2021 season: BOLD predictions

[Axeman33]

Axeman, that amounts to a game misconduct.

I didn't choose who was going to sponsor which division.

[Stanley]

9. Tom Brady attends TB v BOS playoff game, grinning the whole time with only one, NEW, super bowl ring
10. The effin Leafs hoist the Stanley Cup, elevating annoying Leafs fans to more annoying that the definition of annoying. Merriam-Webster considers creating a new word for it.

I hate #9 but boy would that be hilarious.
I love #10. As a Leaf fan, totally worth to be hated even more and have "our" picture in the dictionary for this new word.

[Daydream Nation]

Curious to read some BOLD predictions for the this shortened 2020-21 hockey season.

I'll hit ya'll with:

1. - Roope Hintz will lead the Stars in points.
2. - Dominik Kahun will have Dominik Kubalik-like season in Edmonton.
3. - Vitek Vanecek will outplay Samsonov to the point he will be the starter in the playoffs.
4. - John Marino is the top point producing dman on the Penguins
5. - Anthony Beauvillier and Brock Nelson are point per game players.
6. - EDM finishes 1st in the Canadian division - only to be swept by the first non-canadian team they face in the playoffs.
7. - NJ will have more points than NYR
8. - Nashville will trade Filip Forsberg.
9. - St. Louis misses the playoffs.
10. - Brayden Point leads the NHL in points.

LOL- you have the first 4 and last guy on your fantasy team.

[Daydream Nation]

Josh Norris edges out Hoglander for the Calder.
Shesterkin wins the Vezina.
Toronto beats Carolina for the Cup.
Hamilton wins the Norris.
Pittsburgh misses the playoffs.
San Jose makes the playoffs.
Quinn Hughes is a pt/game player.
Chicago has the worst record in the league and wins the #1 pick.

[canuckscup17]

Because, why not.
1. Jacob Markstrom wins Vezina, leads Flames to Stanley Cup Final.
2. Alain Vigneault wins Jack Adams, Flyers beat Flames in SCF.
3. Nils Hoglander finishes top 3 for Calder.
4. Patrick Laine wins Rocket Richard.
5. Penguins score the most goals this year, miss the playoffs.
6. Jake Guentzel scores 5 goals in an 8-5 win over the Bruins, Crosby has 7pts.
7. The L.A. Kings get swept by Vegas in the regular season, losing all 8 games by a combined 28 goals.
8. The Minnesota Wild win the Central division led by Calder winner, Kaprizov and Vezina candidate, Talbot.
9. Quinn Hughes wins the Norris.
10. Tim Stutzle scores 20 goals.

[canuckscup17]

I had only looked at the first page, now looking at page 2, seems I'm not the only one predicting Laine to win the Rocket.

[2014olympicgold]

Bold prediction. We'll have a West vs West or East vs East stanley cup final.

[Pengwin7]

Bold prediction. We'll have a West vs West or East vs East stanley cup final.

50/50 odds of this, so, uh, coin flip.
#NotBold

[2014olympicgold]

Is the probability at 50/50? You need the 4 division winners to come out the proper standings?

Yeah I guess it's actually 5050...

So the standings outcoming needs to be E, E, W, W (or reverse). Then you need both the same conference win. So chance is 50.50, but probability of having the right 2 teams win isn't 50/50.

I'm no probability master. But getting the standings to E, E, W, W and having the right 2 win can't be 50/50. But I guess E, W, E, W is a thing... yeah it's 50/50 lol


I guess the probability of E, E, W, W of having a EvE is higher than E, W, E, W standings. hmmmmmmmmm

Bolder prediction, I learn probability of the scenario before it happens.

[Pengwin7]

Get out some red & green M&Ms and have some fun putting them in 4 cups and taking them out.
It's not going to be exactly 50/50 with the 16/15 E/W distribution... but it's going to be really, really close.

Same theory as whether a couple having kids will have GG or BB... those counts are about similar to GB or BG.
If you separate 16 girls and 15 boys into groups of 4... and then end up doing some contest to get to two... there's 50/50 odds that it might be a same-sex championship battle.

[hockeyrobot]

Is the probability at 50/50? You need the 4 division winners to come out the proper standings?

