Originally Posted by
Eli26
Timo Meier is valued accordingly poopoohead! I am right and you're wrong! Neiner neiner neiner! Last time I am using it! Scout's honour! Silliness aside, while I don't think Meier is as bad as he showed, (his shot rate did dip by 40 percent), which means you could add several-to-10 more goals to his total on a good year. He starts looking better. My only issue is his thinking game. How he creates offence on his own. It makes me a bit squeamish. There doesn't seem to be a real smart player there. He's more of a size and skill player... That combination of speed, shot, and tenacity to throw his big body at good speeds, to open up space for his linemates. Having said that, it doesn't always translate onto the scoresheet, because he can make errant passes that go no where, or takes far and/or off angle shots, or completely misfires. Point is for such a huge shot volume guy (245 shots per season over the last 3 years), he doesn't have a great shooting percentage (even when it's on), and that's because he doesn't pick his shots like a smart shooter does. He just throws whatever he can at the net, hoping something goes in. This is why I steered away from Timo Time, because he's running out of time in making guys believe he's really as good as where he went. The eye test shows a player that draws attention due to his speed, crashing around the net, making the odd monster hit, and he definitely has some good tools as I said before, but then when you watch how he gets his points, it's based on that skillset doing all the heavy lifting. Which is great, but the lack of hockey IQ will not get you that monster season. I still see him as a good passenger ala a James Neal in his better days. Obviously not as lethal of a shot, but comes with a better first step or two, and with that acceleration, and overall top speed he is valuable. Neal wasn't exactly the fastest guy, but that isn't what he relies on. It's that canon of a shot, and among forwards at his peak, only Alex Ovechkin and Steven Stamkos had a better shot. And the other difference is, and it's a major one, Neal's best seasons came being a passenger to a primed Evgeni Malkin. Meier doesn't have that kind of talent to feed off of in San Jose.
That all being said, I am not at all gushy over Ryan Strome. It's not that he isn't good, quite the contrary. He just came off two seasons that would have seen him essentially be around (over or under) 70 points over 82 games. I just find the player a bit on the vanilla side, and he's a player of default and opportunity. He's as good as he is given the opportunity to play with certain talent. Strome could be a 40 point guy or a 70 one. Just depends where he lands, and what line and who his linemates are. He doesn't have the goal scoring upside of a Meier or generates his number of hits, but as we look at the past two seasons in a keeper league that may not be deep and count shots and hits, and/or has goals and assists counted as equal, I would prefer Strome to Meier, who right now has trended down every season over the last 3 years... 69, 57, and 47 prorated over 82 games. This is very concerning. Compare that to 35, 69, and 72, and the fact Strome had 43 points in his last 43 games, and you begin to understand while I may not exactly be a fan of the player, he's still the safer and better own between those two as of now.
I like Jason Robertson, and I do think there is a special player there. And while he may not do what he did in his rookie season as a sophomore, I believe he has the tools and intellect to be a very good and useful top-sixer in the NHL for a long time. So don't think he can't replicate or improve on his rookie numbers. He absolutely can and should. He has a history of being a big producer at lower levels to back up what he did in Dallas. He's not some unknown anomaly.
And finally there is Drew Doughty, who's the oldest player by far in this deal at 32 this year, and has a name that precedes his production. I always felt he was the Jonathan Toews of defenseman. You're paying a lot more for the player because of the way the media and the NHL builds them up to be much better than what the production shows, and while the argument is there for those intangibles and defensive awareness, it doesn't necessarily translate favourably to those who are buyers of said players in fantasy hockey. While the Los Angeles core and future going forward looks promising, it doesn't increase said player's value. What you see is what you get.
And I get it, it's a forward and forward for forward and defenseman deal. Just not sure I would make that deal right now. But even if you did, it's not as if you lost it. It really comes down to how important getting that defenseman is and if you believe in Meier's chance to replicate what he did at 22, because I am not sure he'll best that. And I am not sure when and if it happens again.