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Thread: Dobber's Mailbag - Ask your Fantasy Hockey Questions - Sept 29 2016

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    Default Dobber's Mailbag - Ask your Fantasy Hockey Questions - Sept 29 2016

    I have a feeling this will be a crazy-busy thread on a day like today (biggest draft weekend ahead), but I'll try to answer at least 30 questions here. After that, I can't promise! Busiest time of the year, but it's also the time where everyone needs answers the most. I'll do what I can!

    Fire away!




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    The Best Fantasy Hockey Site

    15-Team Keeper, points only, best 12 fwd, 4 dman, 2 G count. Playoffs count.

    F - Crosby, Atkinson, Zuccarello, Granlund, Marchand, Silfverberg, Kesler, Sheary, K.Hayes, Perron, Kunitz, Panik, Coyle, Bonino, Lee, Kreider, Haula, Pageau, Lehkonen, Bailey, Guentzel
    G - Bobrovsky, Talbot, Pickard, Brossoit
    D - Yandle, Schultz, Letang, Krug, Vlasic, Demers, Walman

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    Dobber Sports Supreme Grand Master

    Default Re: Dobber's Mailbag - Ask your Fantasy Hockey Questions - Sept 29 2016

    Who is your favourite "back-up" goalie this year that you think has a chance for good stats - whether by injury replacement or by his own play?

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    Default Re: Dobber's Mailbag - Ask your Fantasy Hockey Questions - Sept 29 2016

    Pageau was a shorthanded wizard last year. Why was that and do you believe he can get close to duplicating his point/shorthanded point totals this year?

    Think Mason gets more starts than Neuvrith this year?
    Yahoo Full keeper Dynasty League | 20 Teams, 4C 4LW 4RW 6D 2G 3BN |
    Categories: (G A +- PPP PIM FOW SOG HITS BLK | W SV GAA SV% SHO)
    C - Monahan, Kadri, Guentzel (C/LW), Barzal
    LW - Marchand, Kreider, Ladd, Perlini

    RW - Laine, Ritchie, Fischer, Tuch
    D - Karlsson, Muzzin, Niskanen, Skjei, Matcheson, Savard
    G - Bishop, Greiss, Korpisalo
    BN - Dotchin, Forbort, Bratt, Jankowski
    Farm
    C - Glass, Blandisi
    LW - Dubois, Goldobin
    RW - Kyrou
    D -
    Brannstrom

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    Dobber Sports Ace

    Default Re: Dobber's Mailbag - Ask your Fantasy Hockey Questions - Sept 29 2016

    Who's stood out to you or impressed you so far in pre-season and rookie tournaments?
    Evansville Icemen District-5 Ducks
    LOEGM - 10 H2H Keeper
    G A PT PIM SOG STA STG H+B FOW
    W GAA SV SV% SHO
    WHL - 24 H2H Salary
    G A +/- PIM SOG PPP HIT BLK FOW
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    Roster Roster

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    Default Re: Dobber's Mailbag - Ask your Fantasy Hockey Questions - Sept 29 2016

    Quote Originally Posted by Pengwin7 View Post
    Who is your favourite "back-up" goalie this year that you think has a chance for good stats - whether by injury replacement or by his own play?
    In general, a great backup's strong play won't take a job from a bloated-contract starter. Not without help. He needs an injury to get his foot in the door, then he can steal it. The Top 10 candidates to get injured are: Elliott, Andersen, Gibson, Lehner, Varlamov, Bobrovsky, Halak, Anderson, Allen, Pavelec

    From there, you can rule out Bobrovsky replacements because it's a coin toss between Korpisalo vs. Forsberg (amazing AHL Championship playoff run). So grabbing one of those backups is gambling, 50-50
    Also rule out Enroth and Nilsson (bad team)
    So we're down to seven backups that I'll put in my order:
    1. Pickard
    2. Greiss
    3. Johnson
    4. Hutton
    5. Hellebuyck
    6. Hammond
    7. Bernier
    The Best Fantasy Hockey Site

    15-Team Keeper, points only, best 12 fwd, 4 dman, 2 G count. Playoffs count.

