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Thread: I'm tracking prospect draft results and trends

  1. #31
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    Default Re: I'm tracking prospect draft results and trends

    Currently going through my league's draft in sig. Have been updating in the 2019 Results Thread. I will send you a copy of the spreadsheet when we're done!
    24 Team H2H Pts Cap Dyn
    4C 4LW 4RW 6D 1G 4B 27M

    G (1) A (1) +/- (.25) PIM (.05) SOG (.05) PPP (.5) HIT (.05) BLK (.05) FOW (.01)
    W (1.75) GA (-1) SV (.1) SO (3)

    C: Seguin, Kuznetsov, Trocheck, Johansen, Kostin
    LW: Benn, Lindblom, Dickinson, Kubalik
    RW: Tuch, Fabbri, Bjorkstrand, Terry
    D: Klingberg, Chabot, Girard, Spurgeon, C Miller, Theodore, Marino
    G: Hellebuyck, Berdin

    C: Elvenes, Vorobyev, Spacek, Jones, Eyssimont, Daviddson, Shvyrev
    LW: Dorofyev, Koivula, Shalagin, Dugan, Cates, Ranta
    RW: Volkov, Fortier, Evans, Blichfeld, Legare, Tieksola
    D: Laaksonen, Gilbert, Pilut
    G: Samsonov, Sorokin, Knight, Zagidulin


  2. #32
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    Default Re: I'm tracking prospect draft results and trends

    Quote Originally Posted by SensArmy93 View Post
    Currently going through my league's draft in sig. Have been updating in the 2019 Results Thread. I will send you a copy of the spreadsheet when we're done!
    Hey it’s much appreciated SensArmy and I’m looking forward to your contribution. Looks really good so far and deep (which are my favorites).
    5.5X Champs
    20 Team Dynasty (Unique Cap) H2H 23 Man roster - 20 Minor
    G,A,SOG,PIM,HIT,BLK,FO%,2G+A,D-pts,STG,GWG+SHP+ShootoutG
    W,SV%,GAA,SO Start 4 C,LW,RW/6D/2G Min 3 start/ 3Bench/6IR

    C-Hischier,W.Nylander,
    Benn
    LW-Guentzel,B.Tkachuk
    ,Marchand,Gaudreau
    RW-A.Svechnikov,M.Tkachuk,Duclair,Mantha
    D-Provorov,McAvoy,Gudas,Doughty,Dunn,McDonagh
    G-Hart,Vanecek
    B-
    Brannstrom,Crouse
    Prospects
    Rossi,Berggren,Sillinger,Giv.Smith,Perreault,Kaspe r,Gauthier,Miroshnichenko,R.Johnson
    Perunovich,Salo,Capobianco,Mackey,Woo,Benning,A.Jo hansson,Thrun
    Skinner,Martin,Ingram,Fedotov
    ​Entry Draft 5 Rds [<60gp] '23 2,3,3,5
    Cap 77.82M/82.5M

    Twitter @MatsonHockey


  3. #33
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    Default Re: I'm tracking prospect draft results and trends

    Who's going around pick 55 in most drafts? I have an offer of Marcus Davidsson (BUF prospect) for 55 overall.
    24 Team H2H Pts Cap Dyn
    4C 4LW 4RW 6D 1G 4B 27M

    G (1) A (1) +/- (.25) PIM (.05) SOG (.05) PPP (.5) HIT (.05) BLK (.05) FOW (.01)
    W (1.75) GA (-1) SV (.1) SO (3)

    C: Seguin, Kuznetsov, Trocheck, Johansen, Kostin
    LW: Benn, Lindblom, Dickinson, Kubalik
    RW: Tuch, Fabbri, Bjorkstrand, Terry
    D: Klingberg, Chabot, Girard, Spurgeon, C Miller, Theodore, Marino
    G: Hellebuyck, Berdin

