Re: Goalie Volatility: A good article from Five Thirty Eight
I very much agree in the randomness and volatility of goalie stats. That said, I still still strongly believe in investing in top goaltending studs as they are often the exception to the rule. 2nd and 3rd tier goalies can be a total crapshoot, but having a Rask/Lundy/Quick etc provides a team with needed stability year over year.....Lundy has been a mainstay on my team for many years, and this was the first year in 6 or 7 that you couldn't set your watch by his numbers. Same with Rask, you know exactly what you are going to get from him every year, extremely low risk.
I like to invest in at least one legit top stud G in most leagues, and then heavily invest in skaters........I usually leave my 2nd and 2rd goalie picks till quite late knowing that there are always G's that come out of nowhere and provide great value. For me, it was Steve Mason this year. I grabbed him off of waiver a couple of weeks into the season, and he ended up being a top-12 goalie play in my league.
I agree with the volatility of goalies and that it's often wise to devalue them or move them for skaters, but I also feel this fact makes for an even stronger case to invest in that top stud goalie that you can hang your hat on.
10 team, head-to-head, multi-cat, keep-12 keeper league. CATS: G,A,+/-,PPP,PIM,SOG,HITS BS,SHP, W,SV,SV%,GAA,SO Daily rosters of 6F, 4D, 2 Flex, 2G
F: Crosby, Hall, Pacioretty, Hartnell, Neal, Nugent-Hopkins, Callahan, Dubinsky, Hossa, Huberdeau, Abdelkader, Bjugstad (IR)
D: Karlsson, Hedman, Muzzin, Savard, Streit (IR)
G: Lundqvist, Quick, Condon