    F - Crosby, Atkinson, Zuccarello, Granlund, Marchand, Silfverberg, Kesler, Sheary, K.Hayes, Perron, Kunitz, Panik, Coyle, Bonino, Lee, Kreider, Haula, Pageau, Lehkonen, Bailey, Guentzel
    G - Bobrovsky, Talbot, Pickard, Brossoit
    D - Yandle, Schultz, Letang, Krug, Vlasic, Demers, Walman

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    Dobber Sports Veteran

    Default Re: Dobber's Mailbag - Ask your Fantasy Hockey Questions - Sept 29 2016

    Does Wisniewski make the Lightning out of camp? If so, how will he be used by the team?
    16 Team Full Keeper. Total points. Protection List (Expansion) In Bold, Minor League (Protected) in Bold Italics.

    Start 10 F, 4 D, 1 G

    3 Points: SHO, 2 Points: G, PPA, SHG, SHA, W, 1 Point: A, PPG, GWG, .25 Points: BLK, .1 Points: FOW, SOG, SV, .15 Points: HIT, -.05 Points: FOL, -.15 Points: GA

    Forwards: Backstrom, Beauvillier, Benn, Caggiula, Gourde, Hawryluk, Keller, Kuznetsov, MacKinnon, Marchessault, J. T. Miller, Spooner, Svechnikov, Tarasenko, Toews

    Defense: Barrie, Brannstrom, Honka, Krug, Matheson, Phaneuf, Shattenkirk, Walman

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    Default Re: Dobber's Mailbag - Ask your Fantasy Hockey Questions - Sept 29 2016

    Hey Dobber! Thanks for taking these questions.

    Here's mine:

    I own Price (not moving him), Varlamov, Pickard, Halak, Greiss and Hellebuyck (not moving him) in my keeper league in sig. I tend to dominate in my goalie categories on a yearly basis due to the amount/quality of my tenders in a 16-team league (some don't even have starters). My question is, should I look at moving Varly or the duo of Halak and Greiss for some help on D or up front since Hellebuyck and maybe even Pickard will eventually have their team's respective creases?

    Basically, which goalie(s) would you move and what type of return should I look for if the other manager(s) is/are currently struggling in their goalie categories? Do you see a better return with Halak/Greiss (although that would mean that the other team would have to free up 2 slots) or does Varly still hold enough value to warrant moving him (considering I own Pickard, I assume the other party will want the handcuff... should I move Pickard too)? Am I better off moving before the season begins or should I wait a bit and see who heats up early on?

    I know my question is a bit vague but I'm just trying to gauge the perceived value of my 3-4 goalies and see what I should do with them.

    Thanks in advance for your time, I appreciate it!


    Keeper league 14 teams (H2H, 20 active players keep 16 NHLers, 15 minors)
    Scoring Cats: G-A-PTS-PPG-PPA-(+/-)-PIM-SHP-SOG-FOW-GWG / W-L-SVS-SV%-GAA-SO

    C- Crosby, Pavelski, Toews, Spezza, Dvorak
    W- Benn, Voracek, Forsberg, Okposo, Sheary, Burakovsky, Nyquist, Zacha, Beauvillier
    D- Carlson, Yandle, Provorov
    G- Price, Smith, Hellebuyck, Greiss, Halak

    Minors:
    F: N.Schmaltz, McLeod, Milano, Weal, Hawryluk, Merkley, Senyshyn, Necas, Yamamoto, Heponiemi
    D: Pulock, Montour, Lindell, Juolevi, J. Schmaltz
    G: DiPietro, Montembeault, Martin, Taylor

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    Default Re: Dobber's Mailbag - Ask your Fantasy Hockey Questions - Sept 29 2016

    Quote Originally Posted by Dobber View Post
    In general, a great backup's strong play won't take a job from a bloated-contract starter. Not without help. He needs an injury to get his foot in the door, then he can steal it. The Top 10 candidates to get injured are: Elliott, Andersen, Gibson, Lehner, Varlamov, Bobrovsky, Halak, Anderson, Allen, Pavelec

    From there, you can rule out Bobrovsky replacements because it's a coin toss between Korpisalo vs. Forsberg (amazing AHL Championship playoff run). So grabbing one of those backups is gambling, 50-50
    Also rule out Enroth and Nilsson (bad team)
    So we're down to seven backups that I'll put in my order:
    1. Pickard
    2. Greiss
    3. Johnson
    4. Hutton
    5. Hellebuyck
    6. Hammond
    7. Bernier
    AHHHHH, your reply here scares the crap out of me yet makes me happy at the same time considering the question I posted


