Jimmy Howard at ninth overall? Yikes...
And Patty Sharp ninth overall in Smythe? Wow...
Recently I drafted a team in the DobberEntry league (Smythe Division).
I thought it would be interesting to compare the four division drafts on one page and see where the mindsets were of 60 fantasy hockey geeks.
Dobber Entry leagues count:
G/A/+-/PIM/SOG/PPP/ +HITS
W/SV/GAA
The Dobber Entry leagues have 15-teams & use "weekly" roster sets.
See attached for the top 100 picks (by average: ADP).
Notes:
1. The top eight players were the same in all four leagues.
2. There was some crazy randomness in the #9 pick, perhaps making it the hardest spot to draft from this year.
3. I've compared a player's actual draft position to his average draft position (ADP, shaded yellow) and created a heat chart.
Red on orange = HOT. Hot pick is a nice pick, drafting team got the player a lot later than his ADP.
Blue on blue = COLD. Cold pick is a significant reach by the drafting team.
4. The grey players had similar draft position in all leagues. Perhaps these are the players we feel have the most reliable value.
Enjoy.
Jimmy Howard at ninth overall? Yikes...
And Patty Sharp ninth overall in Smythe? Wow...
MounD - Double Threat FHL (18-19 champs)
10-Team Yahoo daily H2H Dynasty
3C, 3LW, 3RW, 6D, 2G, 7Bn (IR)
G, A, +/-, PPP, SHP, SOG, FW, HIT, BLK // W, Sv, GAA, Sv%, SHO
C: Bergeron, Barkov, Aho, Point, Kadri
LW: Marchand, Landeskog, Hertl, Marchessault
RW: Stamkos, Tarasenko, Laine, Palmieri
D: Carlson, Letang, Dumba, Weber, Pietrangelo, Ristolainen, Byfuglien*
G: Bobrovsky, Holtby, Lehner, Greiss-Varlamov
Farm: Turcotte, Cozens, Denisenko, Newhook // Sandin, Jokiharju, Dobson, K'Andre // Shesterkin
Wow nice work putting this together! appreciate all the effort you put in!!
IDHL League 28 team H2H league multicat full keeper
Rebuilding
Cooley, Guenther, Hoglander, Lundell, Quinn, Voronkov, Stankoven, Carlsson
Hutson, Zellweger, Clarke, KA Miller, Xhekai, Malinski, Thrun
Dostal, Hofer
Beck, Bolduc, Dumais, Gaucher, Gunler, Pervalov
Ufko, Benning, Del Mastro, Peart, Grudinin
Zherenko
Goaltenders went in a very strange way in the Norris Division IMO.
4. Lundqvist
6. Rinne
7. Quick
11. Rask
17. Fleury
18. Ward
21. Miller
22. Smith
23. Bryzgalov
24. Price
25. Schneider
26. Lehtonen
27. Lindback
28. Howard
41. Kiprusoff
42. Hiller
45. Luongo
48. Niemi
58. Anderson
61. Backstrom
79. Varlamov
84. Pavelec
89. Holtby
98. Brodeur
100. Dubnyk
116. Crawford
It seems pretty clear that the same goalie rush shenanigans that went down in the Expert's Draft also went down here but I'be highlighted a few real shockers for me.
Lindback went in the run way at the beginning? That's a risky pick given some of the goalies still out there. Varlamov feels like a steal at 79 given what went down earlier and Crawford simply fell too far.
Great job Pengwin! Interesting to see the relative draft positions...
Awesome work Pengwin... Always love pulling up those spreadsheets you create. This was nicely done as usual!
Yahoo! H2H, 1 year, 12 teams, Daily starts
G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HITS, W, GAA, SV%, SO
2C, 2LW, 2RW, 4D, 2G, 5BN, IR, 3IR+
Used 41/45 moves
---------------------
C} Matthews, Barkov, Hertl
LW} B.Tkachuk(C), Guentzel, Nichushkin(RW)
RW} Miller(C), Rust, Schmaltz(C)
D} Josi, Fox, Dobson, Carlson
G} Nedeljkovic, Daccord, Grubauer, Pickard
IR} Demko
IR+} Neighbours
Players 101-200
Players 201-300
Players 301-400
*Players that were not drafted in a league are all marked as same rank, player #376 (waivers).
