Results 1 to 12 of 12

Thread: 2019 Free Agent Salary Predictions

  1. #1
    Location
    Brampton, Ontario
    Rep Power
    40

    Dobber Sports Jedi

    Default 2019 Free Agent Salary Predictions

    Hey all,

    I don't normally post my articles on the forums, but I figured this one was worth some discussion. Finally have some numbers that I'm happy sharing from my contract prediction model. You can find that linked through the article below.

    Would love to have some feedback and discussion on the predictions. Any thoughts you have, let's hear 'em!

    https://dobberhockey.com/hockey-home...s-this-summer/
    Capped writer for DobberHockey. Find the latest articles here: http://www.dobberhockey.com/Table/Hockey-home/Capped/
    (No I don't have a hockey problem...)

  2. #2
    Location
    Nova Scotia
    Rep Power
    40

    Dobber Sports Immortal

    Default Re: 2019 Free Agent Salary Predictions

    Pretty cool. Too bad you couldn't figure out goalies too. Im curious what your little predictor thingy would say Binnington will get.

    Thanks for sharing.

    - - - Updated - - -

    Pretty cool. Too bad you couldn't figure out goalies too. Im curious what your little predictor thingy would say Binnington will get.

    Thanks for sharing.

    - - - Updated - - -

    Pretty cool. Too bad you couldn't figure out goalies too. Im curious what your little predictor thingy would say Binnington will get.

    Thanks for sharing.


    10 Team, Points Only, Cash League

    25 Man Roster (no position), top 20 point getters count at end of month
    Keep 20/25 at seasons end, Cut 5 to FA for redrafting
    Goalie points W=2pt L=-1pt SHO=2pt

    Stamkos, Tavares, JaBenn, Couture, Wheeler, Lee, Frolik, RThomas, Kucherov, Byfuglien, Burns, Zuccarello, Hoffman, JSchwartz, KPalmieri, KConnor, Necas, Bjorkstrand, Point, Konecny, MBacklund, NSchmaltz

    G- Vasilevskiy, Bobrovsky, Hart


    "Cleavage is like the sun. You can look, but dont stare.. Unless you're wearing sunglasses."

  3. #3
    Location
    Nova Scotia
    Rep Power
    40

    Dobber Sports Immortal

    Default Re: 2019 Free Agent Salary Predictions

    A couple that jump out at me for being too low/too high.

    Too much:

    Derick Pouliot
    Anthony Duclair
    Adrian Kempe
    Tony Deangelo
    Will Butcher
    Anders Lee

    Will make more than predicted:

    Brandon Tanev
    Brett Connolly
    Sam Bennett
    Cody Ceci (I cant wait to see how much Ottawa over pays him)
    Tyler Myers
    Jordan Eberle


    Those are my opinions but I could very well be wrong. As you say in your column, it's pure speculation based on numbers. Still a very good read.


    10 Team, Points Only, Cash League

    25 Man Roster (no position), top 20 point getters count at end of month
    Keep 20/25 at seasons end, Cut 5 to FA for redrafting
    Goalie points W=2pt L=-1pt SHO=2pt

    Stamkos, Tavares, JaBenn, Couture, Wheeler, Lee, Frolik, RThomas, Kucherov, Byfuglien, Burns, Zuccarello, Hoffman, JSchwartz, KPalmieri, KConnor, Necas, Bjorkstrand, Point, Konecny, MBacklund, NSchmaltz

    G- Vasilevskiy, Bobrovsky, Hart


    "Cleavage is like the sun. You can look, but dont stare.. Unless you're wearing sunglasses."

  4. #4
    Location
    Brampton, Ontario
    Rep Power
    40

    Dobber Sports Jedi

    Default Re: 2019 Free Agent Salary Predictions

    Agree with the goalie point. It could be the next step, looking into how to figure out a pattern for goalie contracts. Maybe in the fall/winter when I have some more time on my hands.

    As for the high/lows, I can't really argue with your thoughts. It does intrigue me that our opinions on what a player should get can deviate so far from what some of the numbers say an approximate market value would be. I think it would be an extremely interesting experience to be able to be a fly on the wall in salary arbitration hearings.

    The Binnington case is very curious, and I may actually dig into that for next week's article now that I'm thinking about it...
    Capped writer for DobberHockey. Find the latest articles here: http://www.dobberhockey.com/Table/Hockey-home/Capped/
    (No I don't have a hockey problem...)

  5. #5
    Location
    Nova Scotia
    Rep Power
    40

    Dobber Sports Immortal

    Default Re: 2019 Free Agent Salary Predictions

    Always glad to help.


    10 Team, Points Only, Cash League

    25 Man Roster (no position), top 20 point getters count at end of month
    Keep 20/25 at seasons end, Cut 5 to FA for redrafting
    Goalie points W=2pt L=-1pt SHO=2pt

    Stamkos, Tavares, JaBenn, Couture, Wheeler, Lee, Frolik, RThomas, Kucherov, Byfuglien, Burns, Zuccarello, Hoffman, JSchwartz, KPalmieri, KConnor, Necas, Bjorkstrand, Point, Konecny, MBacklund, NSchmaltz

    G- Vasilevskiy, Bobrovsky, Hart


    "Cleavage is like the sun. You can look, but dont stare.. Unless you're wearing sunglasses."