    C: Elvenes, Vorobyev, Spacek, Jones, Eyssimont, Daviddson, Shvyrev
    LW: Dorofyev, Koivula, Shalagin, Dugan, Cates, Ranta
    RW: Volkov, Fortier, Evans, Blichfeld, Legare, Tieksola
    D: Laaksonen, Gilbert, Pilut
    G: Samsonov, Sorokin, Knight, Zagidulin


  4. #34
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    Default Re: I'm tracking prospect draft results and trends

    Anything past 40 starts to get choppy and players from the later tiers vary widely. A few players that might be there and worth a pick are

    Vladislav Kolyachonko Avg 57.85, Hi 49 (twice), Lo 70, 8/26 drafts
    Nathan Legare Avg 49.3, Hi 31, Lo 85, 10/26 drafts
    Samuel Fagemo Avg 47, Hi 38 (twice), Lo 73, 10/26 drafts
    5.5X Champs
    20 Team Dynasty (Unique Cap) H2H 23 Man roster - 20 Minor
    G,A,SOG,PIM,HIT,BLK,FO%,2G+A,D-pts,STG,GWG+SHP+ShootoutG
    W,SV%,GAA,SO Start 4 C,LW,RW/6D/2G Min 3 start/ 3Bench/6IR

    C-Hischier,W.Nylander,
    Benn
    LW-Guentzel,B.Tkachuk
    ,Marchand,Gaudreau
    RW-A.Svechnikov,M.Tkachuk,Duclair,Mantha
    D-Provorov,McAvoy,Gudas,Doughty,Dunn,McDonagh
    G-Hart,Vanecek
    B-
    Brannstrom,Crouse
    Prospects
    Rossi,Berggren,Sillinger,Giv.Smith,Perreault,Kaspe r,Gauthier,Miroshnichenko,R.Johnson
    Perunovich,Salo,Capobianco,Mackey,Woo,Benning,A.Jo hansson,Thrun
    Skinner,Martin,Ingram,Fedotov
    ​Entry Draft 5 Rds [<60gp] '23 2,3,3,5
    Cap 77.82M/82.5M

    Twitter @MatsonHockey


  5. #35
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    Default Re: I'm tracking prospect draft results and trends

    Love that you're doing this my man!

    Where have you seen guys like :

    Fensore
    Grewe
    Beaucage
    *
    20 Team Dynasty H2H League: Devils (Rebuild Mode)
    5th Year
    G=1.5, A=1, PPP=.25, SHP=.25, BLK=.1, HIT=.1, SOG=1, FOW=+.1, FOL=-.1, GA=-1, SV=+.1, SHO=4, W=3

    C : Hischier, Horvat,
    W : Marner, P. Kane, Fiala
    D : Provorov, Bouchard
    G : Campbell, Francouz

    Minors:
    C : Tomasino, Rossi, Khustnutdinov, Amirov, Stankoven,
    W : N. Robertson, Maccelli,
    D : Addison, Farrance, Morrow, Heinola, Rathbone
    G : Annunen, Thompson

  6. #36
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    Quote Originally Posted by tcat View Post
    Love that you're doing this my man!

    Where have you seen guys like :

    Fensore
    Grewe
    Beaucage
    Thanks Tcat! As I said in my first post I've only been tracking 60ish '19 prospects that I had chosen a few weeks before the NHL draft and I haven't been following Fensore and Beaucage. I can say they're both being drafted with regularity late in deeper drafts and I've added both to my watch list. I know that they are trendy picks around the forum and that always bodes well for a prospects value and I trust the other posters that Fen and Beau would make a solid selection anywhere past 50 or 60 but I just don't have the numbers to back up that assumption. As for Albin Grewe his Avg is 47.75, Hi of 31, and a Lo of 89. Grewe has gone in 16 of 30 drafts. He's more likely to go before his Avg than after and I'd give a 15 ahead and an 8 behind his Avg as an expected range.
    5.5X Champs
    20 Team Dynasty (Unique Cap) H2H 23 Man roster - 20 Minor
    G,A,SOG,PIM,HIT,BLK,FO%,2G+A,D-pts,STG,GWG+SHP+ShootoutG
    W,SV%,GAA,SO Start 4 C,LW,RW/6D/2G Min 3 start/ 3Bench/6IR

