last keeper - auction league help - rep given

[joe jones]

For league in sig, which is a keep 4 auction league, I am debating between Ehlers and D. Hamilton for my last keeper.

Total auction budget is $260, and I can keep Ehlers for $16 or Hamilton for $14.

Arguments in favour of each are as follows:

1. Ehlers

I am pretty keen on Ehlers for this next year, and expect that he may hit 70 pts (he scored 64 last year, robber has him projected for 68). I suspect I may be able to pick up Ehlers (if I keep Hamilton) for around the same price $15-20, but maybe have to spend a couple of more dollars (not a huge keeper value). The risk is that another manager has the same intuition as I do, and he gets pushed up to north of $20, which may scuttle my draft plan to pick him up. In last years Draft, the following LWs were drafted for the following prices:

Gaudreau - 31
Patches - 25
Hall - 23
Huberdeau - 20
Parise - 19
Hoffman - 17
Steen - 10

2. Hamilton
I could keep Hamilton for $14, which is pretty low. However, except for the top 2-3 scoring Dmen, our league criminally underrates d-men, given our starting positions, so I expect I could get him for around that same price.
I really would like Hamilton, but would not be devestated if I did not get him in the draft, as I am likely to be able to draft someone similar for around $15. Last years' draft prices were as follows (excluding keepers):

Subban - 34
Letang - 33
Byfugly - 30
Barrie - 23
Carlson - 20
Weber - 20
Seabrook - 19!!!!!
Keith - 16
Josi - 14
Yangle - 14
Doughty - 14
Hedman - 13
Shattenkirk - 12

Thoughts?

[Magicstew]

Keep Ehlers , more upside, think he will go way higher in your auction compared to Hamilton. Maybe try a 2-1 trade somewhere to get an upgrade somewhere else. You are going to lose one of these assets anyways.

[CHunter]

I prefer to keep Ehlers in this case