Burns - cap trade - which one is best?

[regehr]

League/team in sig (70M cap, max 25 keepers). If you had to choose, which of these deals do you prefer?

Brent Burns 7.5M/8.5/9.5
1.5M retained (2017)
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Cam Atkinson 1.0M/1.0/2.0
Pavel Buchnevich (farm)
Mikhail Sergachev (farm)
2019 2nd (~21 overall)
{save 5M/7.5/7.5 over 3 yrs}
{Burns to weaker team in opposite conference}

or

Brent Burns 7.5M/8.5/9.5
2.0M retained (2017)
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Mike Hoffman 2.0M/3.0/4.0
Morgan Rielly (farm)
Luke Kunin (farm)
2018 1st (~5 overall)
{save 3.5M/5.5/5.5 over 3 yrs}
{Burns to stronger team in same conference}

[Sulla]

Atkinson deal for me TBH

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Atkinson deal for me TBH

[Jouko-Pouko]

I also prefer the Atkinson deal because Atkinson is a huge steal at that salary in your league. I also really like Buchnevich and Sergachev. Too early to say how valuable a possible #5 pick in 2018 would be. If you think there's a real chance that pick becomes higher than that, then I might lean towards that deal. There are a couple of stud prospects coming in 2018 but not sure if there'll be 5 of them. Usually there isn't.

But I think both trades are pretty good if you have to trade Burns.

[als_revenge]

Atkinson side, and it's not close for me.

[chuckcouples]

I prefer the Hoffman side even though Atkinson should be better than Hoffman with those salaries. I prefer Reilly/Kunin/Top 5 pick over Buchnevich, Sergachev 2019 2nd round.

I have no idea how you are putting likely overall positions of draft picks that far in advance. Fantasy teams tend to turn over so much from one year to the next that I almost never place more value on one 2nd round pick over another when the picks are 2+ years from now.

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I prefer the Hoffman side even though Atkinson should be better than Hoffman with those salaries. I prefer Reilly/Kunin/Top 5 pick over Buchnevich, Sergachev 2019 2nd round.

I have no idea how you are putting likely overall positions of draft picks that far in advance. Fantasy teams tend to turn over so much from one year to the next that I almost never place more value on one 2nd round pick over another when the picks are 2+ years from now.