Yeah I guess it's actually 5050...

So the standings outcoming needs to be E, E, W, W (or reverse). Then you need both the same conference win. So chance is 50.50, but probability of having the right 2 teams win isn't 50/50.

I'm no probability master. But getting the standings to E, E, W, W and having the right 2 win can't be 50/50. But I guess E, W, E, W is a thing... yeah it's 50/50 lol


I guess the probability of E, E, W, W of having a EvE is higher than E, W, E, W standings. hmmmmmmmmm

Bolder prediction, I learn probability of the scenario before it happens.

I love how you argued with yourself 3 times in this post.

Having a same "conference" Cup Final is 50/50 because there are only 2 outcomes.

[2014olympicgold]

But probability changes based on the 2 different types of standings:
Option 1
E, E, W, W or W, W, E, E.

This set of standings would suggest a higher possibility than 50/50, of having the same conference face each other

Option 2
E, W, E, W or W, E, W, E

This would need 1 team to perform an upset, making the probability lower than 50/50.

I get myself very spun around when thinking of probability because then I start thinking about actual real life standings. Cause everything could happen between now and then so then my thoughts get derailed.

Ah whatever, hope my spiral of my own thoughts entertained you guys.

[newfcollins]

Here's an update on how my bold predictions fared:

1. Montreal misses the playoffs, leading to the firing of GM Marc Bergevin. Montreal didn't miss the playoff, but MB is on the hot seat. Part of this could still happen if the Habs lose badly in the first round.

2. A goalie not playing for a New York team wins the Calder. Nope. But if rookie goalies had started more games, this could have been a win. Nedeljkovic, Kahkonen, Lankinen and Vanecek all have a chance to be nominated, but won't beat out Kaprizov or Robertson.

3. Two teams will finish with less than 50 games played due to COVID. No.

4. We will see a player flirt with 50 goals in 50 games. Matthews made this happen for a good chunk of the season. Going to chalk it up as a half point.

5. A defenseman wins the Hart trophy (unless number 4 happens). Not gonna happen because of number eight on this list.

6. Fighting skyrockets, with at least 10 players involved in at least 10 fights each. (By comparison, last year saw only one player involved in 10 fights). Fighting is up this season, but no one reached 10 fights. Brady Tkachuk led the way with seven.

7. Zero coaches are fired during the season. Three fired in-season, two fired since their seasons ended.

8. McDavid reaches 100 points. Sweet! I'll count this one as a win.

9. Washington finishes with a bottom-five power play. They're third-best right now. So way off.

10. Pittsburgh trades Malkin to the Kings. Obviously never happened. Maybe this offseason.

So overall, 1.5 out of 10, with still an outside chance of Bergevin being fired. I'll take it as far as bold predictions go.

[hockeyrobot]

I did not get around to making these before the season.....but I'll damn sure read through and laugh at all of your bad takes now!!

Great call on McDavid for 100.

[Pengwin7]

Always fun.

1. Matthew Barzal wins the Art Ross.
2. Carter Hart wins the Vezina.
3. Kaprizov wins the Calder... but he wins it unanimously, finishing top 15 in NHL scoring... and
4. Shesterkin loses starting NYR G1 job to Georgiev
5. Toews doesn't return
6. Some other NHL HHOF-lock player retires mid-season, citing family needs
7. Pittsburgh AND Washington miss playoffs
8. Evander Kane vs. Logan Couture becomes a thing, one is traded
9. Tom Brady attends TB v BOS playoff game, grinning the whole time with only one, NEW, super bowl ring
10. The effin Leafs hoist the Stanley Cup, elevating annoying Leafs fans to more annoying that the definition of annoying. Merriam-Webster considers creating a new word for it.

My summary:
3, 5, 9, 10 - I'll take some points on these. We'll see with the Leafs, but they look strong.
1, 2, 4, 7, 8 - Absolute MISSES. LOL. Just way way off!
6 - Mikko Koivu retired. He's not a lock for HHOF and didn't cite family needs... but he's a fave of mine. I'm really surprised Thornton & Marleau made it fully through the year. I thought maybe Jaromir Jagr might actually be this guy and "retire" from his Czech league! Instead, he made them champs @ age 49. The ageless wonder!