I liked reading this thread so far... interesting...
I also had Statistics in College/University, and the problem with the arguments here are that we are assigning mathematical value to the term "close"... "If this were a close race"... the closeness of the race is evident through the langauge of the posts and the projected numbers (the projections are close, not the poll result.
Personally, I have a feeling DD beats these guys because the "hangover" is meaningless since these guys could have been beaching it for the last 6 months... and Doughty had some VERY serious off ice issues and possibly a concussion somewhere in the mix over the last two seasons. He is passed those now, and so what was 3 years ago might as well be today in terms of how Doughty can be projected IMO.
AP is the talk of the town... he has the best campaign right now, so he gets the popular vote - AP for President!
Weber and Buff have other issues that keep them off the mark a bit, but if this is how you project them...
AP = 54
DD = 52
Buffy = 50
Weber = 46
Well, then I guess I am voting AP. And if most of those who voted write a projection down that looks similar to this above (even slightly), the votes will overwhelmingly be AP... so what you have is a Poll that seems lopsided despite a very tight stastical projection (54, 52, 50, 46).
10 Team H2H Points (Keep 1C, 2W, 2D, 1G, & 1 non-goalie):
G,A,+/-, PIM, PPG, SHG, GWG, OTG, FOWs, Hits, Blks, Maj, Mis, (bonus scoring for D-men makes them comparable to Wing)
Wins, Saves, GA, Shutouts
18 Man Roster (3 IR slots) Daily Start: 2C, 4W, 4D, 2G
C: Zibanejad, Thomas, Tavares
W: Stutzle, Robertson, Connor, Buchnevich, McCann
D: Makar, McAvoy, Josi, Theodore, Matheson, Harley
G: Georgiev, Binnington, Kochetkov, Andersen (IR)