Keeper Advice Needed -- New H2H League

[AFlyers66]

Looking for Keeper advice for a new league I joined this summer. Still learning the league and rules. 16 team H2H partial keeper - we can keep 9 from pro roster (1 of which can be a goalie) & keep 11 from minors roster. 15 round draft upcoming soon to fill out roster.

Career GP limits for farm skaters = 70, goalies = 35. Farmers under that GP limit when season starts are minors-eligible all season, can be brought up/down at will.
Positional-dependent, can start each night: 3 C, 3 LW, 3 RW, 5 D, 2 G.

Scoring categories with FPts awarded are Skaters: GP(1), G(9), A(7), PIM(1), SOG(1), GWG(5), PPP(7), SHP(8), OG(9), Hit(1), Blk(1.25), Tk(1.5), Gv(-0.5), FOW(0.2), TOI(0.075); Goalies: GP(1), W(15), OL(5), GA(-5), SV(1), SHO(15), ShL(3) .

Current roster with FPts/G the past 2 regular seasons in this league (2021, 2020) listed below.

My current/tentative 9 pro keepers in bold. Going with 5 F, 3 D, 1G at this point. Would you change any of my choices? Swap in borderline guys like Hischier, Burakovsky, Hyman, Farabee? Tarasenko scares me some. Garland an iffy pick? Hyman playing with McDavid is tempting. Varly paired with Sorokin off the farm gives me all Isles starts - is that my best choice in goal? Would most likely draft another goalie later in draft. Next summer I expect Sorokin to be my 1 Pro keeper goalie. 8 current Minors keepers in bold. Choices for last 3 spots there?

Hartford Whalers
Pro Roster (Keep 9)
Barzal-C (14.8,16.4), O’Reilly-C (19.7,17.7), Hischier-C (15.0,15.3), ErikssonEk-C (14.2,12.1), Backlund-C (14.8,14.3).
Panarin-LW (19.7,20.5), Burakovsky-LW (14.1,14.0), Farabee-LW (13.4,9.2), Hyman-LW (15.8,14.6), Laughton-C,LW (12.6,12.7).
Tarasenko-RW (13.7,17.3), Garland-LW,RW (15.1,12.0), R.Smith-RW (11.8,14.7).
Dahlin-D (13.7,15.6), M.Rielly-D (15.6,16.0), S.Jones-D (16.9,16.9), Muzzin-D (15.0,15.1), Ferraro-D (13.9,9.7).
Varlamov-G (28.6,22.3), F.Andersen-G (20.1,24.6), Petersen-G (20.2,28.3).

Minors Roster (Keep 11)
Boqvist-C (6.8,6.5), Kuokkanen-C,LW (9.3,4.4), Kurashev-C (8.3,0), Lundell-C (0,0), McMichael-C (4.9,0).
Pelletier-C,LW (0,0), Bellows-LW (8.9,9.4), Hagel-LW,RW (11.3,9.6), Jeannot-LW (12.5,0), Krebs-LW (5.7,0).
Allison-RW (12.3,0), Raymond-LW,RW (0,0), Wahlstrom-RW (12.1,4.8).
Stillman-D (10.0,10.5).
Oettinger-G (19.7,0), Sorokin-G (25.6,0).

Keeper deadline is 9/19, Sunday night.
Thanks for any and all input. Rep will be given.

[stevegamer]

First off, I like your farm keeper choices. While I'm not a prospect guru, those are solid names.

The 2 shakiest pro keepers you have are Tarasenko & Barzal to me. Tarasenko is coming off injury, may be traded, and is often hurt. Barzal has name cachet over guys like Hyman, Hischier, etc, but I'm not sure he will outproduce them.

Can you make deals? I like the idea of shopping those bubble guys, and see if you can improve anything. I like Ferraro to take another step forward this season, so he'd be a guy I want to redraft.

[lesgoelands]

I would consider keeping Hischier over Garland, although I understand if you don't want to keep 3C as it is usually the deepest position. But I really think that he's on the verge of breaking out. Garland on a new team does not trump the upside of Hischier.

As for your farm, I would keep Kuokkanen for sure. I really like Bellows but I just don't know if he'll ever have a fair chance under Trotz. Allison is the other intriguing prospect for me. Both Bellows and Allison may not play on a consistent basis though, even if Allison has a fair chance of making the team to start the season.

[AFlyers66]

Thanks for the replies, stevegamer and lesgoelands -- much appreciated! Rep given.

Bumping this up hoping to get some more replies from the vast, wise Dobber Army before Sunday night when I have to make my final keeper picks. The more opinions, the better!

Thank you