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Thread: NFL Best Bets?

  1. #31
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    Default Re: NFL Best Bets?

    Quote Originally Posted by 2014olympicgold View Post
    WFT - ML
    Miami - ML
    Browns - ML
    Chiefs - (-6.5) please cover for once
    Seahawks - (+3)

    NOS/Giants - U41.5
    Packers - (-5.5)

    If you parlay it it's roughly +6332.
    another decent day. 5-2.
    12 team, H2H, 6 keeper league (Keepers in Bold)
    G, A, Pts, +/-, PPP, PIM, FW
    W, GAA, S%, Saves
    2C, 2RW, 2LW, 4D, 2G

    C: Kuz, Toews, Dach
    LW: Connor, Benn (C), Stuetzle
    RW: Marner, Pastrnak
    D: Carlson, Theodore, Hronek, K.Miller, Morrissey
    G: Helly, Hart, Allen, Halak
    IR: Eichel (C)
    IR+: E.Kane (LW,RW)

  2. #32
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    Default Re: NFL Best Bets?

    Quote Originally Posted by 2014olympicgold View Post
    I'll stick to games lol.

    I did read somewhere to never bet the opening spread line for the favourite, always go for the Live Bet spread because it'll always be a point or two better. Which, last night would have helped me a lot.
    Always?? Doesn't it have just as good of a chance to increase as well??

  3. #33
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    Quote Originally Posted by hockeyrobot View Post
    Always?? Doesn't it have just as good of a chance to increase as well??
    Lets say the spread is -7 for the home team.

    Away team receives the kick, the line will then shift to -6.5. If home team receives, the spread could go to -7.5. And then in todays NFL, it's pretty hard to get a score right off the bat so you can get the line shifting down or end up what the opening line was.

    You have a 50/50 shot right off the bat that the line moves more to 0, then what are the opening drive scoring chances if they do get the ball off the bat. I haven't really dabbled into this though.
    12 team, H2H, 6 keeper league (Keepers in Bold)
    G, A, Pts, +/-, PPP, PIM, FW
    W, GAA, S%, Saves
    2C, 2RW, 2LW, 4D, 2G

    C: Kuz, Toews, Dach
    LW: Connor, Benn (C), Stuetzle
    RW: Marner, Pastrnak
    D: Carlson, Theodore, Hronek, K.Miller, Morrissey
    G: Helly, Hart, Allen, Halak
    IR: Eichel (C)
    IR+: E.Kane (LW,RW)

  4. #34
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    Default Re: NFL Best Bets?

    Quote Originally Posted by 2014olympicgold View Post
    Lets say the spread is -7 for the home team.

    Away team receives the kick, the line will then shift to -6.5. If home team receives, the spread could go to -7.5. And then in todays NFL, it's pretty hard to get a score right off the bat so you can get the line shifting down or end up what the opening line was.

    You have a 50/50 shot right off the bat that the line moves more to 0, then what are the opening drive scoring chances if they do get the ball off the bat. I haven't really dabbled into this though.
    Ah sorry. By opening I thought you meant like the spread that is released after the previous week's games.

  5. #35
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    Quote Originally Posted by hockeyrobot View Post
    Ah sorry. By opening I thought you meant like the spread that is released after the previous week's games.
    Ah nah, I meant like... If the spread is 5min before the game -7, just wait to bet live.
    12 team, H2H, 6 keeper league (Keepers in Bold)
    G, A, Pts, +/-, PPP, PIM, FW
    W, GAA, S%, Saves
    2C, 2RW, 2LW, 4D, 2G

    C: Kuz, Toews, Dach
    LW: Connor, Benn (C), Stuetzle
    RW: Marner, Pastrnak
    D: Carlson, Theodore, Hronek, K.Miller, Morrissey
    G: Helly, Hart, Allen, Halak
    IR: Eichel (C)
    IR+: E.Kane (LW,RW)

  6. #36
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    Default Re: NFL Best Bets?

    Early line I like
    Rams -1.5 and O54. I actually went with Rams -2.5 to get + odds.

    I heard Raiders will be around -5 vs the Bears. I like that as a gamble that Dalton will be back.
    12 team, H2H, 6 keeper league (Keepers in Bold)
    G, A, Pts, +/-, PPP, PIM, FW
    W, GAA, S%, Saves
    2C, 2RW, 2LW, 4D, 2G

    C: Kuz, Toews, Dach
    LW: Connor, Benn (C), Stuetzle
    RW: Marner, Pastrnak
    D: Carlson, Theodore, Hronek, K.Miller, Morrissey
    G: Helly, Hart, Allen, Halak
    IR: Eichel (C)
    IR+: E.Kane (LW,RW)

  7. #37
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    Default Re: NFL Best Bets?

    Quote Originally Posted by 2014olympicgold View Post
    Early line I like
    Rams -1.5 and O54. I actually went with Rams -2.5 to get + odds.