    C-Hischier,W.Nylander,
    Benn
    LW-Guentzel,B.Tkachuk
    ,Marchand,Gaudreau
    RW-A.Svechnikov,M.Tkachuk,Duclair,Mantha
    D-Provorov,McAvoy,Gudas,Doughty,Dunn,McDonagh
    G-Hart,Vanecek
    B-
    Brannstrom,Crouse
    Prospects
    Rossi,Berggren,Sillinger,Giv.Smith,Perreault,Kaspe r,Gauthier,Miroshnichenko,R.Johnson
    Perunovich,Salo,Capobianco,Mackey,Woo,Benning,A.Jo hansson,Thrun
    Skinner,Martin,Ingram,Fedotov
    ​Entry Draft 5 Rds [<60gp] '23 2,3,3,5
    Cap 77.82M/82.5M

    Twitter @MatsonHockey


  7. #37
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    Default Re: I'm tracking prospect draft results and trends

    Thanks!
    *
    20 Team Dynasty H2H League: Devils (Rebuild Mode)
    5th Year
    G=1.5, A=1, PPP=.25, SHP=.25, BLK=.1, HIT=.1, SOG=1, FOW=+.1, FOL=-.1, GA=-1, SV=+.1, SHO=4, W=3

    C : Hischier, Horvat,
    W : Marner, P. Kane, Fiala
    D : Provorov, Bouchard
    G : Campbell, Francouz

    Minors:
    C : Tomasino, Rossi, Khustnutdinov, Amirov, Stankoven,
    W : N. Robertson, Maccelli,
    D : Addison, Farrance, Morrow, Heinola, Rathbone
    G : Annunen, Thompson

  8. #38
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    Default Re: I'm tracking prospect draft results and trends

    do you have a top 20 compilation based on their draft position average?
    10 teams keeper league
    points only (1 for goal, 1 for pass)
    keep 24 ( 12 Forwards, 6 Def, 2 goalers count in the line up)

    1-mcdavid, 2-Barzal, 3-hischier, 4-keller, 5-marner, 6-teravainen, 7-Pettersson, 8-zadina, 9-Hughes, 10-Lindholm, 11-Norris

    1-theodore,2-Heiskanen, 3-Dahlin, 4-DeAngelo, 5-Chychrun, 6-Hughes, 7-Barrie, 8-Orlov

    1-Saros, 2-Hart, 3-Markstrom

    Prospect in the farm
    1-necas, 2-Demko, 3-Liljegren, 4-veleno, 5-dach, 6-byram, 7-turcotte, 8-krebs, 9-k'andre Miller

  9. #39
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    Quote Originally Posted by Meunier19 View Post
    do you have a top 20 compilation based on their draft position average?
    I do and the latest can be found here https://mobile.twitter.com/MatsonHoc...13299270201349 if you scroll through my feed you’ll also see the 16-45 range.
    5.5X Champs
    20 Team Dynasty (Unique Cap) H2H 23 Man roster - 20 Minor
    G,A,SOG,PIM,HIT,BLK,FO%,2G+A,D-pts,STG,GWG+SHP+ShootoutG
    W,SV%,GAA,SO Start 4 C,LW,RW/6D/2G Min 3 start/ 3Bench/6IR

    C-Hischier,W.Nylander,
    Benn
    LW-Guentzel,B.Tkachuk
    ,Marchand,Gaudreau
    RW-A.Svechnikov,M.Tkachuk,Duclair,Mantha
    D-Provorov,McAvoy,Gudas,Doughty,Dunn,McDonagh
    G-Hart,Vanecek
    B-
    Brannstrom,Crouse
    Prospects
    Rossi,Berggren,Sillinger,Giv.Smith,Perreault,Kaspe r,Gauthier,Miroshnichenko,R.Johnson
    Perunovich,Salo,Capobianco,Mackey,Woo,Benning,A.Jo hansson,Thrun
    Skinner,Martin,Ingram,Fedotov
    ​Entry Draft 5 Rds [<60gp] '23 2,3,3,5
    Cap 77.82M/82.5M