Nice job Pengwin. Your listing of hot and cold players got me thinking about expanding that somewhat more. So what I did was was I went through every team player by player and did the following calculation for every player:
draft position - average draft position
So if you managed to draft a player much later than where he went on average, you'd get significant plus and if you drafted much earlier than average, you'd get significant minus. Now sum these up for every team for every player and you end up with a cumulative total which essentially tells at where you managed to draft players relative to their average draft positions.
Now if the GM's are good at valuing players as a group, these totals could be used as predictions of the final standings. I hope we don't miss the whole season as I am interested to see whether these type of predictions have any predictive power. So it would effectively test how good the collective wisdom of this group is at valuing the players at the draft.
Here are the results for Entry leagues.
Code:Norris The Eh Team 195,25 Burnsy's Gri... 121,75 2toRuutu2toT... 113 Renegade War... 50,75 Krunk Nation 38,25 Hall Me Maybe 11 Return of Da... 1,75 RedRobster22 -24,25 Bardown Bandit -128,75 Iceholes -139 Art Vandelay -145 ShippinItDaily -159 Nuckleheads -167,75 youngblood -181,5 The Barons -247,75Code:Patrick Crosby Laich Semin 261,5 Orange Hitters 160 Mr.Sieve 133,25 Karpat Oulu 101,25 Cookie's Monsters 25,25 Hamms HC 0,5 manWithaSharkHead -39,25 Elder's Mind Tricks -86,25 Crooked Vulture -93 Le KopiTzar -128,5 Dangles HC -139,25 onthebeach96 -150 Crazynuck -156,25 Broadstreet Bullies -188 Duncan's Teeth -581Code:Smythe Rougie 124,5 SuluShattenk 116,5 Hawkdog7mm 18,25 Nickel City -9,25 Savages -29,25 That Bird Team -52,25 Scurvy -56,5 Blades of Steel -64,75 Bearflaggers -67 PopCultureRe... -77,5 Fantômas -89,75 From Russia with 'ov -95,75 Goatlenders -121,5 AxeHoles -234,5 Prognosis Ne... -279,25If you are interested in the spreadsheet I used to see your team's breakdown player by player for example, send me a PM.Code:Adams RikkiTikki 144,75 Maters Taters 142,75 Nosferatootoo 100,5 Prkal8r 95,5 Vozzy81 67,5 PykoPucKiller 38,5 Hosers 20,5 The Flying Elbows -3,75 Pad My Stats -19,75 Great Whites -99,5 Cyber Tuna -120,25 Miami Blades -174,75 Nordiques -212,75 Roll Of The Dice -278 The Spezzaghetis -372,25
Last edited by temek; October 19, 2012 at 2:49 AM.
12 team Full Keeper
G,A +/- Hits,BS,SOG,ATOI,PPP,FOW,PIM,GWG,W,Saves,Save%,GAA ,SO
C:Crosby,R.Johanson,J.Carter,Brassard,Fisher,Kadri ,Vermette
RW:Ovechkin,Voracek,Hornquist,Niederieter,Silfverb erg
LW:Benn,Zetterberg,Panarin,Hartnell,Ladd,Hertl
D:Hedmen,OEL,Buff,Letang,Klingberg,Chara,Gudas,Orp ik
G:Price,Crawford,Dubnyk,Darling,Miller
10 Team Full Keeper 29 Roster 5 Minors Full Roto
C-Crosby,Backstrom,Kopitar,Krejci,RNH,Plekanec,
LW-Hall,Saad,Krieder,Perron,Boedker
RW-Okposo,Atkinson,Niederietter,Shaw
D-Letang,Hedman,Green.Klingberg,S.Jones,Chara,Orpik
G-Bobrovski,Lehner,Niemi,Helly,Vasilevskiy