I like Pavelec a lot. He'll be a productive goalie in this league as long as he gets help defensively. He has the ability, but he isn't always consistent to be the best himself.
He seems to have found his stride this season. Over the past 5 games or so, he's been consistently good. With the Jets in the playoff hunt, Pavelec HAS to be the best he can from here on out so that should be a bonus as far as fantasy goes. The team is playing better in front as well. He's going to be the key piece in the playoff run.
As far as numbers go, they should be fantasy solid. He'll get wins, but the SV% and GAA is always going to be tricky with him. Last year, those two categories were somewhat awful yet he was fantastic for the majority of the season.
He's inconsistent and allows bad goals often. His glove has been a major weakness, but he's worked on it as of late. He is a very agile goalie and gets from left to right with ease. He's spotting pucks better and plays the percentages. It's tough to get pucks past him because when stretched out he takes up almost the entire net. He makes big saves.
Winnipeg is going to be a good team for a while with the young core being built. Whether it's this year when it finally happens, next, or two years from now, it's going to happen soon. Pavelec will be there when it does.