  6. #6
    Location
    Brampton, Ontario
    Rep Power
    40

    Dobber Sports Jedi

    Default Re: 2019 Free Agent Salary Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by Axeman33 View Post
    Always glad to help.
    Always looking for topics in the summer, so I'm open to requests/ideas
    Capped writer for DobberHockey. Find the latest articles here: http://www.dobberhockey.com/Table/Hockey-home/Capped/
    (No I don't have a hockey problem...)

  7. #7
    Location
    Brampton, Ontario
    Rep Power
    40

    Dobber Sports Jedi

    Default Re: 2019 Free Agent Salary Predictions

    Binnington analysis article is posted for ya Axe.
    https://dobberhockey.com/hockey-home...-and-st-louis/
    Capped writer for DobberHockey. Find the latest articles here: http://www.dobberhockey.com/Table/Hockey-home/Capped/
    (No I don't have a hockey problem...)

  8. #8
    Location
    Brampton, Ontario
    Rep Power
    40

    Dobber Sports Jedi

    Default Re: 2019 Free Agent Salary Predictions

    Bumping this as it's July 1st! Enjoy
    Capped writer for DobberHockey. Find the latest articles here: http://www.dobberhockey.com/Table/Hockey-home/Capped/
    (No I don't have a hockey problem...)

  9. #9
    Location
    Cape Breton
    Rep Power
    12

    Dobber Sports Initiate

    Default Re: 2019 Free Agent Salary Predictions

    Let's just say I'm glad my league doesn't have a salary cap LOL
    12 Team Fantrax Weekly H2H
    22-Man Roster, 10 Keepers, Minors (<150 NHL Games Kept Free)
    Pos: 3xC / 3xLW / 3xRW / 4xD / 3xG / 1xUtil / 3xBench / 3xIR
    Scoring: (G=1) (A=1) (W=2) (SO=1) (SV=0.01)

    Pre-Draft Lineup: McDavid, MacKinnon, Panarin, DeBrincat, Boeser, Nylander, Hedman, Klingberg, Krug, Makar, Vasilevskiy, Bobrovsky

    Minors: Gusev, Dube, Heponiemi, Demko

  10. #10
    Location
    Brampton, Ontario
    Rep Power
    40

    Dobber Sports Jedi

    Default Re: 2019 Free Agent Salary Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by FrozenInferno View Post
    Let's just say I'm glad my league doesn't have a salary cap LOL
    Oh it's so much fun. You have no idea the madness that you're missing out on.
    Capped writer for DobberHockey. Find the latest articles here: http://www.dobberhockey.com/Table/Hockey-home/Capped/
    (No I don't have a hockey problem...)

  11. #11
    Location
    Cape Breton
    Rep Power
    12

    Dobber Sports Initiate

    Default Re: 2019 Free Agent Salary Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by Eskimo Brother View Post
    Oh it's so much fun. You have no idea the madness that you're missing out on.
    I can only imagine. Then again I would not be a fan of having to turn my team upside down because of something that's completely out of my control. It's not my fault GMs are handing out $10M+ contracts like candy.

    I can't wait to add up the contracts of all my keepers after Panarin, Bobrovsky, Rantanen, and Boeser all get their raises. I'd be the Yankees of my league for sure.
    12 Team Fantrax Weekly H2H
    22-Man Roster, 10 Keepers, Minors (<150 NHL Games Kept Free)
    Pos: 3xC / 3xLW / 3xRW / 4xD / 3xG / 1xUtil / 3xBench / 3xIR
    Scoring: (G=1) (A=1) (W=2) (SO=1) (SV=0.01)

    Pre-Draft Lineup: McDavid, MacKinnon, Panarin, DeBrincat, Boeser, Nylander, Hedman, Klingberg, Krug, Makar, Vasilevskiy, Bobrovsky

    Minors: Gusev, Dube, Heponiemi, Demko

  12. #12
    Location
    Brampton, Ontario
    Rep Power
    40

    Dobber Sports Jedi

    Default Re: 2019 Free Agent Salary Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by FrozenInferno View Post
    I can only imagine. Then again I would not be a fan of having to turn my team upside down because of something that's completely out of my control. It's not my fault GMs are handing out $10M+ contracts like candy.

    I can't wait to add up the contracts of all my keepers after Panarin, Bobrovsky, Rantanen, and Boeser all get their raises. I'd be the Yankees of my league for sure.
    The ones that actually hurt the most are the guys like Hayes and Lindell that get a lot more than expected.
    Capped writer for DobberHockey. Find the latest articles here: http://www.dobberhockey.com/Table/Hockey-home/Capped/
    (No I don't have a hockey problem...)

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •