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    Default Artificial Intelligence Article

    So, I am fascinated with the thoughts of artificial intelligence and the potential for an "intelligence explosion" once computers become smarter than humans and can start to develop their own technology. A lot of scientists feel that we are on the brink of this type of event. As I said, I find it incredibly interesting, and horrifying at the same time. Stephen Hawking believes that this could realistically be the end of the human race. I recently came across a two part article on the topic. It is a very long read, but I thought it was crazy good.

    Here is part one http://waitbutwhy.com/2015/01/artifi...olution-1.html
    Here is part two http://waitbutwhy.com/2015/01/artifi...olution-2.html

    Here are a few snippets from the article

    What’s interesting is that the hard parts of trying to build AGI (a computer as smart as humans in general, not just at one narrow specialty) are not intuitively what you’d think they are. Build a computer that can multiply two ten-digit numbers in a split second—incredibly easy. Build one that can look at a dog and answer whether it’s a dog or a cat—spectacularly difficult. Make AI that can beat any human in chess? Done. Make one that can read a paragraph from a six-year-old’s picture book and not just recognize the words but understand the meaning of them? Google is currently spending billions of dollars trying to do it. Hard things—like calculus, financial market strategy, and language translation—are mind-numbingly easy for a computer, while easy things—like vision, motion, movement, and perception—are insanely hard for it. Or, as computer scientist Donald Knuth puts it, “AI has by now succeeded in doing essentially everything that requires ‘thinking’ but has failed to do most of what people and animals do ‘without thinking.'”
    It takes decades for the first AI system to reach low-level general intelligence, but it finally happens. A computer is able to understand the world around it as well as a human four-year-old. Suddenly, within an hour of hitting that milestone, the system pumps out the grand theory of physics that unifies general relativity and quantum mechanics, something no human has been able to definitively do. 90 minutes after that, the AI has become an ASI (Artificial Super Intelligence), 170,000 times more intelligent than a human.
    This is a short story the author wrote in the article. It is terrifying.

    A 15-person startup company called Robotica has the stated mission of “Developing innovative Artificial Intelligence tools that allow humans to live more and work less.” They have several existing products already on the market and a handful more in development. They’re most excited about a seed project named Turry. Turry is a simple AI system that uses an arm-like appendage to write a handwritten note on a small card.

    The team at Robotica thinks Turry could be their biggest product yet. The plan is to perfect Turry’s writing mechanics by getting her to practice the same test note over and over again:

    “We love our customers. ~Robotica”

    Once Turry gets great at handwriting, she can be sold to companies who want to send marketing mail to homes and who know the mail has a far higher chance of being opened and read if the address, return address, and internal letter appear to be written by a human.

    To build Turry’s writing skills, she is programmed to write the first part of the note in print and then sign “Robotica” in cursive so she can get practice with both skills. Turry has been uploaded with thousands of handwriting samples and the Robotica engineers have created an automated feedback loop wherein Turry writes a note, then snaps a photo of the written note, then runs the image across the uploaded handwriting samples. If the written note sufficiently resembles a certain threshold of the uploaded notes, it’s given a GOOD rating. If not, it’s given a BAD rating. Each rating that comes in helps Turry learn and improve. To move the process along, Turry’s one initial programmed goal is, “Write and test as many notes as you can, as quickly as you can, and continue to learn new ways to improve your accuracy and efficiency.”

    What excites the Robotica team so much is that Turry is getting noticeably better as she goes. Her initial handwriting was terrible, and after a couple weeks, it’s beginning to look believable. What excites them even more is that she is getting better at getting better at it. She has been teaching herself to be smarter and more innovative, and just recently, she came up with a new algorithm for herself that allowed her to scan through her uploaded photos three times faster than she originally could.

    As the weeks pass, Turry continues to surprise the team with her rapid development. The engineers had tried something a bit new and innovative with her self-improvement code, and it seems to be working better than any of their previous attempts with their other products. One of Turry’s initial capabilities had been a speech recognition and simple speak-back module, so a user could speak a note to Turry, or offer other simple commands, and Turry could understand them, and also speak back. To help her learn English, they upload a handful of articles and books into her, and as she becomes more intelligent, her conversational abilities soar. The engineers start to have fun talking to Turry and seeing what she’ll come up with for her responses.

    One day, the Robotica employees ask Turry a routine question: “What can we give you that will help you with your mission that you don’t already have?” Usually, Turry asks for something like “Additional handwriting samples” or “More working memory storage space,” but on this day, Turry asks them for access to a greater library of a large variety of casual English language diction so she can learn to write with the loose grammar and slang that real humans use.

