Q&A Fire Away - July 22, 2012

[STONE.]

Hey Dobber, thanks for doing this.

1. David Savard -- had the nice AHL season, and got some time in last year. What's his upside and next 3-year look like (points-only)?

A year ago, he seemed to have a nice window (only Wiz/Moore really in the way). Now, it's JJ and Murray and Wiz and Moore and....

2. In first round of prospect draft -- with a team that's competitive now and no farms (but room to hang on to 1-2 prospects) -- I might be looking at guys like Henrique and O'Reilly alongside guys like Bjugstad, Rattie, Spooner and Stone. Which way do you lean? Upside or established?

[Gramps]

Seguin or Yakupov in a points only keeper?
Larsson, Shattenkirk or Kulikov in a points only keeper?
How many points for Purcell next year?

Thanks!

[ross10019]

Dobber, thanks for this bud.

This is for the league / scoring cats in my sig, how would you rank these guys as potential keepers in my league (tough decisions looming...)

Fleischmann
Roy
Perron
Horton
Havlat
Moulson

Thanks!

[Ross The Boss Palmer]

Hey Dobbs, thanks for this!

I am in a 12 team Roto keep 16. It only G, A, P, +/-, PIM for skaters and W, SHO for goalies. I took over a team in need of a rebuild, so I am still a few years away. There are full positional requirements, but I am not worried about that just yet. I am not experienced in leagues with so few categories, and tend to do really well in one year roto, multi cat, max games played leagues.

Who is worth keeping around?

G, A, P, +/-, PIM

Forwards

Patrick Sharp
Bobby Ryan
Jordan Eberle
Nathan Horton
Jakub Voracek
Chris Kunitz
Brad Marchand
Jamie McGinn
Ryan O'Reilly
P.A. Parenteau
Teddy Purcell
Jaden Schwartz
Craig Smith
Sven Baertschi


Defence

Ryan McDonagh
Erik Johnson
Ryan Whitney
Oliver Ekman-Larsson
Dan Hamhuis
Kyle Quincey
Chris Pronger IR


Goaltending
W, SHO

Marc-Andre Fleury
Robin Lehner
James Reimer

[Dobber]

Well, I can't let you off the hook easy

Our categories are G, A, P, +/-, PIM, PPG, PPA, SHG, SHA, GWG, FOW, Hits, BLK. We're contracting SHG and SHA into SHP for next year and the commish has been talking about adding shootout goals if ESPN were to add that to their mix. I'm a bit apprehensive about that, but I figured that I might as well ask the maestro.

It's a 12 team H2H full keeper, daily changes, start 3 of each forward, 5 D, 2 G and one Utility spot. We have big farms with no GP limits. My team is top three in the league and my wings are the weakest part of the team.

My D are: Seabrook, Phaneuf, Letang, Green, Suter, Garrison, Meszaros, Carlson, Schultz, McBain, Hamilton, Rielly. So yeah, I'm loaded and I want more, but I figured I'd use some of them to upgrade the wingers. The guys here didn't think Havlat was enough for Carlson. Berglund also wasn't enough. My thoughts on Carlson is that he might not become the offensive monster we'd like him to be just because he's so good defensively with Alzner.

Edit: My wingers... Ladd, Clowe, Cammalleri, McGinn, Steen, Morin, Puempel, Bourque, Conacher, Silfverberg, Nyquist, Kane, Lupul, Doan, Stafford, Pominville, Downie, Rattie, Gallagher, Stone

Carlson will do fine, it will just take longer than we thought because of the philosophy shift, but we'll see what Oates does.
I would package Gallagher and Carlson and land Blake Wheeler if you can. That type.

[Dobber]

Any thoughts on Kiril Petrov coming over? when? upside
Jamie Oleksiak? How far away? Upside
thanks

Oleksiak is a year away from the NHL, possibly two, but he's several years away from producing. I think his upside is 40 points, but he'll be a steady mid-30s guy.

Petrov - I wouldn't count on it. I believe he's in the KHL for two more years now. He's the young Russian whose mother has health problems. More on Petrov here:
http://prospects.dobbersports.com/in...ers&Itemid=129

[Dobber]

Hey Dobber, thanks for doing this.

1. David Savard -- had the nice AHL season, and got some time in last year. What's his upside and next 3-year look like (points-only)?

A year ago, he seemed to have a nice window (only Wiz/Moore really in the way). Now, it's JJ and Murray and Wiz and Moore and....

2. In first round of prospect draft -- with a team that's competitive now and no farms (but room to hang on to 1-2 prospects) -- I might be looking at guys like Henrique and O'Reilly alongside guys like Bjugstad, Rattie, Spooner and Stone. Which way do you lean? Upside or established?

1. Nikitin and Murray have probably shut that door now. I don't put a lot of trust in him overcoming this, he needed to make more of a mark last year. There's always hope, but he needs a couple of bounces (Murray not making the team, Wiz or Nikita getting hurt)

2. I go with established, if those are the choices.

[Raja]

What do you think about the Neuvirth/Holtby situation this season? Does one get moved next season a la Varlamov, or do they continue with a tandem?

[rabidprairiedog]

Yes I would keep Rinne over those other two. But to be honest, screw what everyone else does I would keep Lindback as well.

thanks dobber,

i do like rinne better than neuvirth and lindback, but would you keep rinne or look for another forward via trade to keep and draft one of: bryz, ward, kipper, pavelec, brodeur, anderson, lehtonen or varlamov.

there will be lots of goalies available at the draft (there are every year) but there aren't always a lot of forwards or d-men. goalies are definitely easier to redraft.

[beeinine]

thank you sir

is WAS's goalie situation now a 1a/1b type situation? or does 1 of them get moved next year as both become RFA's?

JVR... upside in TOR? will he thrive as the center?

will Yandle be traded? to EDM perhaps?

upside for SAAD?

thank you again.

[gretzkytolemieux]

Points only keeper. Huberdeau or Granlund... who and why? Thank you!

[Dakkster]

Carlson will do fine, it will just take longer than we thought because of the philosophy shift, but we'll see what Oates does.
I would package Gallagher and Carlson and land Blake Wheeler if you can. That type.

Thanks a lot!

[bills09]

gonna try and sneak one in..

Projections for Dougie Hamilton+Brenden Dillon including hits/bs?

[Dobber]

Seguin or Yakupov in a points only keeper?
Larsson, Shattenkirk or Kulikov in a points only keeper?
How many points for Purcell next year?

Thanks!

The classic 'proven' vs. 'upside' question. A reliable, seemingly always healthy Seguin coming off a promising year that indicates the next step to be 75 points+ or Yakupov, who had two knee injuries last year.
Put me down for Yakupov. I'm a sucker for upside.

Shattenkirk, Larsson, Kulikov in that order. Because Kulikov is King Band-Aid of Band-Aidville.

Purcell will match last year, with another five points added because of the contract he'll be given more ideal situations right away.

[Dobber]

Dobber, thanks for this bud.

This is for the league / scoring cats in my sig, how would you rank these guys as potential keepers in my league (tough decisions looming...)

Fleischmann
Roy
Perron
Horton
Havlat
Moulson

Thanks!

Roy
Flash
Moulson
Perron
Havlat
Horton