    I heard Raiders will be around -5 vs the Bears. I like that as a gamble that Dalton will be back.
    What a weird game. Easily could have had a couple more TDs if it wasn't for some weird redzone calls.
    12 team, H2H, 6 keeper league (Keepers in Bold)
    G, A, Pts, +/-, PPP, PIM, FW
    W, GAA, S%, Saves
    2C, 2RW, 2LW, 4D, 2G

    C: Kuz, Toews, Dach
    LW: Connor, Benn (C), Stuetzle
    RW: Marner, Pastrnak
    D: Carlson, Theodore, Hronek, K.Miller, Morrissey
    G: Helly, Hart, Allen, Halak
    IR: Eichel (C)
    IR+: E.Kane (LW,RW)

  8. #38
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    Default Re: NFL Best Bets?

    Finding this a very difficult weekend to call.

  9. #39
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    Ya, going quickly I like the following:
    Falcons -3 (however, a London game...I dunno)
    Packers -3 vs Cincy...seems too easy?
    Washington +2.5 (NOS aren't good)
    Raiders -5.5 (I dunno, I'm flip flopping on this one)
    Chargers -2.5
    Cards -4.5 (+100. I think this is a weird spread for a +, but SF49ers are a really good team)
    Bills +3 (KCC are playing too loose. They haven't been good and just out talented their opponents so far)

    I'm not locking in any right now. Just my thoughts. With Thanksgiving I might just be stepping away from the weekend of betting. Might touch a couple on early live bets. I've been cold on my bets I've made through Parlays so I won't be touching a parlay this weekend.
    12 team, H2H, 6 keeper league (Keepers in Bold)
    G, A, Pts, +/-, PPP, PIM, FW
    W, GAA, S%, Saves
    2C, 2RW, 2LW, 4D, 2G

    C: Kuz, Toews, Dach
    LW: Connor, Benn (C), Stuetzle
    RW: Marner, Pastrnak
    D: Carlson, Theodore, Hronek, K.Miller, Morrissey
    G: Helly, Hart, Allen, Halak
    IR: Eichel (C)
    IR+: E.Kane (LW,RW)

  10. #40
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    Default Re: NFL Best Bets?

    I usually do an early week parlay on some of the big favorites before the lines move even more. It doesn't always work out (last week Tennessee ruined it), but I feel like it's a pretty safe bet.

    This week I did GB, TB, Ten, Dall and Balt.

    That's all I have down right now.

  11. #41
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    Quote Originally Posted by hockeyrobot View Post
    I usually do an early week parlay on some of the big favorites before the lines move even more. It doesn't always work out (last week Tennessee ruined it), but I feel like it's a pretty safe bet.

    This week I did GB, TB, Ten, Dall and Balt.

    That's all I have down right now.
    And it won!!! Thanks to Baltimore's lucky comeback.

    I am also loving the "Bet Builder" feature that bet365 has now. I guess it works like Proline Props but it's just way more accessible. And I've found success predicting game scripts and joining a few bets together and increasing your winnings.

  12. #42
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    Default Re: NFL Best Bets?

    I got Baltimore when they were down 7-0 right before they recovered a fumble in their redzone at +110 and thought I was stealing money from the house. I was pisssssed when I checked the score before going to bed and loved the morning lol.
    12 team, H2H, 6 keeper league (Keepers in Bold)
    G, A, Pts, +/-, PPP, PIM, FW
    W, GAA, S%, Saves
    2C, 2RW, 2LW, 4D, 2G

    C: Kuz, Toews, Dach
    LW: Connor, Benn (C), Stuetzle
    RW: Marner, Pastrnak
    D: Carlson, Theodore, Hronek, K.Miller, Morrissey
    G: Helly, Hart, Allen, Halak
    IR: Eichel (C)
    IR+: E.Kane (LW,RW)

  13. #43
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    Default Re: NFL Best Bets?

    I ain't touching the Buccs vs Eagles game. I have no idea what the spread will be and the ML is too far off for me to touch.

    GB -4.5
    KCC -6.5
    Chargers +3
    Bills -5.5

    That's about it for me.
    12 team, H2H, 6 keeper league (Keepers in Bold)
    G, A, Pts, +/-, PPP, PIM, FW
    W, GAA, S%, Saves
    2C, 2RW, 2LW, 4D, 2G

    C: Kuz, Toews, Dach
    LW: Connor, Benn (C), Stuetzle
    RW: Marner, Pastrnak
    D: Carlson, Theodore, Hronek, K.Miller, Morrissey
    G: Helly, Hart, Allen, Halak
    IR: Eichel (C)
    IR+: E.Kane (LW,RW)

  14. #44
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    Default Re: NFL Best Bets?

    Quote Originally Posted by 2014olympicgold View Post
    I ain't touching the Buccs vs Eagles game. I have no idea what the spread will be and the ML is too far off for me to touch.

    GB -4.5
    KCC -6.5
    Chargers +3
    Bills -5.5

    That's about it for me.
    I started another money line parlay with TB.

    TB
    BUF
    LAR
    CIN
    PIT

    Almost 6/1

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