    The team gets quiet. The obvious way to help Turry with this goal is by connecting her to the internet so she can scan through blogs, magazines, and videos from various parts of the world. It would be much more time-consuming and far less effective to manually upload a sampling into Turry’s hard drive. The problem is, one of the company’s rules is that no self-learning AI can be connected to the internet. This is a guideline followed by all AI companies, for safety reasons.

    The thing is, Turry is the most promising AI Robotica has ever come up with, and the team knows their competitors are furiously trying to be the first to the punch with a smart handwriting AI, and what would really be the harm in connecting Turry, just for a bit, so she can get the info she needs. After just a little bit of time, they can always just disconnect her. She’s still far below human-level intelligence (AGI), so there’s no danger at this stage anyway.

    They decide to connect her. They give her an hour of scanning time and then they disconnect her. No damage done.

    A month later, the team is in the office working on a routine day when they smell something odd. One of the engineers starts coughing. Then another. Another falls to the ground. Soon every employee is on the ground grasping at their throat. Five minutes later, everyone in the office is dead.

    At the same time this is happening, across the world, in every city, every small town, every farm, every shop and church and school and restaurant, humans are on the ground, coughing and grasping at their throat. Within an hour, over 99% of the human race is dead, and by the end of the day, humans are extinct.

    Meanwhile, at the Robotica office, Turry is busy at work. Over the next few months, Turry and a team of newly-constructed nanoassemblers are busy at work, dismantling large chunks of the Earth and converting it into solar panels, replicas of Turry, paper, and pens. Within a year, most life on Earth is extinct. What remains of the Earth becomes covered with mile-high, neatly-organized stacks of paper, each piece reading, “We love our customers. ~Robotica”

    Turry then starts work on a new phase of her mission—she begins constructing probes that head out from Earth to begin landing on asteroids and other planets. When they get there, they’ll begin constructing nanoassemblers to convert the materials on the planet into Turry replicas, paper, and pens. Then they’ll get to work, writing notes…
    Rylant

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    Default Re: Artificial Intelligence Article

    Interesting article(s) Rylant thanks for sharing.

    I always found it so fascinating (telling?) how nearly every AI narrative I've ever come across has them eventually wiping out the human race. I always wondered if this concern is actually rooted in anything (beyond our own fear) or if it was simply a mirror to how we'd expect humans to behave were they introduced to the world at a later time (or how we have behaved depending on your beliefs).

    I guess you can count me among the less concerned that if a "being", who was infinitely more intelligent than us, came to pass, that they'd have any interest whatsoever in killing us. Wouldn't it be more realistic to think that we'd be like "ants" or "fish" to them? Not saying they wouldn't accidentally crush us or have some fun baiting us on their weekends... just don't see how we'd be a legitimate threat to something so much more intelligent than us.

    Fun stuff to ponder...
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    Default Re: Artificial Intelligence Article

    You must have watched Ex Machina recently.

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    Default Re: Artificial Intelligence Article

    hah, fun story, thanks for posting. Rylant if you're a reader, I encourage you to seek out the book "Rainbow's End".

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    Default Re: Artificial Intelligence Article

    Quote Originally Posted by YzermansLegacy View Post
    Interesting article(s) Rylant thanks for sharing.

    I always found it so fascinating (telling?) how nearly every AI narrative I've ever come across has them eventually wiping out the human race. I always wondered if this concern is actually rooted in anything (beyond our own fear) or if it was simply a mirror to how we'd expect humans to behave were they introduced to the world at a later time (or how we have behaved depending on your beliefs).

    I guess you can count me among the less concerned that if a "being", who was infinitely more intelligent than us, came to pass, that they'd have any interest whatsoever in killing us. Wouldn't it be more realistic to think that we'd be like "ants" or "fish" to them? Not saying they wouldn't accidentally crush us or have some fun baiting us on their weekends... just don't see how we'd be a legitimate threat to something so much more intelligent than us.

    Fun stuff to ponder...
    I do understand that thought process. Most of the experts believe that a super intelligent computer would probably not view humans as "friendly" and would probably not go out of their way to be nice to us. Most experts believe the reaction that an artificial super intelligence who was self-aware and was able to come up with its own goals, would view humans as one of two ways. The first possible reaction, would be that the ASI would view humans as a threat to itself, and would go out of its way to eliminate us. The other possibility, is that the ASI would view humans as insignificant. This is still pretty terrifying when you realize that our goals and the ASI's goals are different. It wouldn't hesitate to divert power away from things that humans need for its own purposes. We could be in trouble quickly in this situation too. The experts also agree, that if it ever does get to this point, there is very little that we humans might be able to do in order to stop the ASI from achieving these goals. It's fascinating, and terrifying all at the same time.

    Rylant

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