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Thread: Projections for a few players

  1. #1
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    Default Projections for a few players

    Hey guys,

    Next year, what are your projections for the following players:

    Johnny Gaudreau
    Mathew Barzal
    Jesper Bratt
    Shea Theodore

    Thanks! (lets assume 82 games and gaudreau/bratt stay on their current teams)

  2. #2
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    Default Re: Projections for a few players

    Because we still have no idea what might happen in the offseason, I'll give you numbers I would feel comfortable betting the over on.

    77
    63
    59
    43

    I think all or none of them could easily be +/- 10 but it remains to be seen whether or not their outlook from last season improves and by how much.
    16 team Pts only dynasty league
    G, A, PPG, SHG, GWG, Svs, SO's, W's
    Pro Roster Starters: 9 F, 6 D 1 G

    FWD: Hertl, Forsberg, Quinn, Rantanen, Debrincat, Couturier, Dach, Trocheck, Larkin, Seguin
    D: Chychrun, Grzelcyk, Trouba, Burns, Walman, Karlsson, Graves
    G: Kahkkonen, Keumper, Reimer

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    G: Fedotov, Tarasov, Kochetkov, Skarek, M. Gibson

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    Default Re: Projections for a few players

    Here's my take, for what it's worth:

    82 (comes back to reality, but still a ppg player)
    75 (benefits from a coaching change)
    65 (small step back)
    55 (benefits from Eichel addition, plus Stone/Pacioretty rebound)
    12 Teams, 23 Players (max 3 goalies), H2H, Keep 15 (max 2 goalies)
    2C, 2RW, 2LW, 2F, 1U, 4D, 2G, 8 Bench, 2 IR+
    G, A, +/-, PIM, PPP, HIT, BLK, W, SV, SV%, SHO

    Keepers:
    C - Matthews, Eichel, Hughes (LW), Pettersson
    LW - Kaprizov, Svechnikov (RW), Guentzel, Fiala, Keller (RW)
    RW - Marner, Meier (LW), Laine(C/LW), Jarvis (C)
    D - Dahlin​, Sergachev, Theodore, Klingberg, Werenski, Peeke, Cernak
    G - Shesterkin, Sorokin, Merzlikins
    IR - Pacioretty, Ristolainen

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    Default Re: Projections for a few players

    Johnny Gaudreau - PPG +
    Mathew Barzal - 65 - 75, this ones tough, but the Isles can't be any worse offensively than they were last year and Barzal is a talent.
    Jesper Bratt - 70, he is the real deal. If the Devils offence gels some more he has higher upside and could reach it, could push PPG.
    Shea Theodore - 60- 65, I think he is ready to truly establish himself and, like the Isles, Vegas should bounce back from a pretty disappointing season.
    14 Team Roto; Keep 25; 12 F, 6 D, 2 G; 10 Farm; 5 Bench; 5 IR;

    Salary Cap - 102.5 Mil

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    F: Aho, Larkin, DeBrincat, Vrana, Bennett, Scheifele, Kakko,Tolvanen, McBain,

    D: Heiskanen, Fox, Toews, Lundqvist

    G: Swayman, Andersen, Copley

    Drops

    F: Gaudreau, Terravainen, Puljujarvi, Kravstov, Zary

    D: Brannstrom, Cernak, Alexeyev

    G: Korpisalo, Merzlikins

    FARM: Rossi, Berggren, Holtz, Savoie, Clarke, Tarasov, Wolf

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    Default Re: Projections for a few players

    Jg 75-80
    mb 65-70
    jb 65-70
    st 55-60
    ESPN Roto 10 team
    24 man roster (+3 IR) - Keep 20 - Daily settings
    Start 3C, 3LW, 3RW, 5D, 2G, 1UTIL
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    C- Zegras, Suzuki, Carlsson
    RW- Batherson, Michkov, Quinn, Perfetti(C,LW), Foerster, Kakko
    LW- BTkachuk, Stutzle(C), Byfield(C), McTavish(C), Benson
    D- Mintyukov, Sanderson, LHughes, Clarke, Faber
    G- Wolf, Askarov, Wallstedt
    IR- Norris(C)
    IR- Fantilli(C)
    IR-


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    Picks in 2025/26 rounds 1,1,3,4




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    Default Re: Projections for a few players

    Johnny Hockey: 85
    Matt Barzal: 75
    Jesper Bratt: 65
    Shea Theodore: 60

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    Default Re: Projections for a few players

    Johnny Gaudreau - 85
    Mathew Barzal - 70
    Jesper Bratt - 55
    Shea Theodore - 55

    12 team H2H Most Cats Wins; Keep 6/winner keeps 7; G A PPP +/- SHP SOG HIT BLK PIM // W SV GAA SV% SHO
    3 C, 3 LW, 3 RW, 6D, 2G, 5 bench

    C - McDavid, Crosby, Tavares
    LW - DeBrincat
    RW - Meier, Miller
    D -
    G - Jarry

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    Default Re: Projections for a few players

    Gaudreau - 75-85pts

    Barzal - 60-70pts. 11-12s%, 160-180sog, 17-22g, 45-55a, 62-77pts. Large range but mostly depends on who's around him

    Bratt - 55-65pts. His s% is odd where one yr it's high the next it's low. His PDO is the same roughly each yr. I think he settles his s% into the 10-11% range this yr. Shooting 180-200sog. 18-22g. 40-45A if the team doesn't get hurt. 58-67pts off those numbers

    Theodore - Dependent on how they choose to deploy him. If he's PP1, 55-65pts, if he's PP2, 40-50pts. Cassidy might value Pietrangelo over Theodore on the PP1, or he might want to save Pietrangelo for more intense defensive role and use the PP time to give him a rest. This is really the thing I don't know.
    12 Team, H2H, Keep 6 (in Bold)
    G, A, Pts, PPP, FW, SOG, Hits, Blocks
    W, Saves, S%, GAA, Game Started
    2C, 2LW, 2RW, 4D, 1Util, 2G, 5BN, 2IR, 1IR+, 1NA

    C: Horvat, Trocheck
    LW: J. Robertson, Byfield (C), Guenther
    RW: Pavelski (C), Giroux (C), Svechnikov (LW)
    D: Fox, Makar, Bouchard, Morrissey, Gudas
    Util: Meier (LW, RW)
    G: Oettinger, Georgiev, Samsonov, Woll


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    Default Re: Projections for a few players

    I’m not quite convinced yet on Barzal having an offensive boost. New coach yes, but they hired the guy who has coached under Trotz for years on multiple teams. Who’s already come out and said the teams identity wasn’t going to change. Kind of confused as to why they let Trotz go and promoted his protege vs just keeping Trotz if the “new voice” will end up saying a lot of the same things.

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    Default Re: Projections for a few players

    I don't think it happens, but if Gaudreau goes to NYI, I'd boost up Barzal's points by 15 at a min. If you sign JG, you are essentially changing the way you should be deploying that line and allowing them to be off leash.
    12 Team, H2H, Keep 6 (in Bold)
    G, A, Pts, PPP, FW, SOG, Hits, Blocks
    W, Saves, S%, GAA, Game Started
    2C, 2LW, 2RW, 4D, 1Util, 2G, 5BN, 2IR, 1IR+, 1NA

    C: Horvat, Trocheck
    LW: J. Robertson, Byfield (C), Guenther
    RW: Pavelski (C), Giroux (C), Svechnikov (LW)
    D: Fox, Makar, Bouchard, Morrissey, Gudas
    Util: Meier (LW, RW)
    G: Oettinger, Georgiev, Samsonov, Woll


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