Originally Posted by
Shoeless
Alright I have given this a lot more thought because I think it is a very interesting problem.
In both H2H and Roto - Ott is a dominant contributor to several cats and he definitely gives you a huge jump on skater cats when combined with your other keepers. You have 10 skater cats and 5 goalie cats so you can win H2H matches without winning a single goalie cat. As far as roto is concerned Holtby is the only legitimate consideration for a keeper - small sample size for sure but a 2.02 GAA, .929 SV% and a winning percentage of 66% in the games he has played will certainly be positives in a 14 team roto league even if he gets 1/2 the starts for the Caps.
Anderson isn't going to contribute enough of anything in a given week to assure you of winning any goalie cats - he may, but his numbers just aren't that good. In roto, I would rather have a good backup giving me points in SV% and GAA than Anderson giving me slime across all the cats. And in H2H if you don't have min starts, a couple of good backups giving you a nice game each week gives you leverage out of the goalie position.
Anyway, I think it comes down to keeping Ott or Holtby - if Holtby grabs the #1 in Washington which we don't know, then I think he is definitely a strong contender for that last keeper slot - however, what that would mean then is that you want to further chase goalie cats early in the draft so you are competitive across the board there, hence you back off skaters early if there is another starting goalie available. At least that would be my thinking - if I am investing in goal tending with my keepers then I need to ensure I extend that investment to the draft.
If Ott is kept then I think you haven't made that investment and your thoughts on going after good back-ups takes affect and you can further put the hammer down on offense cats early in the draft - 10 is a lot of cats when you have figured out how to own them in any kind of league.
Personally, I think Holtby is still a pig in a poke even if the pig has a silk ear. I would keep Ott and whale on offense early in the draft and keep my eye out for the likes of Elliott, Khudobin, Hedberg, Griess, JS Gigs, etc. Take what the league gives you - without a surefire keeper goalie they are only going to give you shots at GAA and SV%.