 2G / Keep 44 (3G)
    Captain: Matthews
    (F): MacKinnon, Pasta, Marner, Rantanen, Malkin, Barkov, M.Tkachuk, W.Nylander, Pettersson, Gaudreau, Laine, Keller, Miller, B.Tkachuk, Stutzle, DeBrincat, L.Raymond, K.Johnson, Cozens, Quinn, Guenther, Kulich, Cooley
    (D): Makar, Dahlin, Q.Hughes, Ekblad, Rielly, Werenski, Letang, Jones, Chychrun,
    Seider, Edvinsson, Jiricek, Korchinski, Mintyukov, Ceulemans, Hutson
    (G): Shesterkin, Demko, Vejmelka

  4. #4
    arctic_rogue's Avatar
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    Default Re: Long-term projections for these 2014 draft picks

    Hmmm.. 3-4 years, I don't really see these guys hitting their best. I'll give you what I think in 3-4 years and what I think their "reasonable" best will be {not pie in the sky upside]

    Name: 3/4 years - reasonable best
    Leon Draisaitl: 60 - 75
    William Nylander: 50 - 70
    Nikolaj Ehlers: 50 - 70
    Kasperi Kapanen: 55 - 70
    Kevin Fiala: 40 - 55
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  5. #5
    franklin's Avatar
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    Default Re: Long-term projections for these 2014 draft picks

    Leon Draisaitl (68-70pts)
    William Nylander (55-60pts)
    Nikolaj Ehlers (55-60pts)
    Kasperi Kapanen (58-65pts)
    Kevin Fiala (50-55pts)
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  6. #6
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    Default Re: Long-term projections for these 2014 draft picks

    I grouped them in ranges and the wider the range the less certainty (in my opinion) that the will reach the ceiling:

    Leon Draisaitl (65-75pts)
    William Nylander and Nikolaj Ehlers (60-80pts)
    Kasperi Kapanen and Kevin Fiala (50-65pts)
    10 Team Keeper League, 15 Keepers (max 2 goalies), 10 prospects, Start 2C, 2LW, 2RW, 3 Utility, 4D, 2G

    Stats: G, A, P, +/-, PIMS, SOG, STP; W, SO, SV%, GAA

    C: MacKinnon, Scheifele, Larkin, Pavelski (RW)
    LW Panarin, Ehlers , Ovechkin, Verhaeghe (C), Beauvillier, Killorn
    RW: Kucherov, Pastrnak, Wheeler, Mangiapane (LW)
    D: Makar, Hughes, Krug; Pietrangelo, Schmidt, Andersson, Gostibehere
    G: Vasilevskiy, Hellebuyck, Bobrovsky

    Prospects: Sorokin (G), Askarov (G), Raymond (LW), Kaliyev (RW), Perfetti (RW), Norris (C), Kaprizov (LW), Hayton (C), Brannstrom (D), Boqvist (D), Clarke (D)

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