    Twitter @MatsonHockey


  10. #40
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    I’ve released the sheet. A big thank you goes out to all the contributors and posters on this fine forum. Without you guys the project wouldn’t have become what it became. Thank you.



    https://mobile.twitter.com/MatsonHockey/status/1166524890683457536
    5.5X Champs
    20 Team Dynasty (Unique Cap) H2H 23 Man roster - 20 Minor
    G,A,SOG,PIM,HIT,BLK,FO%,2G+A,D-pts,STG,GWG+SHP+ShootoutG
    W,SV%,GAA,SO Start 4 C,LW,RW/6D/2G Min 3 start/ 3Bench/6IR

    C-Hischier,W.Nylander,
    Benn
    LW-Guentzel,B.Tkachuk
    ,Marchand,Gaudreau
    RW-A.Svechnikov,M.Tkachuk,Duclair,Mantha
    D-Provorov,McAvoy,Gudas,Doughty,Dunn,McDonagh
    G-Hart,Vanecek
    B-
    Brannstrom,Crouse
    Prospects
    Rossi,Berggren,Sillinger,Giv.Smith,Perreault,Kaspe r,Gauthier,Miroshnichenko,R.Johnson
    Perunovich,Salo,Capobianco,Mackey,Woo,Benning,A.Jo hansson,Thrun
    Skinner,Martin,Ingram,Fedotov
    ​Entry Draft 5 Rds [<60gp] '23 2,3,3,5
    Cap 77.82M/82.5M

    Twitter @MatsonHockey


  11. #41
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    Default Re: I'm tracking prospect draft results and trends

    Quote Originally Posted by Bstbullies View Post
    I’ve released the sheet. A big thank you goes out to all the contributors and posters on this fine forum. Without you guys the project wouldn’t have become what it became. Thank you.



    https://mobile.twitter.com/MatsonHockey/status/1166524890683457536
    This is outstanding! Question. What do the AA, BB and so on mean?

    Again, amazing job and I'm definitely using this for a reference when we do our draft in October. If that's cool?
    Points only keeper. 12 Teams. No pos requirements. 18 skaters / 3 goalies (2 count for points.) G/A = 1 point each (includes goalies) Goalies = 1.5 for W / 4.5 for SO. Minors - 4 year protection. Prospects added during their draft year only. Undrafted = waivers.
    Skaters: Tolvanen,Jeannot,Drysdale,Benson,Sprong,Fantilli,H .Lindholm,T. Raddysh,K. Miller,Edvinsson,Roslovic,Sharangovich,McBain,Benn ett,Crouse, Luostarinen,Dube,Phillips
    Goalies: Gustavsson,Schmid,Vejmekla
    Minors: F.Pinelli,Beckman,Cossa,Nikkanen,Tieksola,Pashin,M cMichael,Konovalov,Svechkov,K.Johnson,Moore,Crista ll,Heidt,Ziemmer,Perron,Nadeau,Gulyayev,Wahlberg, Suniev,Tomasino,Khusnutdinov

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    Default Re: I'm tracking prospect draft results and trends

    Quote Originally Posted by Mike's Lemons View Post
    This is outstanding! Question. What do the AA, BB and so on mean?

    Again, amazing job and I'm definitely using this for a reference when we do our draft in October. If that's cool?
    I think he's put down where each player was drafted for all the drafts he tracked, along with an average draft position at the end.

