I would take Cooley or Slaf. I like them both better than Wright.
Multicat 16tm keeper league.
Would you keep the 3rd overall pick in the 2022 draft, or trade it for two(2) 2023 first round picks?
The 2023 are not guaranteed positions of course, but there is a draft lottery based off fantasy league finish and paired with corresponding NHL teams for draft purposes. Thus, they could be picks 15 and 16, or lottery picks.
Advice?
I would take Cooley or Slaf. I like them both better than Wright.
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Keep the pick and draft either Slaf, Cooley or Wright, whichever one lands at your doorstep.
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A bird in the hand is worth 2 in the bush.
The saying fits here, but the math would suggest these are equal. I would rather pick 3rd.
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I'd rather have the 3rd pick this year.
I'd put any of Wright, Slafkovsky, Cooley, or Nemec in the same general bucket, so you'll get someone good.
Unless you have a guarantee that one (or both) of those picks will get you a top four lottery % chance... I would take the advice of everyone else here and grab whoever is left amongst Wright, Cooley and Slafkovsky.
Either one of these guys will be worth a top 4-5 2023 draft lottery spot (and then some) if you want to dish them a year from now with more certainty and ROI.
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i have a feeling that Cooley will be your guy here...and that is great pick. could you regret this if those 2023 picks become lottery and hit top 3 slot? sure you will but thats lots of "IFs" to worry about. Didnt do the math but you probably have 5% chance of all stars aligning....so unless you like to gamble with low odds to win..i would keep the pick.
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LW: Ehlers, Landeskog, Meier, Debrusk, Foegele, Lee
RW: Pastrnak, Marner, Palmieri, Terry, D. Brown, Bailey, Granlund
D: Krug, Josi, Ekholm, Faulk, Muzzin, Karlsson, Cernak,
G: Hellebuyck, Biship, M Jones
I'll take the two next year.
Partially because if you're contending, picks work better than just-drafted prospects if you're looking to make a splash. You can also watch the standings on where those teams are this year, and "sell-high" on them if you think your opponent has had an easy schedule to a point, or something.
On top of that, I think the top guys from the 2023 draft are head and shoulders above whoever you're going to get at three. Even if it was just one chance at that, I would take it. Two chances, yes please.
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I'd keep the #3 pick and go with whoever falls, Wright/Slaf/Cooley. That's a good player.
IF somebody is trading away TWO first roundpicks... one is probably theirs... they are probably IMPROVING themselves, which means their pick will likely be 13-16 (as I'm assuming they finish top four).
The wild card is this: Which Team/GM is attached to that "other" first round pick?
And you'd have to do a helluva lot of research to try to figure out what their odds are of having a bottom 3 team. (Yes, Bedard, Michkov, and Fantilli are great prizes... but I'd want a 75% chance at those to pass on W/S/C.)
As said many times now, take the 2022 and be happy.
Personally I’m taking Slaf if available because I don’t need another C otherwislse I’d be all over Cooley
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I think we have a pretty clear consensus here, take the 3rd this year. All the reasons to do so have been discussed, bottom line, you have no idea or control of what those picks next years will be whereas you know you are getting a damn good player with that 3rd overall this year. If your a big time gambler, take the deal, but most of us just don't think that's a good idea.
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Depends heavily on what teams picks you'd be getting. IF the 2 teams are bad, I'd take the picks, if 1 is bad, it's a maybe. If both are good, I'd pass.
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I'd take Cooley
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Cooley.
I wouldn't want to wait 400 game ish on Slaf's Breakout Threshold.
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In general - I agree a pick now is worth more than 2 later.
But... in your case, I'm taking the 2 picks... unless (as others mentioned) they are VERY likely to be out of the top 10.
At this point, I've got a good 7-8 guys in 2023 I prefer to all in 2022 (aside from Wright).
No doubt I'm in the minority big time on that stance though lol.
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