Fantasy Hockey Mailbag: 2013-14 DobberHockey Fantasy Guide Edition

[valec]

From the last mailbag:

Dynasty cap hit league and team in sig.

Kind of a team audit question. Sorry for the length.
Currently over cap by 3.5M. But would like to move more with Letang's contract raise next year.

Who would you look at moving. I've put some of the higher and more obvious guys to move.

Sharp, Patrick 5.9M
Thornton, Joe 7M
Koivu, Mikko 6.75M
Sedin, Daniel 6.1M
St. Louis, Martin 5.6M
Getzlaf, Ryan 8.25M
Purcell, Teddy 4.5M
Zetterberg, Henrik 6M
Callahan, Ryan 4.25M

Leddy Nick 2.7M
Martin, Paul 5M - was top 10 in FPts last year in our league

Halak, Jaroslav 3.75M
Ward, Cam 6.3M
Lindback, Anders 1.8M
Bobrovksy, Sergei 5.6M

Callahan was a waiver claim late in the season so he can be a clean drop to move one on Atkinson, Palmieri or Shore into his roster spot.
Thank you

Thornton, for sure. Don't see him contributing that value. Purcell next.

Been trying Thornton and only getting 1st or 2nd round picks for him. Not much interest in Purcell yet.

Question is would you move a guy like Getzlaf (8.2M) for a player like Benn(5.2M), Seguin(5.7M), Huberdeau(3.2M), or Yakupov(3.7M)?

Finished first twice in last few years. Looking to stay top 3.

[angus]

Thoughts on Jake Gardiner? I am short on Dmen (league went from 4 to 5) and I have interest in Nyguist from the Gardiner owner. He wants picks involved (favoring him) but I feel as though Nyguist and Gardiner are completely equal in terms of value (maybe even slight edge to Nyquist, but that's probably bias .

Thoughts on this? It's the league in my sig and my only other dmen are Morrow and Dumba - no good if I face an injury. Would you be willing to move a guy like Nyquist for Gardiner, and what's your opinion in terms of their value compared. Thanks!

Huge Gardiner fan. Great skater, lots of offensive upside.

I'd keep Nyquist over him, though. I think he has more upside, even as a forward relative to a defenseman.

[angus]

G,A,PTS, +/-,PIM, Wins+SO, and GAA (we dress 12F, 6D, 2G)


David Krecji (*)
Patrick Kane (*)
Henrik Zetterberg
Nicklas Backstrom (WAS) (*)
Jakub Voracek (*)
Max Pacioretty
Justin Williams
Patrik Berglund
Alexander Steen
Jiri Tlusty
Cody Hodgson
Colton Orr

Paul Martin
Francois Beauchemin (*)
Sergei Gonchar
Kevin Shattenkirk (*)
Alex Goligoski
Michael Del Zotto

Tuukka Rask (*)
Viktor Fasth
Jonathan Bernier (*)

I'd probably keep MaxPac over Beauchemin. The rest look good to me.

[angus]

Dynasty - $100/yr buy-in - YR5 - $90M CAP
G A PTS +/- PIM PPP SOG W GAA SV% SO

C - Crosby, Giroux, Getzlaf
LW - Neal, Elias
RW - Perry, Voracek
D - Letang, Chara, Boyle, Del Zotto, Faulk
Util - Eberle, Seguin, Hossa, Pavelski
G - Rask, Lehtonen

BENCH
Selanne, Iginla, Doan, M. Foligno, Bogosian, Garrison, McDonagh, Gardiner, Bryzgalov
PROSPECT
Forsberg, Bjugstad, Eller, M. Backlund, Vatanen, R. Murphy, Lack.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

My team is a contender, I am not looking necessarily for immediate help but cheap contracts would be beneficial. Who do you like out of:

1) Trouba or Franson?

2) Tlusty or Gallagher?

3) Barrie or Brodin or Krug?

Win now:

1) Franson, Tlusty, Krug

Win 2-3 yers from now:

2) Trouba, Gallagher, Brodin

[angus]

Hey Jeff! Nice work BTW.

12 team keeper pool, 25 players each. Goal & assist= 1 pt each. No trades. I can keep 9 of these forwards:

Datsyuk-Benn-Toews
Voracek-Huberdeau-Pominville
Skinner-Tlusty-Hodgson
Nyquist-Bennett-Oshie

The first two lines seem like obvious choices. I would really like to make some room for Nyquist & Bennett but can I? What do you think?

And who would you keep (2 players) for D: Streit-Keith-Phaneuf-Visnovsky

Thanks!

The risk-taker in me is thinking about keeping Nyquist over Pominville... but I think you are smart to stick with your top six.

Keith for sure. Probably Streit after that.

[angus]

Thanks again for your time and insight Jeff.

My first question involves recently signed FA's.

I was wondering your thoughts on guys who may surprise with their new teams, more specifically guys like Dustin Penner going back to Anaheim and PM Bouchard going to NYI.

