Forum Contest: Pick 12 O/U on Player Props

[hockeyrobot]

Kucherov over by January???

[Pengwin7]

Kucherov over by January???

LOL! He's looking like the best player in hockey right now.
I hate "Over" picks, though... because an injury can just wipe off a great call.

Aside from my "over" on Mason, I'm pretty happy in my picks.
A lot of players are on-pace right now for their Vegas line, obv - lots of NHL season ahead.

Marner should be my most interesting pick to track.
Super great start, super terrible last few games.

[hockeyrobot]

LOL! He's looking like the best player in hockey right now.
I hate "Over" picks, though... because an injury can just wipe off a great call.

Aside from my "over" on Mason, I'm pretty happy in my picks.
A lot of players are on-pace right now for their Vegas line, obv - lots of NHL season ahead.

Marner should be my most interesting pick to track.
Super great start, super terrible last few games.

Most of mine are looking like busts. Not happy about it. But yes obviously very early.

[ross10019]

OK here are my picks:


Total Points - Jonathan Drouin
Over +59.5

Total Points - Auston Matthews
Over +75.5

Total Points - Nazem Kadri
Over +54.5

Total Points - TJ Brodie
Over +37.5

Total Points - Connor McDavid
Under +102.5

Total Points - Leon Draisaitl
Under +72.5

Total Points - Mark Stone
Under +57.5

Total Points - Loui Eriksson
Under +40.5

Total Points - Jacob Trouba
Over +35.5

Total Points - Jack Eichel
Over +71.5

Goalies!!!
Total Wins - Carey Price
Under +36.5

Total Wins - Steve Mason
Under +23.5

Total Wins - Mike Smith
Over +28.5


TIEBREAKERS
MATT MURRAY
BRAYDEN HOLTBY
FREDERIK ANDERSEN

[Pengwin7]

^We'll give ya a chance to win the "season has already started" division!

[ross10019]

^We'll give ya a chance to win the "season has already started" division!

Oh damn, what an idiot, I thought this just started and so there were some no-brainers due to injury, etc. Sorry bud!

[hockeyrobot]

^We'll give ya a chance to win the "season has already started" division!

Definite * if he wins haha.

[ross10019]

Definite * if he wins haha.

I'm a moron, pour on the abuse, it is much deserved!

[hockeyrobot]

Here we go!

JVR OVER 55.5 ----Looks doable
Vanek OVER 41.5 ----barring injury
Kucherov OVER 82.5 ----Might have it next week
Drouin OVER 59.5 -----NOPE
Boeser OVER 36.5 ----Might be ok
Klefbom OVER 40.5 ---Doesn't look good
Trouba OVER 35.5 --- Same here

Marchand UNDER 74.5 --- thank you injury
Getzlaf UNDER 70.5 ---- see above
Strome UNDER 42.5 --- Could be close
--------------------------

Markstrom OVER 20.5 --- close
Talbot OVER 37.5 --- not looking good

---------------------------

Tavares - 75.5 -- Over
Ehler - 65.5
Galchenyuk - 53.5

Some of these are close....others are way off.

[PenguinHunter]

Tyler Seguin + 77.5 OVER He has to get going to get there.
Steven Stamkos +70.5 OVER Looks probable
Vladimir Tarasenko+76.5 OVER Going to be tight... can't miss any games
Sidney Crosby +91.5 OVER Why did i pick Crosby for Over 91 this year? Bad choice!
Kyle Turris +52.5 OVER I still think he gets there.
Alex Ovechkin +70.5 OVER Yup!

Dustin Byfuglien+50.5 UNDER only 15 points and and injury helping the way
William Nylander +61.5 UNDER needs a big 2nd half to get over 61.5
Auston Matthews +75.5 UNDER depends how many more games he misses....
Derick Brassard +48.5 UNDER This one is going to be tight

Goalies

Steve Mason +23.5 OVER HAHAHAHAHAHA
Sergei Bobrovsky 35.5 UNDER Half way there already.... probably going to be close.


Tie Breakers

John Tavares +75.5 TIE A slow stretch or an injury will help me here.
Dougie Hamilton +48.5 TIE He has to pick it up for me to be even close.
Brendan Gallagher +42.5 TIE Right on pace!

