ROOS LETS LOOSE POLL: Sustainable Strong Starts?

[RizzeeDizzee]

We're now far enough into the season to get a better picture of whether some players are for real, or just still in the midst of hot starts. This poll, which I run every season, asks you to decide which of the 20 choices can sustain - or even improve upon - their current stats. That means you should vote for any and all skaters you believe can at least sustain their current scoring pace, while for goalies it's keep their GAA at least this low and their SV% at least this high. For skaters, they don't actually need to finish with this many points, only keep their scoring rate this high. If you don't see a "hot" player among the voting choices, it's because either it's too farfetched to even consider him keeping up his current pace, or simply because I felt these 20 were closer calls.

As usual, please post in the thread who you voted for and why, so we can get better insight into the selections.

[RizzeeDizzee]

My votes went to:

Barzal - How could I not vote for him after one of my 17 Fearless Forecasts called for him to set a career high in points?
Horvat - I think he's always had this in him but prioritized less selfish play, except now he's a UFA to be so he's upping the ante to get paid
Larkin - He's always been this good, but finally the talent level on his team is enough for him to show what he's really made of
Suzuki - An immense talent playing for the perfect coach, plus he's found amazing chemistry with Cole Caufiled, who looks like one of the NHL's next great goal scorers

[Axeman33]

My votes went to Georgiev, Hischier and Vanacek. Georgiev, much like Kuemper last year, plays behind an amazing team that doesn't give up much. He's golden. I've watched a LOT of Devils games this year and that team is legit. They are the Eastern version of Colorado. Fast and deep. They control the play so well that they don't give up much.

The rest are riding high but not sure I trust them to keep up the pace.

[Daydream Nation]

Petersson, Barzal, and Pietrangelo for me. Thought about Larkin, Horvat, and Suzuki. I like a lot of these guys to have their breakout year (Necas, Vanacek, Georgiev) or maintain a high production (Skinner, Hischier, Terry) in addition to Larkin, Horvat, and Suzuki but to maintain their current pace would be a tall ask.

[Eskimo Brother]

Dach, Terry, Tuch, and Vanecek for me

[Dr.Brad]

Larkin.

But close on Horvat and Dach.

others can only wish….

[Canucks_fan18]

Larkin, Petterson, Thompson and Vancek. Larkin and Petterson have the talent to be 90+ point players. Thompson stats aren't too unrealistic given how good the nights are, ditto for Vancek.

[VincentVega]

Just look at the oiSH% for each player to see which ones are sustainable. I don't have the time now but I just looked at Pettersson's and there is no way he is sustaining this pace for a whole season. His oiSH% this year is 16.1% compared to a career 12.6%. You can bet the house his pace will slow down.

[Axeman33]

Just look at the oiSH% for each player to see which ones are sustainable. I don't have the time now but I just looked at Pettersson's and there is no way he is sustaining this pace for a whole season. His oiSH% this year is 16.1% compared to a career 12.6%. You can bet the house his pace will slow down.

I havent looked either, but I am going to bet you that most of the names up here have an inflated oiSH%. Wouldn't that probably mean most of the skaters won't keep it up?

[Daydream Nation]

Just look at the oiSH% for each player to see which ones are sustainable. I don't have the time now but I just looked at Pettersson's and there is no way he is sustaining this pace for a whole season. His oiSH% this year is 16.1% compared to a career 12.6%. You can bet the house his pace will slow down.

Pettersson was well over a point/game for the 2nd half last season. Once he shook off the rust from his holdout and they made the coaching change, Petersson was fantastic. He's just picking up where he left off last season. I wish I had bet the over on his point total at the start of the season. My favorite bets were Petersson over and PKane under.

[VincentVega]

Pettersson was well over a point/game for the 2nd half last season. Once he shook off the rust from his holdout and they made the coaching change, Petersson was fantastic. He's just picking up where he left off last season. I wish I had bet the over on his point total at the start of the season. My favorite bets were Petersson over and PKane under.

It doesn't matter what his pace in the second half last season was. His current pace is unsustainable and I'm willing to bet anything that he will slow down. He will still likely get close to 90 points but won't maintain his current pace.

[VincentVega]

I havent looked either, but I am going to bet you that most of the names up here have an inflated oiSH%. Wouldn't that probably mean most of the skaters won't keep it up?

Yes, I bet that most skaters on the list won't keep the current pace up. I might do the exercise of checking the stats and predict which ones will keep up, if I get the motivation, and see how accurate using oiSH% is for prediction.