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Thread: Marchessault in LV

  1. #1
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    Default Marchessault in LV

    What are your expectations for him next year in LV?
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    Default Re: Marchessault in LV

    I'd give him 40pt floor to 55pt ceiling, 18-25 goals.
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    Default Re: Marchessault in LV

    30-40pts.
    I actually think he got really, really fortunate to get that Huberdeau-injury replacement time.
    That early season March-Barkov-Jagr line was overly dynamic and March got a lot more minutes with Hubs down than he would in a standard healthy team situation.
    http://www.espn.com/nhl/player/split...n-marchessault

    I'd be more inclined to focus on his Feb-Apr 2017 calendar numbers when he averaged 15min/gp:
    Feb 11gp, 5pts
    Mar 15gp, 12pts
    Apr 5gp, 2pts
    ----
    31gp, 19pts = 50pt pace.
    From there, I tend to look at his inflated 18.5 post all-star SH% and say "too high, not sustainable".
    And then I think towards his teammates, maybe he gets a top wing spot, but if not Ship, I don't see a Barkov or Troch level playmaker to pad his numbers.
    40pts is a reach, I think. I'll be surprised if he does that. Puck also has to move forward from the Vegas blueliners, who aren't that talented offensively.

    I expect a Vegas O/U at around 34.5pts

  4. #4
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    Default Re: Marchessault in LV

    I think he'll be a product of the old "someone's gotta score" mentality. But since it's LV.....it won't be that much

    45-50 points.

  5. #5
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    Default Re: Marchessault in LV

    I see Marchessault as a one-hit wonder... last year all the stars aligned and he got the right mix of injuries, linemates and opportunity and made it count.

    I do not think that he will have as good of linemates or get the same opportunity in Vegas... I am guessing a large decline in production in comparison to last year.

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    Default Re: Marchessault in LV

    Quote Originally Posted by hockeyrobot View Post
    I think he'll be a product of the old "someone's gotta score" mentality. But since it's LV.....it won't be that much

    45-50 points.
    Agree with this.
    I wouldn't expect much progression in his numbers, but he'll get opportunities to score.
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  7. #7
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    Default Re: Marchessault in LV

    Actually, Marchessault wasn't a good fit with Barkov and Jagr as those two seemed to struggle a lot while Marchessault just continued producing. I can't really explain why Marchessault was so good last season, so that's why I can't even guess how he'll do next season. But I also think Vegas will trade him to a contender because that's such great value contract.

  8. #8
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    Default Re: Marchessault in LV

    On Vegas he should be given a lot of opportunity to succeed. Here is what I got for him

    GP/G/A/PTS/FLOOR-CEILING
    Jonathan Marchessault (VGK) 70 23 24 47 30/60

  9. #9
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    Default Re: Marchessault in LV

    35-40 points

    Say 20g 20a
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  10. #10
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    Default Re: Marchessault in LV

    I have him at 19g 25a for 44pts. Will get good TOI in a poor LV team but I don't think he can repeat his 30 goals season in the future.

  11. #11
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    Default Re: Marchessault in LV

    I think he'll be around 40 points.


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  12. #12
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    Default Re: Marchessault in LV

    I think he gets closer to 50... primarily as he will get all the prime offensive minutes imo
    Experience is the teacher of all things.


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    Default Re: Marchessault in LV

    25-25 is what I'm expecting

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    Default Re: Marchessault in LV

    Quote Originally Posted by CHunter View Post
    35-40 points

    Say 20g 20a
    I've got him in this range too.

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  15. #15
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    Default Re: Marchessault in LV

    Quote Originally Posted by Pengwin7 View Post
    30-40pts.
    I actually think he got really, really fortunate to get that Huberdeau-injury replacement time.
    That early season March-Barkov-Jagr line was overly dynamic and March got a lot more minutes with Hubs down than he would in a standard healthy team situation.
    http://www.espn.com/nhl/player/split...n-marchessault

    I'd be more inclined to focus on his Feb-Apr 2017 calendar numbers when he averaged 15min/gp:
    Feb 11gp, 5pts
    Mar 15gp, 12pts
    Apr 5gp, 2pts
    ----
    31gp, 19pts = 50pt pace.
    From there, I tend to look at his inflated 18.5 post all-star SH% and say "too high, not sustainable".
    And then I think towards his teammates, maybe he gets a top wing spot, but if not Ship, I don't see a Barkov or Troch level playmaker to pad his numbers.
    40pts is a reach, I think. I'll be surprised if he does that. Puck also has to move forward from the Vegas blueliners, who aren't that talented offensively.

    I expect a Vegas O/U at around 34.5pts
    I'm strongly on board with this logic and prediction. He's someone that's situationally productive, and that will not add up to good results on an expansion team.
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