Some 2013 Projections...

[lorenzin]

I was hoping to get some projections from DOBBERNation regarding 5 players that may be keepers for me next season... The league is a keep 8 + 1 developmental keeper...

So far my FOR SURE Keepers are looking like this... (obviously barring trade)
Freeman, Longoria, A Cabrera, Trout, Kimbrel

The 5 players in question are

Brandon Morrow
Jeremy Hellickson
Mike Minor
Josh Reddick
Andre Ethier

So I can keep 3 of those guys, could you rank them accordingly 1-5 and perhaps give me some years 1-3-5 projections?

thanks,
Richard

[dmvincent]

I was hoping to get some projections from DOBBERNation regarding 5 players that may be keepers for me next season... The league is a keep 8 + 1 developmental keeper...

So far my FOR SURE Keepers are looking like this... (obviously barring trade)
Freeman, Longoria, A Cabrera, Trout, Kimbrel

The 5 players in question are

Brandon Morrow
Jeremy Hellickson
Mike Minor
Josh Reddick
Andre Ethier

So I can keep 3 of those guys, could you rank them accordingly 1-5 and perhaps give me some years 1-3-5 projections?

thanks,
Richard

I can rank them for you, but the projections will have to wait until tomorrow.

Ethier
Reddick
Hellickson
Morrow
Minor

[dmvincent]

Ethier: 80 R, 20-25 HR, 90-100 RBI, .283 AVG
Reddick: 80-85 R, 25-30 HR, 85-90 RBI, .265 AVG
Hellickson: 180 IP, 3.40 ERA, 130 K, 1.20 WHIP
Morrow: 175-180 IP, 2.75 ERA, 200 K, 1.15 WHIP
Minor: 180 IP, 3.75 ERA, 150 K, 1.17 WHIP

[4horsemen]

Ethier: 80 R, 20-25 HR, 90-100 RBI, .283 AVG
Reddick: 80-85 R, 25-30 HR, 85-90 RBI, .265 AVG
Hellickson: 180 IP, 3.40 ERA, 130 K, 1.20 WHIP
Morrow: 175-180 IP, 2.75 ERA, 200 K, 1.15 WHIP
Minor: 180 IP, 3.75 ERA, 150 K, 1.17 WHIP

Based on these stats, how does Hellickson rank ahead of Morrow? I wouldn't even consider him ahead of Morrow unless you were very risk adverse and don't trust Morrow's health.

[dmvincent]

Based on these stats, how does Hellickson rank ahead of Morrow? I wouldn't even consider him ahead of Morrow unless you were very risk adverse and don't trust Morrow's health.

It really depends if he gets traded or not, because the Rays need some offense and he could be on the move. Hellickson doesn't have nearly as much of an injury history as Morrow and if Morrow can have a good year, without getting injured I would expect Morrow to put up those kind of stats. That's never a guarantee though and he can't control it, he's just an injury prone player.

Example- What if he gets traded to the National League? That will really help his value. If he stays with Tampa, I'd rank him below Morrow. We'll have to see what happens.

Another thing to consider is that Hellickson's agent is Scott Boras and the Rays are not the kind of team that will hand out a big contract extension if they don't feel that player is worth the money, whereas other teams would be very interested in a long term deal with Hellickson.