It really is a crapshoot but it's definitely easier to identify a breakout candidate with NHL experience than a rookie or AHL callup.

Barring injury I think, Jamie Benn, Erik Johnson, Ryan Callahan, Chris Stewart, and James Reimer are all poised to have successful campaigns. However, this is not a prediction based on statistical analysis, but rather from just having watched them play last season.

It's also worth your time to try and find out what they've been doing in their offseason in terms of training.

I'm sure someone picked up on the Gary Roberts program that translated into Stamko's success for example.