Re: Necas vs Hoglander 2 year outlook
Tough one. I really love Necas. I am a bit worried though as he hasn't looked so hot so far this season. He did take a huge leap last year though. Could be a kind of sophomore early slump. I still think Necas has the talent to be a stud though. Obviously Aho and Svechnikov are going to be their top 2 offensive players for a while. A line of Svech/Aho/Necas could be devastating to other teams though. Like having too absolute physical beasts with huge offensive potential on either side of Aho, scary.
Hoglander looks terrific. And you would be getting that 2nd. As good as Hoglander has been and as NHL ready as he is, I question his ultimate ceiling. I still think he has a high ceiling, but perhaps more of a 2nd line player than 1st. Especially with Miller and Boeser around. Necas has similar road blocks in Carolina, but I do think Necas has the higher ceiling of the 2 also.
One advantage I think Hoglander has is that Nucks have both Pettersson and Horvat. So No matter which line he ends up on he will have a terrific Center along side him. And also, since your league has HIT, that would benefit Necas more as I see him being that physical type of player, where Hoglander is more finesse with some grit. I don't think your assessment is far off. And yea, Hoglander has the clearer path to top 6, he's all ready in the top 6. But Necas I think has a better chance of being an actual first line player with a higher ceiling.
Ultimately, I think the trade is absolutely FAIR. It really just depends on which player and which situation you prefer and would rather own going forward. Also, it partially depends on who you might be able to get with that 2nd Round pick. If top prospects are usually still available in your 2nd round, that would be tempting to me. For instance, guys like Drysdale, Perfetti, Tomasino etc... went in the 2nd round of our rookie draft the past 2 years. So a 2nd being added on his nothing to sniff at. A combo of Hoglander and Drysdale or Tomasino is definitely worth trading a Necas for depending on the situation.
18 Team H2H Dynasty 9x4 cat. Roster 30 + 2 NA, 4 DL. 4C,4LW,4RW,6D,1G,11BN
Scoring cats are G, A, +\-, PIM, PPP, SHP, FW, HIT, BLK
W, GAA, SV%, SHO.
C: Crosby, Horvat, , E. Lindholm (RW), Aho, W. Johnston (RW), Bjugstad,
LW: Marchand, J. Benn, E. Kane, Fiala, Barbashev (C), Schwartz (C), Namestikov (C)
RW: M. Tkachuk (LW), JT Miller (C), Batherson, Hyman (LW), Frederic (C), Palmieri
D: J. Carlson, Josi, Doughty, Pietrangelo, Seider, Gudas, Ekman-Larsson,
G: Vasilievkiy, Shesterkin, Husso
NA: Mukhamadullin (D), I. Rosen (RW), D. .Levi (G)
LTIR: Landeskog (LW), Dach (C)