Re: Lehner Island
I'm on the same page as you guys in that I would take Lehner over Demko and Saros for sure, I'd probably have him in the same tier as Rinne.
All that being said, the explanation is really at the top of the article where Dobber explains:
As always, goalies within the same tier should be considered equal. At that point you would differentiate based on your team's need – immediate help, or long-term upside, or low-risk (i.e. doesn't get hurt a lot), etc.
This means that Lehner is in Tier 2 the same as Rinne/Saros/Hutton and a whole bunch of other goalies.
He also explains the ranking:
Some goalies have a higher/lower tier and yet because it is sorted by rating it may not make sense. Goalies are such a hard animal to figure out. A fantasy-useless goalie can become a stud in a matter of a month (ahem, Jordan Binnington). A weaker goalie can be…oh I don't know, sixth… strictly due to getting tons of guaranteed starts on a winning team year after year.
This shows why Demko is ranked just higher than Lehner in this current set of rankings.
Without me, it's only "aweso".