  13. #43
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    Makes sense to me now. I'm a dolt sometimes haha!
    Points only keeper. 12 Teams. No pos requirements. 18 skaters / 3 goalies (2 count for points.) G/A = 1 point each (includes goalies) Goalies = 1.5 for W / 4.5 for SO. Minors - 4 year protection. Prospects added during their draft year only. Undrafted = waivers.
    Skaters: Tolvanen,Jeannot,Drysdale,Benson,Sprong,Fantilli,H .Lindholm,T. Raddysh,K. Miller,Edvinsson,Roslovic,Sharangovich,McBain,Benn ett,Crouse, Luostarinen,Dube,Phillips
    Goalies: Gustavsson,Schmid,Vejmekla
    Minors: F.Pinelli,Beckman,Cossa,Nikkanen,Tieksola,Pashin,M cMichael,Konovalov,Svechkov,K.Johnson,Moore,Crista ll,Heidt,Ziemmer,Perron,Nadeau,Gulyayev,Wahlberg, Suniev,Tomasino,Khusnutdinov

  14. #44
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    It’s not the prettiest I know and it got a bit sloppy towards the end as I have an inaugural dynasty draft going on with work and family rolled in there. The A, B, C, - AA, BB etc are the drafts, I kept them anonymous so instead of a league name they got a letter (or a few). I’ve shared this for whoever wants to use it, so happy drafting! You can make numbers say whatever you want so I always did my best to point out trends. There is context if you’re willing to dig into the numbers. The Avgs are just a small piece of the puzzle and should be taken with a grain of salt. It can give you an idea of range but you have to account for your leaguemates and format among other variables. I hopefully will have time next offseason to expand on this project. Some personal takeaways, Foote continues to be going criminally late, Knight isn’t worth that AVG unless your league is goalie crazy, and the top 15 players had no change for over 6 weeks.
    5.5X Champs
    20 Team Dynasty (Unique Cap) H2H 23 Man roster - 20 Minor
    G,A,SOG,PIM,HIT,BLK,FO%,2G+A,D-pts,STG,GWG+SHP+ShootoutG
    W,SV%,GAA,SO Start 4 C,LW,RW/6D/2G Min 3 start/ 3Bench/6IR

    C-Hischier,W.Nylander,
    Benn
    LW-Guentzel,B.Tkachuk
    ,Marchand,Gaudreau
    RW-A.Svechnikov,M.Tkachuk,Duclair,Mantha
    D-Provorov,McAvoy,Gudas,Doughty,Dunn,McDonagh
    G-Hart,Vanecek
    B-
    Brannstrom,Crouse
    Prospects
    Rossi,Berggren,Sillinger,Giv.Smith,Perreault,Kaspe r,Gauthier,Miroshnichenko,R.Johnson
    Perunovich,Salo,Capobianco,Mackey,Woo,Benning,A.Jo hansson,Thrun
    Skinner,Martin,Ingram,Fedotov
    ​Entry Draft 5 Rds [<60gp] '23 2,3,3,5
    Cap 77.82M/82.5M

    Twitter @MatsonHockey


  15. #45
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    Default Re: I'm tracking prospect draft results and trends

    It looks great, man!
    Points only keeper. 12 Teams. No pos requirements. 18 skaters / 3 goalies (2 count for points.) G/A = 1 point each (includes goalies) Goalies = 1.5 for W / 4.5 for SO. Minors - 4 year protection. Prospects added during their draft year only. Undrafted = waivers.
    Skaters: Tolvanen,Jeannot,Drysdale,Benson,Sprong,Fantilli,H .Lindholm,T. Raddysh,K. Miller,Edvinsson,Roslovic,Sharangovich,McBain,Benn ett,Crouse, Luostarinen,Dube,Phillips
    Goalies: Gustavsson,Schmid,Vejmekla
    Minors: F.Pinelli,Beckman,Cossa,Nikkanen,Tieksola,Pashin,M cMichael,Konovalov,Svechkov,K.Johnson,Moore,Crista ll,Heidt,Ziemmer,Perron,Nadeau,Gulyayev,Wahlberg, Suniev,Tomasino,Khusnutdinov

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