Analysis

[newfcollins]

A little more than three-quarters of the way into the season. Figured this would be a good time to bump this thread.

My picks:

Tyler Bozak: 47.5 UNDER. Hit. On pace for 41 points.
Ryan Strome: 42.5 UNDER. Hit for now. On pace for 37 points.
Oscar Klefbom: 40.5 OVER. Big miss.
Mike Hoffman: 61.5 OVER. Miss for now. On pace for 55 points, but is heating up.
Thomas Vanek: 41.5 OVER. Hit. Already has 44 points.
Patrik Laine: 69.5 OVER. Hit. On pace for 76 points.
Brad Marchand: 74.5 UNDER. Big miss. Even missing 15 games so far, he's on pace for 87 points.
Evgeni Malkin: 76.5 UNDER. Big miss. Never had his annual injury.
John Tavares: 75.5 UNDER. Miss for now. On pace for 80, but on a cold streak.
Jack Eichel: 71.5 OVER. Hit.


Goalies!!!
Braden Holtby: 39.5 UNDER. Hit. Only 29 points at this point.
Matt Murray: 38.5 0 UNDER. Big hit. Can't stay healthy.


Tiebreaker closest to point total
Max Pacioretty: 65.5. Miss.
Tyler Seguin: 77.5. Hit so far. On pace for 76 points.
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: 45.5. Hit so far. On pace for 45 points.

I'm 7-5 on the hits right now, and have two pretty much right on pace for closest to point total.

It is interesting looking at the goalies, that only Andersen, Bobrovsky and Markstrom have a chance to hit the overs on their win totals.

[hockeyrobot]

Mine is probably real ugly...

Here we go!

JVR OVER 55.5 -- on pace for 49.
Vanek OVER 41.5 -- has 44 points. HIT
Kucherov OVER 82.5 -- has 88 points. HIT
Drouin OVER 59.5 -- not happening
Boeser OVER 36.5 -- has 55 points. HIT
Klefbom OVER 40.5 -- not happening
Trouba OVER 35.5 -- not happening

Marchand UNDER 74.5 -- wow....what a year he is having. Likely will pass this.
Getzlaf UNDER 70.5 --50 points right now but missed a bunch, which is why I picked him
Strome UNDER 42.5 -- 31 points right now
--------------------------

Markstrom OVER 20.5 - 18 wins right now. Will be close
Talbot OVER 37.5 - Ugh

---------------------------

Tavares - 75.5 - 67 points right now. Likely surpasses.
Ehler - 65.5 - Crap
Galchenyuk - 53.5 - 40 points right now.

[Pengwin7]

My picks are awful.
I might shake out 50/50 just because injuries help with some players going under.
But overall, I've got some really terrible picks - especially Drouin & S.Mason - both of whom I was really big on this year - just utter fails.
My other over choice, Little, also missed. So 0/3 on my "over" picks.

Marner is on fire, Draisaitl may yet go over 72.5pts, and Marchand has been dynamite - could've been a 100pt player if he & Bergeron could've stayed healthy.
Yeah... 6-6 is probably my best case.

[Zorro]

I love looking back on these threads.. Injuries either really help you on the UNDER or cripple you on the OVER..

[StuntMan12]

Skaters
Total Points - Max Pacioretty Under +65.5 -120
Total Points - Johnny Gaudreau Over +69.5 -120
Total Points - Mikael Backlund Over +48.5 -120
Total Points - Dougie Hamilton Over +48.5 -120
Total Points - Mike Hoffman Over +61.5 -120
Total Points - Derick Brassard Under +48.5 -145
Total Points - Mark Scheifele Under +81.5 -135
Total Points - Bryan Little Under +54.5 -120
Total Points - Jacob Trouba Over +35.5 -135
Total Points - Jack Eichel Over +71.5 -120
Total Points - Alex Ovechkin Over +70.5 -110

Goalies
Total Wins - Braden Holtby Under +39.5 -120
Total Wins - Matt Murray Under +38.5 -120

Tiebreaker closest to point total
Total Points - Jack Eichel 71.5
Total Points - Alex Ovechkin 70.5
Max Pacioretty 65.5

Looks like I might get them all right except for Eichel and Hoffman.