Larkin/Hischier+ vs Pettersson/Hintz

[Patty93]

Got offered hus Pettersson, Hintz and a 2022 3d vs Larkin, Hischier and a 2023 1st.

For a keep 14 roto auction league multi cat.
G, A, +/-, PIM, SOG, PPG, PPA, hits, blocks
W, GAA, Saves, S%
9F, 5D, 2G weekly starts.

My keepers being DeBrincat, Crosby, Larkin, Hischier, Tarasenko, MacTavish, Necas, Wilson, Josi, Trouba, Petry, Markstrom, Andersen.

Pettersson and Hintz are definite upgrades but worth the 2023 1st?

[zambronies]

I think I prefer the Larkin side. As Detroit continues to get better, Larkin will benefit. Hischier should also continue to develop on an improving NJ team.

[Bubba55]

"Pettersson and Hintz are definite upgrades but worth the 2023 1st?" Indeed. You know your league, what might that pick actually be, a 1st overall, 12th overall, in the middle?? If your 1st is a top 3 or 4 pick in a very strong 2023 draft this has to be taken into consideration. If the pick is outside the top 4, then that swings things a bit as well. Your team looks competitive but I'm guessing. What's the story?

[Patty93]

"Pettersson and Hintz are definite upgrades but worth the 2023 1st?" Indeed. You know your league, what might that pick actually be, a 1st overall, 12th overall, in the middle?? If your 1st is a top 3 or 4 pick in a very strong 2023 draft this has to be taken into consideration. If the pick is outside the top 4, then that swings things a bit as well. Your team looks competitive but I'm guessing. What's the story?

Thanks for the quick reply. I took over this team this offseason. The old manager wasn't active anymore so they kicked him out (too bad cause he was top 3 without taking care of it). He finished 5th though due to injuries since he wasn't moving players. Anyways, I have to drop Draisatl (246) and Carlsson (223) as both of their salaries are going way up and would hit over 20% of my total salary each. I'll get them back throgh auction at a cheaper price as well. (other FA are McDavid, Kucherov, MacKinnon, Panarin, Letang, etc)

I am looking to be competitive this year, so I am not planning on finishing in bottom half of league. I know Larkin (20) and Hischier (20) are good pieces but I see them as 55 to 70 point players. Pettersson (42) and Hintz (25) both get more PP points and both broke out midway through the season at a point per game rate. They shoot a ton as well. The question really is do we see Pettersson take that next step with Boudreau and Hintz going at a point per game rate this season? I did not approach the other GM for this trade it was proposed to me.

[Bubba55]

I do this deal given that your 1st rounder could well be outside the top 10 if your team does well. As I said, unless it's within the top 5 I'm not concerned. Using Dobbers Guide as a resource, the scoring projections for the forwards involved in this deal are as follows:

EP40 - 74
Hintz - 70
Larkin - 68
Hischier - 54

I'll take that 22 pt upgrade thank you very much. You already know the peripheral's are also solid. That draft pick, whoever it might be, is 2 to 3 years away and what you have after the wait is a maybe. Pull the trigger.