What is normal for Couturier? 39, 37, 39, 34, 76
So what changed to give him such a boost in points totals last year?
- average ice time went up: 19:05, 18:23, 18:36, 18:27, 21:36 - sign for positive production
- S totals went up: 165, 148, 119, 120, 227 - sign for positive production
- S% went up: 7.9, 10.1, 9.2, 11.7, 13.7 - not a good sign that he can maintain the totals
- OiSH% went up: 8.3, 9.3, 9.2, 9.3, 13.1 - not a good sign that he can maintain the totals
- time in the offensive end remained the same
- played on top line with better players
Based on that, I expect him to be better than 35-40 points, but not 76. Put him in the middle around 55-60.
Kadri on the other hand, I won't go into the same details, but he seems to be 55-60 as well, but with a better history.
It's a tough one. I would like to see Coutourier do it again before committing, it's hard to believe even though there are positive factors there. Although Coutourier is somehow only turning 26 this year (I had to doublecheck that, couldn't believe it) so you do get an age bonus and him coming into his prime while Kadri is leaving it.
After doing the analysis, I couldn't fault you either way.