    Keeper league 14 teams (H2H, 20 active players keep 16 NHLers, 15 minors)
    Scoring Cats: G-A-PTS-PPG-PPA-(+/-)-PIM-SHP-SOG-FOW-GWG / W-L-SVS-SV%-GAA-SO

    C- Crosby, Pavelski, Toews, Spezza, Dvorak
    W- Benn, Voracek, Forsberg, Okposo, Sheary, Burakovsky, Nyquist, Zacha, Beauvillier
    D- Carlson, Yandle, Provorov
    G- Price, Smith, Hellebuyck, Greiss, Halak

    Minors:
    F: N.Schmaltz, McLeod, Milano, Weal, Hawryluk, Merkley, Senyshyn, Necas, Yamamoto, Heponiemi
    D: Pulock, Montour, Lindell, Juolevi, J. Schmaltz
    G: DiPietro, Montembeault, Martin, Taylor

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    Dobber Sports Prodigy

    Default Re: Dobber's Mailbag - Ask your Fantasy Hockey Questions - Sept 29 2016

    what to expect from Rick Nash this year? I bought your guide and read it all, great as usual, and I noticed you have him with a pretty lofty points total. Many projections have him well lower in terms of production, and you don't develop much in the guide about him.. Do you know something that others don't?

    Also, i'm a bit anxious about Larkin year, it seems like the range of outcome is pretty huge. Do you have a gut feeling either way?

    Thanks for doing this!
    105 teams (7 divisions of 15 teams with indivual drafts), Regular Season Points Total, Playoffs H2H Points, One Year League $$$
    Start 4F, 4D, 2U, 2G daily, 5 bench
    G, A, +/- (important cat), PIM, PPG, SHG, SHA, GWG, HAT, SOG, WIN, GA, SV, SO, OTL

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    Dobber Sports Master

    Default Re: Dobber's Mailbag - Ask your Fantasy Hockey Questions - Sept 29 2016

    Hi Dobber,

    Long time poster, first time caller....

    Do you think William Nylander has much of a chance at the Calder Trophy?

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    Default Re: Dobber's Mailbag - Ask your Fantasy Hockey Questions - Sept 29 2016

    Quote Originally Posted by Bass56 View Post
    AHHHHH, your reply here scares the crap out of me yet makes me happy at the same time considering the question I posted
    I was just about to drop Pickard for David Savard in my league. Now I don't know what to do! lol
    Yahoo Full keeper Dynasty League | 20 Teams, 4C 4LW 4RW 6D 2G 3BN |
    Categories: (G A +- PPP PIM FOW SOG HITS BLK | W SV GAA SV% SHO)
    C - Monahan, Kadri, Guentzel (C/LW), Barzal
    LW - Marchand, Kreider, Ladd, Perlini

    RW - Laine, Ritchie, Fischer, Tuch
    D - Karlsson, Muzzin, Niskanen, Skjei, Matcheson, Savard
    G - Bishop, Greiss, Korpisalo
    BN - Dotchin, Forbort, Bratt, Jankowski
    Farm
    C - Glass, Blandisi
    LW - Dubois, Goldobin
    RW - Kyrou
    D -
    Brannstrom

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    Default Re: Dobber's Mailbag - Ask your Fantasy Hockey Questions - Sept 29 2016

    Quote Originally Posted by gfhyde View Post
    Pageau was a shorthanded wizard last year. Why was that and do you believe he can get close to duplicating his point/shorthanded point totals this year?

    Think Mason gets more starts than Neuvrith this year?
    I think Pageau is indeed a SH wizard and will duplicate those points. But his ES and PP points will dip due to (likely) not playing with Mark Stone and the return of Turris. More than a third of last year's points were with Stone on his line and without Stone you can probably knock off about five of them. I think 40 is a safe bet, but 50 is unlikely. However, an injury to Brassard or Turris would change evrything, as would clear-cut chemistry with Stone (if they get tried together again)
    http://dobberhockey.com/players/jean-gabriel-pageau


    Mason - yes, for sure. Injuries will dictate who ends up with more starts, but if both are healthy all year then Mason will get more.
    The Best Fantasy Hockey Site

    15-Team Keeper, points only, best 12 fwd, 4 dman, 2 G count. Playoffs count.