What type of impact do you see these two making with their new teams? Do you think they both surprise many and land prime real estate on their respective new teams top lines or do you see both floundering.

Any other surprises you may think of that other fantasy GM's may be asleep at the wheel on as far as guys worth jumping on before everyone else sees their fantasy value go through the roof?

Part two - what kind of projections (points wise) do you have for someone like Travis Zajac for the upcoming season? He had a bit of a stinker last year, and that was WITH Kovy.

Thanks again.

Love Penner in ANA. He has chemistry with those guys (Getzlaf/Perry), and he was actually a decently productive player (on a per minute basis) in LA. Simply buried a bit by the depth. I could see 45-50 poitns for him in ANA.

Bouchard - health is the major issue. If healthy, he's the best bet to play there. I don't have a lot of faith in him playing more than 50-55 games, though.

Zajac - can't get any worse than last season, right? I think he will be better without Kovalchuk, personally. Kovalchuk is elite, but he isn't easy to play with. He isn't always in the right position, he holds on to the puck a lot (usually centers do this), and so on. I could see Zajac meshing nicely with a natural sniper like Ryder.

[Thunder]

I'll slip in a second one. Points-only with a long-term outlook, MacKinnon or Eberle?

[PatWhite]

Hi Jeff!

Thanks in advance for this, always nice to pick your brain on fantasy stuff...

8-team league, points only, 12F + 6D + 2G weekly lineups.

Got offered 2nd overall (Drouin of McKinnon), Nyquist and Fowler for Yakupov and F.Forsberg.

I read in a previous post that you rank Yakupov in front of this year's draftees, but with the above package, do I trade Yakupov?

And what is the impact of Forsberg being in Nashville now? Value dropped a bit or not fantasy-wise?

Thanks a lot,
Pat

[loco man]

20 team dynasty, Points only. Contending this year

G=2pts, Dman G=3pts, GWG=1pt, A=1pt
Goalie Win=3.5pts, SO=4pts, L=-1pt

Kessel, Seguin, Pacioretty
St. Louis, Gaborik, Iginla
Parenteau, Kunitz, Ryder
Desharnais, Killorn, Bailey

Green, Voynov, Ehrhoff
Garrison, Gonchar, Liles

Niemi
Mason


1. Ranger, Boychuk, MacDonald, Nikitin for my last D. Maybe a quick projection for each?

2. Jason Garrison's role? Fingers crossed for #1 PP trigger man, but is this realistic?



Thanks, brotha!



.

[Puckhead]

I have been offered Skinner for Jaden Schwartz straight up, and while Skinner has more NHL experience, and is on a more offensive minded team, his concussions give me pause. I have been reading about Carolina possibly moving him to the 3rd line as a center for scoring depth. Having said that, Schwartz has a similar offensive ceiling, but plays for Hitchcock, which is offensive Siberia (no offence intended to our Russian posters).

How do you see the next 3-5 seasons playing out for these two, and who would you take in a trade. Our fantasy scoring categories are Goals, Assists, +/- and PIMS.

Thanks as always Angus,

Puck

[PSlipps]

Keep 4 of these 7. Team is contending now.
Stats in sig.

Tlusty, Fleischmann, B Richards, Brunner, Dupuis, Lecavalier, Visnovsky.

Thanks!

[gfunkb7]

So you are trading one of those three centers for the package?

That's right.

If you had any of these three centers, would you be all over a trade like Brown+Green+1st rounder (5th overall)?

[rooneypoo]

Hi Angus,

Thanks for this -- always a big help!

I face this problem every year it seems, but... Who do I take as my 6th keeper? Kane, Parise, Neal, Karlsson, and Rinne seem like no-brainers, but after that I have a group of fringe guys that includes Chara, Pietrangelo, Niemi, and Smith.

Full roster and league stats in my signature below... Who do you keep, and why? I think I'm close to another win (I was cruising in first last year until Karlsson got injured). Oh, and I have the 4th overall pick at the draft, and should be able to get back one of those guys I don't keep.

[BCFelony]

Hey Angus,

11 team - Points only - Keeper - 20 player max.
Top 9F/4D/1G

I decided to rebuild my team this season in the hopes of competing in 2-3 years. Which of the following players would you keep to be apart of the process? Or if it's easier, who shouldn't be?

F: Baertschi, Berglund, Ovechkin, Havlat, Ryan, Johansen, Dubinsky, Little, Granlund, O'Reilly
D: Doughty, Nikitin, McDonagh, Elliott, Reinhart, Pietrangelo
G: Quick, Holtby

Thanks!

[vojdog]

Hey Jeff,

In a keeper league i have to let go either Mcdonaugh or Bogosian due to cap constraints.

stats are G, A, +/-, PIM PPG PPA SHG GWG SHOG FW HITS.

on a side note got any workout tips for me, as i just broke my ankle