Should I even bother with Lehner tonight?

[loco man]

Looking for anyone to plug into the roster as it is down to the wire and I am in a dogfight for first.

Debating putting in Lehner tonight but is there any hope they can possibly win against a red-hot MTL who is not resting anyone?

Thanks!

[finnys_fanatsy]

nope..with losses counting as -1 i'd pass.

[LawMan]

If the options are only Lehner and not Lehner I'm going to take the start every time.

With a win being worth 3.5 and a loss -1 a goalie only needs to win 1/4.5 = 22% of the time to break even, no starter in the NHL has a win rate below that so roll the dice and hope he can come up with something.

[loco man]

If the options are only Lehner and not Lehner I'm going to take the start every time.

With a win being worth 3.5 and a loss -1 a goalie only needs to win 1/4.5 = 22% of the time to break even, no starter in the NHL has a win rate below that so roll the dice and hope he can come up with something.

Ya this was my thinking as well (minus the statistical analysis - thank you!!). In the end losing one point won't sting too much but gaining 3.5 and possibly 7 with a SO makes it worth rolling the dice. Likely a slaughter, but it is BUF last home game and fan appreciation night, so maybe the bring it tonight.

Robin, go have yourself a game

[Eskimo Brother]

If the options are only Lehner and not Lehner I'm going to take the start every time.

With a win being worth 3.5 and a loss -1 a goalie only needs to win 1/4.5 = 22% of the time to break even, no starter in the NHL has a win rate below that so roll the dice and hope he can come up with something.

I'm with Lawman on this. Make the start unless you have an excellent reason not to.