    F - Crosby, Atkinson, Zuccarello, Granlund, Marchand, Silfverberg, Kesler, Sheary, K.Hayes, Perron, Kunitz, Panik, Coyle, Bonino, Lee, Kreider, Haula, Pageau, Lehkonen, Bailey, Guentzel
    G - Bobrovsky, Talbot, Pickard, Brossoit
    D - Yandle, Schultz, Letang, Krug, Vlasic, Demers, Walman

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    Dobber Sports Apprentice

    Default Re: Dobber's Mailbag - Ask your Fantasy Hockey Questions - Sept 29 2016

    Thanx for doing this.
    Dynasty keeper in sig.

    Just finished our draft. Cap was tight so filled the reserve spots with prospects.
    Due to IR, I was able to draft a few more players, but I will need to drop one player come start of season.

    Due to my weaker depth at D and G, I'm planning to hold onto the D and G prospects, so I'm looking at Milano and Jost for pts only.
    Who do you keep?
    DYNASTY Cap Hit (101M) 12 Team League
    G, A, PIM(.1), positive +/- D only, W(2), SO(2), OTL(1)
    Roster: 23 + 4 IR + 5 Farm
    Start: 11F, 5D, 2G - 82 games each

    F: Crosby, Stamkos, Malkin, E.Staal, Ehlers, Arvidsson, Trocheck, Rantanen, Lee, Haula, R.Smith
    (Bench: Bjork, Danault )
    D: Byfuglien, Yandle, Hamilton, Letang, Montour (Bench: Heed)
    G: Crawford, Quick, Darling (Bench: Raanta )
    Farm: Abramov, Connor, Guhle, Walman, Comrie
    IR:

    DYNASTY Cap Hit (105M) 12 Team League 2
    G, A, PIM(.1), Positive +/- D only(0.5), Hattrick(3), Enf(.33PIMs), W(2), SO(3), OTL(1)
    League & Roster Info

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    Default Re: Dobber's Mailbag - Ask your Fantasy Hockey Questions - Sept 29 2016

    Quote Originally Posted by evans334 View Post
    Who's stood out to you or impressed you so far in pre-season and rookie tournaments?
    So far Heinen (BOS), and Lehkonen (MTL). Keep in mind, I haven't paid much attention to the Big 3 rookies because I already know what to expect from them. My focus has been more on the lesser names.

    I found Peter's observations in this podcast very enlightening: http://www.dobberprospects.com/dpr02/ He's watched a LOT of camp action
    The Best Fantasy Hockey Site

    15-Team Keeper, points only, best 12 fwd, 4 dman, 2 G count. Playoffs count.

    F - Crosby, Atkinson, Zuccarello, Granlund, Marchand, Silfverberg, Kesler, Sheary, K.Hayes, Perron, Kunitz, Panik, Coyle, Bonino, Lee, Kreider, Haula, Pageau, Lehkonen, Bailey, Guentzel
    G - Bobrovsky, Talbot, Pickard, Brossoit
    D - Yandle, Schultz, Letang, Krug, Vlasic, Demers, Walman

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    Default Re: Dobber's Mailbag - Ask your Fantasy Hockey Questions - Sept 29 2016

    Quote Originally Posted by Savvy1982 View Post
    Does Wisniewski make the Lightning out of camp? If so, how will he be used by the team?
    I think he does, but I think he'll be No.2 PP and I think they'll sign him a few days into the season due to cap reasons and Kucherov. I think he still has gas left in the tank and deserves better, but it is what it is. This decision will lead to a decline in his stats and probably push him out of the NHL for next year.
    The Best Fantasy Hockey Site

    15-Team Keeper, points only, best 12 fwd, 4 dman, 2 G count. Playoffs count.

    F - Crosby, Atkinson, Zuccarello, Granlund, Marchand, Silfverberg, Kesler, Sheary, K.Hayes, Perron, Kunitz, Panik, Coyle, Bonino, Lee, Kreider, Haula, Pageau, Lehkonen, Bailey, Guentzel
    G - Bobrovsky, Talbot, Pickard, Brossoit
    D - Yandle, Schultz, Letang, Krug, Vlasic, Demers, Walman

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