Considering he was eased in this season, had 13 points in his last 20 games, and may finally get regular top 6 minutes plus PP time, I think 40 points is the floor.
He's ready for 16+ minutes per game, 1-2 minutes of PP time, and a fair bit of point accumulation. Be wary of his shot totals, but if he keeps that confidence he showed in game 7 last night, look out.